騎士值得總冠軍 - NBA

By Hardy
at 2015-06-10T21:00
at 2015-06-10T21:00
Table of Contents
看標題先別急著噓
看完內容 如果覺得我亂講 再噓也不遲
應該是史上第一遭吧!
LBJ的球隊從第二輪開始就不被看好
失去了Love 預測跟公牛大約55波
在第三輪遇到東區第一 聯盟第二的老鷹
在冠軍賽遇到最強的勇士
而且又失去了KI
看好得更是沒幾個 別以結果論
如果再開打前
有人說老鷹會被橫掃 你相信嗎
有人說勇士會2:1落後你相信嗎?
我相信更多人會說:騎士別被橫掃就萬幸了
但是這支球隊失去了二三當家 反而凝聚力更強了
展現出不可思議的防守水準
將聯盟最強大的兩支跳投部隊守成這樣
完全出乎大家意料之外
來說今年勇士好了
1. 史上9隻67+win的球隊有七隻都奪冠,身為第十隻的勇士會是第八支嗎?
2. 史上只有7支球隊在例行賽平均贏對手10+分,有六隻都奪冠,
勇士身為第八隻。
3. 承2,如果算上季後賽,史上前95場勝率最高的五支球隊都奪冠,
勇士身為第六支。
4. 前一陣子總版討論甚多的Elo rating,得分在1750分以上的球隊
(九隻)除了勇士外全部都奪冠,勇士今年的Elo是史上第三高,
僅次於95-97那兩年的公牛。
另外根據BR的分析,勇士也是LBJ所面對六次冠軍對手明顯最強的:
http://goo.gl/HT83Lo
1. 進冠軍賽前的勝率
81.7 >> 75.6(2014) > 71.2(2012) > 70.7(2007&2013) > 69.5(2011)
2. 按照SRS分析強弱(SRS系統會根據各球隊相遇時的狀態,把陣容傷病
勝負分差等條件都考慮進去的一種公式)
10.01 >> 8.35(2007) > 8 (2014) > 6.67(2013) > 6.44(2012) >
4.41(2011
(註:SRS rating超過10的其他六隻有五隻奪冠,
第六支是在冠軍賽以10.7分輸給11.65的對手)
3. Offensive Rating (由大到小)
今年 > 2014 > 2012 > 2011 > 2007 > 2013
Defensive Rating (由小到大)
2007 > 今年 > 2013 > 2014 > 2012 > 2011
4. Team Rating (季賽+季後賽)
今年(104.51)>2014(104.29)>2013(103.47)>2007(103.37)>2012(102.68)>2011
(102.66)
總之總總進階或是傳統數據來看,今年勇士真的是最強的對手
這也顯現在ESPN的預測和賭盤上,勇士都以65%左右的看好度優於騎士
總總數據都說明了今年勇士的強大
老實說吧 身為ㄧ個詹迷 從G1~G3
我沒有一場看好騎士 這不是支不支持的問題
是要認清 今年的勇士真得很強大 兵多將廣又全員到齊
反觀騎士傷了 KI Love 大V
不被看好很正常的 他們大可放棄今年
他們有充足的理由:我們主力傷兵累累 走到這一步已經很好了
這麼說球迷一定也能諒解的
但是他們沒放棄 面對如此強大的對手 如此的不被看好
他們把每一場當作最後一場 拼命的想贏球
這個時刻 其實風向真的變了 騎士的拼勁感動了人們
看看總版吧
前幾天糗爺捧LBJ馬上被推爆
今天一捧反而一堆人噓
說明了其實大家都看見了他們的拼勁 認同了他們
這支騎士值得總冠軍得肯定
但是要奪冠還是很難 看得出來騎士已經累了
勇士再來連拿三場我也不意外
但這支騎士已經得到大家得尊敬了
就算最後輸了 他們還是可以昂首闊步的 他們真的盡力了
有時候 就是有些你拼盡全力也不見得能贏
最後 我還是覺得勇士會奪冠 可用戰力差太多了
加上今天最後Kerr找到Lee的使用方法了
騎士還有人手能應對嗎? 這點我很存疑
--
看完內容 如果覺得我亂講 再噓也不遲
應該是史上第一遭吧!
