九月展望 - 美國職棒

在開始之前 先整理一下目前狀況

我們現在81-56, 主場44-24 AL最佳, 客場37-32 是AL客場高於.500的四隊之一

分區領先第二名的Rays 4.5場, 領先外卡三的NYY 8場

扣掉明天的系列賽最後一場不算, 九月AL EAST各隊的賽程長這樣:

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REDSOX(Home:44-24, Away:37-32)
vs Detroit x3
at Yankees x4
at Tampa Bay x3
vs Yankees x3
vs Baltimore x3
vs Toronto x3 *below .500
at Colorado x2 *below .500
at Baltimore x3

Home:12, Away:12
below .500: 5場


RAYS(Home:44-26, Away:31-33)
at Angels x4 *below .500
at Seattle x3 *below .500
vs Boston x3
at Minnesota x3 *below .500
vs Texas x4
vs Baltimore x4
at Yankees x3
at Toronto x3 *below .500

Home:11, Away:16
below .500: 13場


YANKEES(Home:40-27, Away:32-36)
vs White Sox x3 *below .500
vs Boston x4
at Baltimore x4
at Boston x3
at Toronto x3 *below .500
vs San Francisco x3 *below .500
vs Tampa Bay x3
at Houston x3 *below .500

Home:12, Away:13
below .500: 12場


ORIOLES(Home:38-29, Away:33-34)
at Cleveland x3
vs White Sox x4 *below .500
vs Yankees x4
at Toronto x3 *below .500
at Boston x3
at Tampa Bay x4
vs Toronto x3 *below .500
vs Boston x3

Home:14, Away:13
below .500: 10場

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小結:

我們是分區季後賽contender中九月賽程最硬的,

如果能在九月維持.500的勝率(total 93勝左右), 分區冠軍應該就入袋了.

以目前的領先幅度來看, 季後賽席次應該還算穩, 分區領先在九月應該會縮小.

NYY跟金鳥要趕過光芒的機會看起來應該是不大.

DET九月賽程很軟, 最後應該會拿下AL最佳戰績(total 96勝左右).

今年全大聯盟有機會挑戰100勝的大概剩下勇士了(九月對手高於.500的只有WAS的三場)


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