Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review - 美國職棒

Boston Red Sox Top 20 2013 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

by John Sickels

http://t.co/fs6gzp0FaS

Here is a review of the Top 20 2013 Boston Red Sox prospect list. Keep in
mind that was the PRE-SEASON List. It is NOT a new list. These are the
pre-season grades and rankings!

This list was originally published on January 7, 2013 and revised on January
14, 2013.

以下將回顧季初排名 ( http://0rz.tw/Ahxro、本板#1Gwto_4- )中的新秀表現如何：


1) Xander Bogaerts, SS, Grade A: Remains an elite prospect; .311/.407/.502 in
56 Double-A games, .256/.360/.465 in 36 Triple-A games at age 20.

依然是個優秀新秀，AA的55場比賽.311/.407/.502，3A的36場比賽.256/.360/.465─而且
只有20歲。


2) Jackie Bradley, OF, Grade B+: .284/.382/.516 in 52 games for Triple-A
Pawtucket, .155/.258/.310 in 23 major league games. Playing the roster yo-yo
but I think he will be ready to contribute fully next year.

在3A的52場比賽.284/.382/.516，23場大聯盟比賽.155/.258/.310。雖然今年在大小聯盟
間游走，但我認為他明年就能準備為球隊全力貢獻了。


3) Matt Barnes, RHP, Grade B+: 4.75 ERA with 98/31 K/BB in 78 innings for
Double-A Portland, 84 hits. Has had some outstanding games (10 strikeouts in
seven shutout innings in his last start for example) but he's had some real
stinkers as well, elevating his ERA. I'd look for him sometime next year but
he could struggle if rushed too quickly.

在2A的78局內4.75 ERA、98/31 K/BB、被打84支安打。他有幾場優異的表現(上一場七局
無失分還送出10K)，但也有一些不盡理想的內容，把ERA撐大。我明年應該會再次注意他
，不過升太快可能會揠苗助長。


4) Garin Cecchini, 3B, Grade B: Borderline B+. I assume this grade may
surprise people, but I'm thinking he will start to show more power to go with
his OBP skills, speed, and greatly improved defense. I don't always play it
safe with the grades.Initially I had him at a B+, but have kicked that down
slightly. It isn't that my opinion about Cecchini changed, but rather that
there were a couple of guys I had at strong Bs that I felt were slightly
better. My original instinct was right and I should have left him with the
B+. He's hitting .343/.452/.523 with 19 steals combined between High-A and
Double-A.

我猜這個成績會有些令人驚訝，不過我認為他的砲瓦會隨著上壘能力、速度和進步不少的
防少漸漸展現出來。季初第一份評鑑中我給他B+，後來修正過後移到B─並不是我對於
Cecchini的評價有所改變，而是B等裡面有很多優異新秀，我認為他們稍微比Cecchini好
一點。

不過我現在覺得一開始的直覺是對的，應該給他B+才對。A+和AA通算.343/.452/.523、
19次盜壘成功。


5) Allen Webster, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. 4.40 ERA with 67/28 K/BB in 59
innings for Pawtucket, 9.57 ERA with 21/14 K/BB in 26 innings in the major
leagues. Report hasn't changed much: plenty of stuff, but command remains
troublesome.

Paw Sox的59局4.40 ERA、67/28 K/BB，大聯盟26局9.57 ERA、21/14 K/BB。評價大致不
變，有不錯的stuff，但是控球還是問題。


6) Henry Owens, LHP, Grade B: 2.78 ERA with 116/50 K/BB in 97 innings for
High-A Salem, 62 hits. Love the strikeout rate; still needs to lower walks.
Reports are still oddly mixed on him; some observers really like him, others
are pretty "meh." I tend to optimism with him.

A+的97局2.78 ERA、116/50 K/BB、被打62支安打，三振率很迷人，但是需要降低保送數
。球探對Owens的評價依然兩極，有些人很愛，有些人只覺得"meh"─我個人對他很樂觀。


7) Bryce Brentz, OF, Grade B-: Borderline B: Hitting .272/.321/.487 with 16
homers in Triple-A before going on the disabled list in early July with a
knee injury. Not much change here either: power bat with questionable contact
skills. Could be a trade rumor guy.

七月初因膝傷進入傷兵名單，在此之前.272/.321/.487、16轟。評價也幾乎不變：砲瓦強
、擊球技巧有問題。或許會是交易籌碼。


8) Blake Swihart, C, Grade B-: So far, he scouts better than he performs.
Defense seems to be coming along, but hitting was disappointing in the Sally
League given all the pre-draft hype his bat received, and at age 20 he was
old for a 2011 high school draft. He's a solid prospect certainly but I am
going to wait and see beyond that. Catchers have weird development curves,
though, and New Mexico background also factors in. He still scouts better
than he performs; .270/.348/.408, 36% of runners caught in High-A, not bad
but not the "future star" stuff you hear about. Has hit nine homers in 170
pro games. Controls the strike zone well, which helps his chances.

