季後賽要改制了 - NBA

這次改制的確沒有改到分區問題 但要提改革 不得不提top16
取前16強這件事絕對不是只有鄉民網路上說說而已!!!
隨便google一下都有...
現行賽制上的不完美是值得大家認真討論的
身為一個球迷 當然會想看到最強的隊伍出線 不是嗎?


Adam Silver:NBA needs to look at taking top 16 teams for the playoffs
主席:NBA考慮取前16強進季後賽

“Ultimately we want to see your best teams in the playoffs. And there is an
unbalance and a certain unfairness. There is a proposal (from one of the
broadcasters)… where the division winners would all automatically go into
the playoffs and then you’d seed the next 10 best teams. I think that’s the
kind of proposal we need to look at. There are travel issues of course, but
in this day in age every team of course has their own plane, travels charter.
I don’t think the discussion should end there. And as I’ve said, my first
year I was studying a lot of these issues and year 2 is time to take action.
It’s something I’m going to look at closely with the competition committee.
I do think it’s an area where we need to make a change.”

Silver:現行制度的確有不平衡及不公平的問題，
現在有一個提案是:各分組第一加上之後的前十強(這樣剛好16隻隊伍)進季後賽，
我知道會有travel issues，但是現在大家都有私人飛機，
我上任第一年會好好研究這些議題，第二年就會做出行動，
我認為這這議題的確是我們有必要改變之處。


BPI: Analyzing a potential top-16 playoff system
前16強季後賽制度分析
(ESPN今年4/3的文章，排名不太一樣，加減看)

These changes have big implications for who is likely to make the Finals.
Under the current conference system, four teams have a 20 percent or better
chance of making the NBA Finals -- the Warriors, Spurs, Hawks and Cavaliers.

Meanwhile, based on 10,000 simulations of the top-16 system, the Warriors'
odds of making the finals go from 50 percent to 57 percent, and only the
Spurs (36 percent) and Clippers (26 percent) have more than a 20 percent
chance of getting to the Finals. The path for the top teams in the West would
become easier, and the path for the top of the East would become much harder.
The Hawks, for example, would probably be the biggest losers in a switch to a
top-16 system. They would see their odds of making the Finals drop from 20
percent in the conference system to 10 percent, and their odds of getting out
of the first round would drop from 80 percent to 69 percent.

The top-16 system does more than boost the West and burden the East, though.
It also would make it much more likely that the final two rounds of the
playoffs -- the semifinals (currently the conference championship round) and
the NBA Finals -- would be played by the best teams in the league. Under the
conference system, there is a 66 percent chance that a team outside the top
10 in BPI will be competing in the Eastern Conference finals and a 30 percent
chance that a team outside the top 10 will be in the NBA Finals.

現行規則:有四隻球隊有20%以上的機率打進finals 勇士 馬刺 老鷹 騎士
若改制取前16強:只剩三隻球隊有20%以上機率
而勇士機率從50->57% 馬刺36% 快艇26%

改制後西區攻頂的難度下降，東區則上升，老鷹可能會是影響最大的球隊，
打進finals的機會從20%掉到10%，進第二輪的機會從80%掉到69%

改制後最後兩輪(semifinals 原本的分區冠軍戰)將更有機會由真正最好的球隊較量，
現行制度有66%機率有球隊在BPI前10以外打進東冠，
有30%機率有球隊在BPI前10以外打進總冠。

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主席跟ESPN，我想應該夠權威了吧?

講很多次了，再講幾次也無妨

扯分區是傳統、三大運動都有分區
請問其他運動有像NBA每隊都會對戰到嗎?
有分區沒錯啦，但不像美聯國聯只有跨聯盟才打得到

扯距離太遠
再算一次給大家看 29*2=58 82-58=24
假設要平均對戰 24場裡面12場客場去微調而已
移動距離當然有機會更遠 但主席都說了 這不是大問題
你去問西區老闆們願不願意多花油錢換來更大機會進finals
Cuban一定舉雙手贊成

說真的 也不是一定要虧LBJ
只是剛好他是最大的靶而已
如果今天剛好是公牛年年打進總冠 可能就是Rose被酸...
而且哪個球星不被虧的 迷迷們可以不要這麼玻璃心嗎
要辯解當然可以 但請不要理直氣壯講一些不實際的
或是只會罵詹酸 然後迴避問題 好像這件事不值得討論

取前16強跟LBJ沒有關係
就只是想要更加公平啊...
看看快艇跟馬刺多衰洨 第一輪就有一隻要say bye bye
他們打出來的比賽不精彩嗎? 拍謝 1st-round!!

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