胞弟是不是比哥哥強? - 美國職棒

Ida avatar
By Ida
at 2017-12-01T11:45

Table of Contents

※ 引述《paperbattle (?)》之銘言:
: 棒球中的兄弟檔
: 幾乎都是弟弟比哥哥強
: 兄 Ramon Martinez 弟 神右 Pedro Martinez
: 兄 Jeff Weaver 弟 Jered Weaver
: 兄 Melvin Upton Jr. 弟 Justin Upton
: 兄 Kyle Seager 弟 Corey Seager
: 兄 Bengie Molina, Jose Molina 弟 Yadier Molina
: 唯一的例外大概是 Giambi 藥罐兄弟
: 請問胞弟是不是比哥哥強?

這個研究其實很多人做過, 簡單講一下現象

就大聯盟野手而言, 其實普遍來說, 年長者的成績顯著較優[1]

但是以所有運動員來看, 其實這和運動員最後達到的成就有關
如果把運動員分成非頂尖、職業、頂尖三類, 年幼者在頂尖群組的比例明顯較高[2]

從上面的統計邏輯可以推得, 你記得的運動員兄弟檔裡, 通常弟弟會比較強
但是其實整體而言, 即使只看所有大聯盟球員, 哥哥比較強的狀況較多

這可能與已經被廣泛認知的頭胎優勢 (firstborn advantage) 有關
但是也應該還有其他因子, 因為每一種運動 (包括投打) 的統計結果也有不同



[1]: Abel and Kruger, Performance of older versus younger brothers: data
from major league baseball, 2007.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18380107

[2]: Hopwood et al., Faster, higher, stronger, …, and younger? Birth order,
sibling sport participation and sport expertise, 2012.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305379913
https://expertadvantage.wordpress.com/2012/06/19/siblings/

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All Comments

Charlotte avatar
By Charlotte
at 2017-12-03T19:42
有論文佐證 給推
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2017-12-04T18:11
不知道年長年幼怎麼歸類的? 只有兩個的很明顯
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2017-12-08T08:55
但三兄弟呢? 只有老大算年長 老二老三都年幼?
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2017-12-08T16:42
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2017-12-08T18:05
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2017-12-09T12:03
Eden Hazard>Thorgan Hazard
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2017-12-11T10:12
Rio Ferdinand>Anton Ferdinand
Bret Boone>Aaron Boone
Dmitri Young>Delmon Young
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2017-12-16T05:19
Brook Lopez>Robin Lopez
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2017-12-18T18:17
Stephen Curry>Seth Curry
Liam avatar
By Liam
at 2017-12-20T23:40
陳金鋒>>>陳連宏
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2017-12-25T12:31
蔣智賢>>>>>蔣智聰
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2017-12-26T21:58
王維中>>王躍霖
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2017-12-30T06:00
彭政閔>>彭政欣
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2018-01-02T19:29
Upton呢?
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2018-01-07T10:08
Upton小妹(kate)最強,可以開幹虎王
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2018-01-11T15:08
小妹可能薪水最高(?
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2018-01-12T11:46
海馬瀨人>>>>>>海馬圭平
Kumar avatar
By Kumar
at 2018-01-13T21:20
陳大豐>>>>>>陳大順

Jim Johnson is coming.

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