莫雷事件會給未來收益與薪資上限帶來影響嗎 - NBA

By Lucy
at 2019-10-09T01:23
at 2019-10-09T01:23
Table of Contents
在 Larry Coon 大神的CBAFAQ裡,有提到25項 BRI 的收入,其中與中國有關的
是以下三項:
1. Exhibition game proceeds, minus summer league expenses
2. Proceeds from team sponsorships
3. Proceeds received by NBA Properties, including international television,
sponsorships, revenues from NBA Entertainment, the All-Star Game, and other
NBA special events.
4. 另外第四項不屬於BRI,但球員個人的中國代言收入,也會影響球員發言意願。
==
單純以騰訊的 1500m/5y 轉播合約(第三點)來說,對整體球員的影響是
300m x (49%-51%,取中間值 50%,) = 150m,NBA 的所有球員,一年集體損失
1.5億美金。
如果以個別球員來說,由於 BRI 是薪資上限的計算基礎,連帶會影響到頂薪
的金額,算式如下:
300m (年) x 0.4474(cap space) x 0.25 ~ 0.35 (veteran max contract) /
30 (teams) = 1,1185,00 ~ 1,565,900 USD。
以2020 free agency,十年以上老將五年頂薪續約來說,最高的損失總金額是
1,565,900 x (1 + 1.08 + 1.16 + 1.24 + 1.32) = 9,082,220,五年九百萬
美金。對小咖的影響比較小,反正薪水不高,對大咖的球員影響還是有的。
這是建立在騰訊完全不付錢(至少2019-2020完全不付錢)的前提下,對明年
自由球員市場造成的影響。
因此有能力拿 MAX的球員,最近應該都不會發言。
--
是以下三項:
1. Exhibition game proceeds, minus summer league expenses
2. Proceeds from team sponsorships
3. Proceeds received by NBA Properties, including international television,
sponsorships, revenues from NBA Entertainment, the All-Star Game, and other
NBA special events.
4. 另外第四項不屬於BRI,但球員個人的中國代言收入,也會影響球員發言意願。
==
單純以騰訊的 1500m/5y 轉播合約(第三點)來說,對整體球員的影響是
300m x (49%-51%,取中間值 50%,) = 150m,NBA 的所有球員,一年集體損失
1.5億美金。
如果以個別球員來說,由於 BRI 是薪資上限的計算基礎,連帶會影響到頂薪
的金額,算式如下:
300m (年) x 0.4474(cap space) x 0.25 ~ 0.35 (veteran max contract) /
30 (teams) = 1,1185,00 ~ 1,565,900 USD。
以2020 free agency,十年以上老將五年頂薪續約來說,最高的損失總金額是
1,565,900 x (1 + 1.08 + 1.16 + 1.24 + 1.32) = 9,082,220,五年九百萬
美金。對小咖的影響比較小,反正薪水不高,對大咖的球員影響還是有的。
這是建立在騰訊完全不付錢(至少2019-2020完全不付錢)的前提下,對明年
自由球員市場造成的影響。
因此有能力拿 MAX的球員,最近應該都不會發言。
--
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