過去30年進總冠最強配角的球隊 - NBA

By Suhail Hany
at 2015-06-25T02:28
at 2015-06-25T02:28
Table of Contents
閑晃發現這篇今年總冠打完之後的文章,
似乎沒有人翻譯或轉發,大概現在風向就是打LBJ,
這篇數據分析有利於LBJ就沒人鳥了...
原文和排名于此 http://goo.gl/4RhyUQ
這文章也被很多網站引用,包括ESPN
基本上這不是外絮(不想翻譯 XD),
但是想討論這篇文章用進階數據算出來過去30年進總冠球隊裏面
扣掉當然主將後,擁有最強配角群的球隊,
而計算數據的時間是從季後賽開始算到分區冠軍結束為止的統計
(很合理,因為表示能看出進冠軍賽誰的貢獻最大)
扣掉貢獻最大的人後來算剩下的隊友相比較
要注意的是這排名是排副手群,不代表整支球隊的強弱,
畢竟是扣掉主將的排名
另外可想而知主將不明顯的球隊排名會比較前面(大家貢獻均等)
總共有60隊(30年)
有幾點值得討論:
1. MJ第一次三連霸carry隊友(24,47,51),第二次三連霸被隊友carry(1,5,6)?
這也間接說明了當年公牛那陣容本身就是史詩級的
2. LBJ被一些酸民嘲笑總冠戰績差,只有2-4,不過國外網站用預期值
來算,LBJ生涯到此的總冠數本就是預計為2.1次,說實話有幾次
球隊根本不被看好能走那麼遠卻走到了。這在排名可看出端倪:
LBJ的副手群排名:
2011 10 (咸認最值得被取笑的一年)
2012 21 (打敗排25的OKC)
2013 38 (打敗排第2TD為首的馬刺)
2014 53 (敗給排第7KL為首的馬刺)
2015 58 (敗給排14的勇士)
2007 59 (敗給排11的馬刺)
(註:第60名是Larry Johnson為首的老八傳奇尼克)
3. 以Kobe為首進冠軍賽的湖人也比想像多,有四次之多,
主因是2004在進總冠前Kobe的貢獻微大於大歐
這四年副手排名:
2004 12 (F4也是被笑很久)
2010 15 (打敗Rondo為首排16的老賽)
2009 18 (打敗排33的魔獸)
2008 35 (敗給排第四的超賽)
心得:
可看出LBJ在騎士二進冠軍賽的陣容都有點慘,
但是難道進不了冠軍賽會更好?讓總冠成績變成2-2?
這就回到一個簡單的迷思,總冠成績1-0比較優還是1-9比較優?
仔細一想就會知道1-9還是優多了...
--
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