LBJ的球隊從第二輪開始就不被看好
失去了Love 預測跟公牛大約55波
在第三輪遇到東區第一 聯盟第二的老鷹
在冠軍賽遇到最強的勇士
而且又失去了KI
看好得更是沒幾個 別以結果論
如果再開打前
有人說老鷹會被橫掃 你相信嗎
有人說勇士會2:1落後你相信嗎?
我相信更多人會說:騎士別被橫掃就萬幸了
但是這支球隊失去了二三當家 反而凝聚力更強了
展現出不可思議的防守水準
將聯盟最強大的兩支跳投部隊守成這樣
完全出乎大家意料之外
來說今年勇士好了
1. 史上9隻67+win的球隊有七隻都奪冠,身為第十隻的勇士會是第八支嗎?
2. 史上只有7支球隊在例行賽平均贏對手10+分,有六隻都奪冠,
勇士身為第八隻。
3. 承2,如果算上季後賽,史上前95場勝率最高的五支球隊都奪冠,
勇士身為第六支。
4. 前一陣子總版討論甚多的Elo rating,得分在1750分以上的球隊
(九隻)除了勇士外全部都奪冠,勇士今年的Elo是史上第三高,
僅次於95-97那兩年的公牛。
另外根據BR的分析,勇士也是LBJ所面對六次冠軍對手明顯最強的:
http://goo.gl/HT83Lo
1. 進冠軍賽前的勝率
81.7 >> 75.6(2014) > 71.2(2012) > 70.7(2007&2013) > 69.5(2011)
2. 按照SRS分析強弱(SRS系統會根據各球隊相遇時的狀態,把陣容傷病
勝負分差等條件都考慮進去的一種公式)
10.01 >> 8.35(2007) > 8 (2014) > 6.67(2013) > 6.44(2012) >
4.41(2011
(註:SRS rating超過10的其他六隻有五隻奪冠,
第六支是在冠軍賽以10.7分輸給11.65的對手)
3. Offensive Rating (由大到小)
今年 > 2014 > 2012 > 2011 > 2007 > 2013
Defensive Rating (由小到大)
2007 > 今年 > 2013 > 2014 > 2012 > 2011
4. Team Rating (季賽+季後賽)
今年(104.51)>2014(104.29)>2013(103.47)>2007(103.37)>2012(102.68)>2011
(102.66)
總之總總進階或是傳統數據來看,今年勇士真的是最強的對手
這也顯現在ESPN的預測和賭盤上,勇士都以65%左右的看好度優於騎士
總總數據都說明了今年勇士的強大
老實說吧 身為ㄧ個詹迷 從G1~G3
我沒有一場看好騎士 這不是支不支持的問題
是要認清 今年的勇士真得很強大 兵多將廣又全員到齊
反觀騎士傷了 KI Love 大V
不被看好很正常的 他們大可放棄今年
他們有充足的理由:我們主力傷兵累累 走到這一步已經很好了
這麼說球迷一定也能諒解的
但是他們沒放棄 面對如此強大的對手 如此的不被看好
他們把每一場當作最後一場 拼命的想贏球
這個時刻 其實風向真的變了 騎士的拼勁感動了人們
看看總版吧
前幾天糗爺捧LBJ馬上被推爆
今天一捧反而一堆人噓
說明了其實大家都看見了他們的拼勁 認同了他們
這支騎士值得總冠軍得肯定
但是要奪冠還是很難 看得出來騎士已經累了
勇士再來連拿三場我也不意外
但這支騎士已經得到大家得尊敬了
就算最後輸了 他們還是可以昂首闊步的 他們真的盡力了
有時候 就是有些你拼盡全力也不見得能贏
最後 我還是覺得勇士會奪冠 可用戰力差太多了
加上今天最後Kerr找到Lee的使用方法了
騎士還有人手能應對嗎? 這點我很存疑
--
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