Bill James對明年打擊群的預測 - 美國職棒

可能在開季25人名單內 （AVG/ OBP/ SLG/ OPS）：
Jacoby Ellsbury .294/.346/.436/.772 K/BB 88/46, 15HR, 668PA, 37SB
Shane Victorino .269/.338/.418/.756, K/BB 77/52, 14HR, 624PA, 29SB
Dustin Pedroia .296/.367/.459/.826, K/BB 67/65, 19HR, 680PA, 19SB
David Ortiz .283/.386/.533/.919, K/BB 105/87, 32HR, 620PA
Mike Napoli .248/.350/.498/.848, K/BB 141/63, 29HR, 503PA
Will Middlebrooks .277/.316/.490/.806, K/BB 127/28, 29HR, 565PA
Jonny Gomes .236/.337/.441/.778, K/BB 109/41, 16HR, 363PA
Jarrod Saltalamacchia　.239/.309/.454/.763, K/BB 109/36, 19HR, 404PA
Stephen Drew .252/.325/.411/.736, K/BB 97/46, 11HR, 482PA

David Ross .235/.321/.414/.736, K/BB 101/37, 12HR, 339PA
Ryan Lavarnway .261/.335/.435/.770, K/BB 91/47, 16HR, 465PA
Mauro Gomez .280/.335/.469/.804, K/BB 57/20, 9HR, 263PA
Pedro Ciriaco .268/.286/.354/.640, K/BB 53/ 8, 3HR, 322PA
Jose Iglesias .240/.285/.283/.568, K/BB 76/30, 2HR, 531PA, 16SB
Daniel Nava .266/.367/.414/.781, K/BB 51/36, 6HR, 292PA
Ryan Kalish .252/.320/.384/.704, K/BB 93/41, 10HR, 409PA, 21SB

傳聞有興趣的交易對象：
Giancarlo Stanton .284/.365/.605/.970, K/BB 145/62, 43HR, 584PA
Joe Mauer .317/.407/.452/.859, K/BB 74/78, 11HR, 602PA
Asdrubal Cabrera .277/.341/.430/.771, K/BB 106/52, 16HR, 634PA

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1.上面那些交易對象基本上都已經被打槍了 只是列好玩的
除非找到Ellsbury的下家 否則再補OF的機會也不大

2.在Bill James的打擊表現預測裡 Gomes > Ross, Lavarnway > Salty

3.即便Iglesias今年上來77個打席只打出.118/.200/.191
但因為他的UZR/150是誇張的49.8 所以他的WAR還是正的(0.3)
反觀Drew雖然在327個打席中打出.223/.309/.348
但因為UZR/150只有-10.7 所以整體的WAR是0

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