自由市場先發投手的預測WAR - 美國職棒

Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2011-12-15T20:31

Table of Contents

http://www.bucsdugout.com/2011/12/14/2637375/2012-free-agent-starting-pitchers

路邊撿來據說是硬球的預測,前兩行是防禦率

2011 Proj WAR Age Name
2.39 2.57 7.1 25 Darvish
3.22 3.49 4.5 31 Wilson (LAA 5/77.5)
4.09 4.09 3.4 34 Oswalt
3.86 3.79 3.3 37 Kuroda
3.57 4.01 2.9 36 Vazquez
3.89 3.85 2.9 27 WChen
3.42 3.85 2.9 31 Wada BAL 2/8.15
3.92 4.28 2.7 33 Buehrle (MIA 4/58)
4.41 4.29 2.6 28 Jackson
3.76 3.95 2.3 33 Bedard (PIT 1/4.5)
5.05 4.33 2.0 33 Pineiro
3.81 4.45 1.9 30 Maholm
4.31 4.51 1.8 35 BChen (KCA 2/9)
4.67 4.48 1.6 31 Francis
4.50 4.63 1.6 37 Livan
4.35 4.51 1.4 32 Garland
4.07 4.73 1.4 31 Saunders
4.03 4.61 1.5 32 Wang (WAS 1/4)
4.01 4.37 1.2 39 Colon
4.32 4.55 1.2 35 Garcia (NYY 1/4)
4.71 4.64 1.2 33 Marquis
5.31 4.79 1.0 33 Cook
4.75 4.96 0.9 37 Millwood
4.39 4.97 0.8 45 Wakefield
4.95 4.99 0.8 34 Harang (LAN 2/12)
4.95 4.87 0.7 30 Harden
5.01 4.99 0.7 29 Duke
5.41 5.02 0.6 34 Penny
4.25 5.12 0.4 30 Willis
5.22 5.24 0.2 29 Sonnanstine

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台灣一哥要換人了嗎??