球探看到的比他的實際表現好。防守技巧進步很多，但是身為20歲進入2011年選秀的球員
，他在南大西洋聯盟的打擊成績令人失望。他是一個不錯的新秀，但是我還要多等一段時
間觀察他的成長。不過捕手的養成曲線比較特殊，他出身背景(新墨西哥州)也是影響因素
。

球探看到依然的比他的實際表現好，他在A+ .270/.348/.408，追悼36%的盜壘者。不錯但
算不上未來明星的stuff。他在職業聯盟的170場比賽打出九支全壘打，不過他還蠻會控制
好球帶，這在未來或許會有所幫助。


9) Brandon Workman, RHP, Grade B-: 3.21 ERA with 108/30 K/BB in 101 innings
between Double-A and Triple-A; has a 13/3 K/BB in his first 14 major league
innings. Looks like a solid inning-eater type to me; doesn't receive enough
attention outside of Red Sox circles.

AA和AAA的101局3.21 ERA、108/30 K/BB，在大聯盟的頭14局13/3 K/BB。看起來會是個
吃局數的工作馬，在紅襪國之外不受矚目的球員。


10) Deven Marrero, SS, Grade B-: Another trade bait possibility. Hitting
.263/.342/.344 in High-A, which isn't great, but he's got outstanding skills
on the bases (18-for-18 this year, 42-for-48 in his pro career) and is a very
good defensive shortstop. It is possible his hitting can improve further.

另一個潛在的交易籌碼。在A+ .263/.342/.344，不是很好，不過他有很好的盜壘能力
(本季連18拉18，生涯42-48，也是個防守能力優異的游擊手。打擊能力在未來有進步的
可能性。


11) Pat Light, RHP, Grade B-: 8.06 ERA with 24/13 K/BB in 26 innings for
Low-A Greenville; was put on the disabled list in May with a hamstring injury.

Greenville的26局8.06 ERA、24/13 K/BB，五月因為腿後肌受傷進入傷兵名單。


12) Jose Iglesias, SS, Grade C+: His glove is excellent but his bat is so bad
that it may be tough to keep him in the lineup anyway. If they are lucky he
can be the Cuban Adam Everett and hold a job with positive WAR even with poor
hitting. If they aren't lucky, keep in mind that Rey Ordonez had a great
glove but couldn't hold the job anyway. This is baseball. Weird shit happens
sometimes. He hit .202/.262/.319 in 33 games for Pawtucket, which is
horrendous, then comes up to the majors and hits .343/.391/.428 in 201
at-bats. Yeah, driven by an unsustainable BABIP. I'll be very surprised if
he's hitting anything close to this by the time he gets to 600 plate
appearances.

他的守備能力優異，但是打擊能力糟到難以在打線中生存。幸運的話會成為Adam Everett
，靠手套彌補不佳的打擊能力而賺進正的WAR；倒楣的話會成為拿不到工作的Rey Ordonez
。

不過棒球就是個充滿怪事的運動，在3A的33場比賽打出很糟糕的.202/.262/.319，卻在
大聯盟的201打席中繳出.343/.391/.428─嗯，很不科學的BABIP支撐著。如果打到600PA
還能維持這種成績的話會跌破我的眼鏡。


13) Brandon Jacobs, OF, Grade C+: Traded to the Chicago White Sox for Matt
Thornton; hitting a combined .252/.337/.441 this year with 11 homers between
81 games in High-A and 10 in Double-A. Toolsy outfielder who hasn't lived up
to expectations with the bat yet.

送去白襪換Matt Thornton，81場A+和十場AA繳出.252/.337/.441，很多工具的外野手，
但無法將潛力轉化為表現。


14) Drake Britton, LHP, Grade C+: Recently promoted to majors; 3.77 ERA in
103 innings between Double-A and Triple-A, 85/37 K/BB, 104 hits. Track record
is erratic but he has good stuff and could be a useful power bullpen arm, or
possibly a back-end starter.

剛升上大聯盟不久。在AA和AAA的103局3.77 ERA、85/37 K/BB、104安打。過往紀錄不穩
定但是stuff很棒，也許能成為很有用的牛棚手臂或是後段先發人選。


15) Brian Johnson, LHP, Grade C+: 3.64 ERA with 44/19 K/BB in 42 innings for
Greenville in the Low-A Sally League; spent much of the spring on the
disabled list but was just reactivated. Strike-throwing fourth starter type
when healthy.

Greenville的42局3.64 ERA、44/19 K/BB，春天都在傷兵名單，在之前歸隊了。健康時會
是有K功的四號先發。


16) Keury De La Cruz, OF, Grade C+: Hitting .284/.324/.422 with six homers,
12 steals, 24 walks, 78 strikeouts in 384 at-bats for Salem. Plate discipline
will be an issue at higher levels.

