快篩陽性即確診 - 棒球閒聊
By Elvira
at 2022-05-05T17:18
at 2022-05-05T17:18
Table of Contents
陳其邁以現行高雄市為例計算,表示目前市內陽性預測值並不高,以盛行率1%計算,
僅有2.76萬人染疫,敏感度90%、特異度99%,陽性預測值僅47.6%。
陳其邁補充,必須隨著疫情升溫,盛行率超過10%,屆時陽性預測值達到90.1%,
快篩才會與PCR結果差不多。
https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20220429004743-260405?chdtv
11/04/30
陳其邁不認同「快篩陽性視同確診」 柯文哲:他是對的,高雄不適用
https://www.storm.mg/article/4313263
偽陽偽陰性當然還是會有 但是當盛行率上升偽陽偽陰的影響就會降低
所以快篩能不能當確診 是跟疫情的盛行率有關
你柯只考慮到你台北市 有考慮到全國嗎 ? 台北市要獨立了是吧 ~
總不成全國有的地方快篩確診有的地方PCR確診吧 XD
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