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All Comments

Tracy avatar
By Tracy
at 2011-12-20T16:46
日職的轉換太強了吧...
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2011-12-21T05:33
達爾也太可怕了吧@@
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2011-12-23T10:06
Kershaw今年的WAR 7.0
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2011-12-28T06:24
7......
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2011-12-29T07:21
連Livo都比王高......
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2011-12-30T22:21
推土機...
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2012-01-01T04:24
達爾最好能直接空降CYA啦
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2012-01-01T11:53
WChen是誰˙阿...
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2012-01-04T19:14
哪有可能....7.1耶...
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2012-01-07T17:24
陳偉殷吧?
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2012-01-11T10:32
如果真的是7.1達爾開價30M都沒問題XDDD
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2012-01-14T09:35
喔喔喔忘記有它了
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2012-01-19T02:25
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2012-01-21T12:26
我預測達比修頂多4而已
George avatar
By George
at 2012-01-25T23:44
30M還是有問題 DOC近四年WAR 6.5、6.8、7.0、7.4,加起來才60M
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2012-01-30T14:26
DOC走佛心路線
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2012-02-03T12:28
DOC超佛心的阿
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2012-02-04T05:01
Buehrle也太低
Ina avatar
By Ina
at 2012-02-06T18:52
知道為什麼日職轉換那麼高的原因嗎?
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2012-02-06T21:27
因為,本來對於AAA->MLB的轉換,就不會低於從MLB前一年,
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2012-02-10T20:21
到MLB後一年之間的轉換太多。不用太低估低階層級的成績。
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2012-02-13T20:44
人家的預測是用數據算的吧?隨便自己預測的應該不能來比 XD
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2012-02-18T08:58
明年會很傷肝..... = =
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2012-02-22T06:06
7.1的話那20M還算便宜的
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2012-02-26T18:54
挪威司機今年拿到戒指了 希望Doc明年就拿得到啊QQ
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2012-03-02T15:11
水晶球
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2012-03-04T20:27
達比修MLB一球未投,就預測成這樣 囧
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2012-03-09T08:49
合約長度還是盡量不要跨到38歲比較好
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2012-03-09T18:42
喔樓上有什麼理由嗎?
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2012-03-10T16:19
7.1...這是聯盟第一的數據...就算是理論預測也沒看過
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2012-03-11T21:10
WAR是什麼意思啊??
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2012-03-12T10:46
就算預測有7.1達比最大的問題就是有機會完全爆掉
William avatar
By William
at 2012-03-12T19:53
不要到38歲還需要理由嗎 lol
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2012-03-15T22:37
2000萬賭war7 or war0
太冒險
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2012-03-20T15:07
WAR 7很誇張,但這又不是零和,怎麼可能是賭0 OR 7 .....
Christine avatar
By Christine
at 2012-03-24T00:00
另外有沒有Darvish比其他MLB投手有更大完全爆掉機會的八卦?
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2012-03-26T19:03
我還是猜陳偉殷會留在日本,因為他太愛日本了
Jack avatar
By Jack
at 2012-03-27T15:47
其實如果沒有7 砍一半也是前五的FA SP 不搶是傻蛋阿
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2012-03-31T04:46
看看前車之鑑................真的付兩千萬的是傻蛋
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2012-04-02T08:50
Da 如果有WAR 3 球隊就要偷笑了
John avatar
By John
at 2012-04-04T13:46
兩千是真的誇張了點 不過Darvish不會是個假貨就是了
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2012-04-09T10:05
用宅慶那種糟糕的轉換率去看 都是一個好用的SP
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2012-04-13T15:08
除非一去就傷傷痛痛 肩肘暴彈之類的
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2012-04-17T00:16
牛肉跟宅慶的例子 老闆睡覺都會流淚
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2012-04-19T14:50
贊成Da來挑戰MLB 但不要期望太高 出包會比較釋懷
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2012-04-23T10:47
牛肉...沒這麼糟吧 起碼也有威前兩年
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2012-04-26T21:36
Matsuzaka第二年ERA+還是160,拿Igawa跟他比?
Una avatar
By Una
at 2012-04-30T11:16
松坂的那個160超假的-_-他在美國健康的丟一場都沒有過
Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2012-05-04T23:52
達比休不管是成績或傷病史都優於牛肉阿
再怎樣也不可能會變井川的
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2012-05-08T12:11
總之就是一場豪賭 賭對了就能得到年輕的前2號SP
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2012-05-09T20:56
你以為每個人都能假的起來嗎
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2012-05-11T02:04
想當年牛肉ERA很低那年 場內小鳥飛的比例也很高 還有人跟
我說你怎麼知道那不是松坂球威所造成的是實力不是運氣!!
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2012-05-14T19:59
松坂那年也是挺威的...竟然有人覺得全是運氣
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2012-05-18T07:44
拿牛肉和宅慶比...不知道你怎麼想的
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2012-05-19T15:46
成績看起來蠻威的 不過大部分都健健康康只吃167 ip 到底算
好還是不好....(?)
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2012-05-21T18:16
XD 3.85 不錯耶~~~
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2012-05-25T16:28
比上不足,比下有餘啦...
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2012-05-30T05:25
連陳用彩都比王強
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2012-06-03T08:55
當然不是全是運氣,只是沒有好到160。他那年的威力跟在
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2012-06-04T06:29
日本時根本不是一個檔次。
松坂健康的話是有機會拿賽揚的投手,但是在美國他從沒展
現過這種實力

Melancon traded to Boston

Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2011-12-15T19:39
Red Sox have a lot to like in Melancon http://0rz.tw/YXTtM 略翻,原文詳見連結 *Melancon的歷史成績詳見 http://mlb.mlb.com/team/player.jsp?player_id=453343 *看中Melancon ...

Pirates To Sign Ryota Igarashi

Bennie avatar
By Bennie
at 2011-12-15T11:32
The Pirates have agreed to sign right-handed reliever Ryota Igarashi to a split contract, according to a Jiji Press article passed along by Patrick Newman ...

Red Sox ink Punto to 3M/2y deal

Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2011-12-15T08:24
Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com reports that the Red Sox have signed infielder Nick Punto to a two-year, $3 million contract. The Red Sox didnand#39;t wait lo ...

Red Sox To Sign Nick Punto

Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2011-12-15T04:53
Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com reports that the Red Sox have signed infielder Nick Punto to a two-year, $3 million contract. The Red Sox didnand#39;t wait lon ...

很好奇2A的薪資

Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2011-12-15T02:43
今天在新聞上看到有關薪資的報導 不過版規規定不能貼新聞 我就不貼了 (好險我有先看版規 = =) 簡單來說是,林哲瑄與蔣智賢今年在小聯盟2A的年薪只有新台幣27萬元 不過在40人名單的基本年薪新台幣102萬元 40人名單裡面其實薪資也不算挺優,他們在台灣都可以拿更高的新資, ...