在Salem的384 AB繳出.284/.324/.422、六轟、12盜、24次保送、78次三振。選球能力在
高階聯盟會成為一大問題。


17) Ty Buttrey, RHP, Grade C+: Limited pitch counts at short-season Lowell in
the New York-Penn League result in 2.22 ERA, 14/10 K/BB in 28 innings over
six starts. Being handled conservatively.

在Lowell的用球數都不多，28局(六次先發) 2.22 ERA、14/10 K/BB。

球團用很保守的方式的使用他。


18) Jose Vinicio, SS, Grade C+: Hitting .218/.256/.284 with 18 steals, 12
walks, 78 strikeouts in 296 at-bats for Greenville. Combination of lack of
patience, high strikeout rate, and no power makes him ineffective as an
offensive player at this stage. Has the tools to be a good defender but is
still raw in that area too.

Greenville的296 AB打出.218/.256/.284、18盜、12保送、78三振。「無耐心」、
「高三振率」、「無砲瓦」讓他在這個階段成為不怎麼樣的新秀。他有成為優秀防守者的
tool，但是這部份也依然很生。


19) Brock Holt, 2B, Grade C+: .259/.331/.292 in 216 at-bats in Triple-A;
.290/.333/.290 in 31 at-bats in the majors. Undone by lack of power at this
point. I thought he could be a useful scrappy utility guy with a decent bat,
but it isn't happening this year.

AAA的216打數.259/.331/.292，大聯盟的31打數.290/.333/.290，目前缺乏砲瓦。我曾認
為他是個好用、有棒子的工具人，但是今年還看不到這種表現。


20) Cody Kukuk, LHP, Grade C+: Big 6-4, 200 pound lefty with good stuff, 3.82
ERA with a 76/61 K/BB in 73 innings for Greenville, 43 hits. K/IP and H/IP
are very impressive and reflect his potential, but his walk rate is way too
high. Upside remains intriguing.

6呎4吋、200磅左投，有很不錯的stuff，今年在Greenville繳出3.82 ERA、76/61 K/BB、
73局被打43支安打。K/IP 和 H/IP很優異，展現出他的潛力，但是保送率太高了。天花板
在哪裡依然很難摸清。


OTHER GRADE C+: Sean Coyle, 2B; Austin Maddox, RHP; Travis Shaw, 1B.


OTHERS: Mike Augliera, RHP; Jamie Callahan, RHP; Chris Carpenter, RHP; Sergio
Gomez, RHP; Alex Hassan, OF; Chris Hernandez, LHP; Aaron Kurcz, RHP; Juan
Carlos Linares, OF; Tzu-Wei Lin, SS; Manuel Margot, OF; Simon Mercedes, RHP;
Francellis Montas, RHP; Miguel Pena, LHP; Noe Ramirez, RHP; Anthony Ranaudo,
RHP; Christian Vazquez, C; Alex Wilson, RHP; Steven Wright, RHP.

--

The big league team is in first place, and there are some young players who
are ready to help now or within the next year, even if Jose Iglesias turns
back into a pumpkin. Bogaerts and Bradley (at least in Triple-A) have lived
up to their press clippings, Workman looks ready now, and there is more
behind them, with Garin Cecchini standing out in particular.

大聯盟母隊的戰績優秀，也有準備在今年或明年上來的新秀─就算鷹俠的魔法結束也沒關
係，Xander Bogaerts和JBJ都打出應有的成績，Workman也準備好了。後面也有Cecchini
等人在等著。

Anthony Ranaudo has finally shown what he can do when healthy and his stock
has moved back up. Alex Wilson has helped in the bullpen. Mookie Betts is
having a breakout season in A-ball. Results from Kukuk and Francellis Montas
in Low-A have been spotty, but both have plenty of stuff. The lower levels
have a lot of high-ceiling guys that we need to see more from, with the 2013
draft group (Trey Ball, Jon Denney, Teddy Stankiewicz) looking like a great
haul, on paper anyway.

Anthony Ranaudo終於展現出健康時能拿出的表現是什麼樣子，他的價值也跟著水漲船高。
Alex Wilson成為牛棚的援兵、Mookie Betts大爆發、Cody Kukuk和Francellis Montas在
A階的表現不穩定，但都有不錯的stuff。低階聯盟有很多待觀察的高潛力球員，其中包含
看起來結果很不錯的2013選秀成員(Trey Ball, Jon Denney, Teddy Stankiewicz)。

There was a lot of C+ in this system pre-season and there still is, though
the names beyond the top group will look different when I revise this list
after the season is over.

紅襪在季前擁有一大票C+球員，現在也是─雖然球季結束後C+以上的樣子會有不同的面貌
。



--
＊Athletic frame.
＊High baseball IQ. Xander
＊Smooth, fluid swing. Bogaerts
＊Elite batspeed. #01
＊Strong and explosive hands.
＊Above-average-to-better power ceiling, potential 30 home run bat.

--