Xander Bogaerts怎麼了？ - 美國職棒

Frustrated Bogaerts off to a Slow Start

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/red-sox-xander-bogaerts-scouting-report/
by JD Sussman - April 22, 2013

http://0rz.tw/bfUAk (球探影片，對決New Britain) (影片標04/09，但好像是04/11)

The first two-and-a-half weeks of the season have been a struggle for Red Sox
prospect Xander Bogaerts. Last year, the shortstop excelled in the Eastern
League and earned his place as one of baseball’s elite prospects. But his
return to Double-A Portland has been underwhelming thus far. Against New
Britain, Bogaerts went 0-for-6 with a strikeout, a walk and a groundball
double play. His frustration was palpable. But there were still plenty of
positives too.

Xander Bogaerts在這兩週非常得不順遂。去年他在Eastern League打出非常棒的表現，
成為聯盟中的頂級新秀之一。但是這次回到2A的Portland Sea Dogs卻是慘不忍睹。他在
對上New Britain的這場比賽中0-6、一保送、一次打成雙殺打。很明顯得她很沮喪，但還
是有一些正面的部分。

Bogaerts’s performance in his first 15 games has been poor. Overall, he’s
been 18% worse than the Eastern League average — this, despite hitting .396
on balls in play. His 29.6% strikeout rate is too high and his power has
evaporated. In nearly 100 Double-A plate appearances last season, Bogaerts
slugged five home runs and 10 doubles. This year, in 71 trips to the dish,
Bogaerts’s isolated slugging percentage is .047. He’s hit just three
doubles and zero home runs.

Xander Bogaerts的前15場比賽非常糟糕，整體而言他比Eastern League的平均值還差18
個百分點。雖然他把39.6%的球打進場內，但他同時拿下夭壽的29.6%三振率，就連引以為
傲的砲瓦都消失了。他在去年將進100的打席中一共打出五支全壘打和十支二壘安打，今
年的71個打席中只有三支二壘安打，全壘打掛零。ISO值則是非常難看的.047。

The primary cause of his struggles on this night was his tendency to pull off
the ball. Typically, a hitter’s shoulders should be square to the pitcher
until they begin to rotate following his hip turn. Against New Britain,
Bogaerts’s front shoulder was flying open too early and he was being exposed
on the other half of the plate. The scouts behind the plate joked, “here
comes another ground out to second.” A scout who followed Portland for a few
games noted weak contact became his expectation, and Bogaerts had not been
playing up to his tools.

他最大的問題在於常常“pulling off the ball" (可參考 http://0rz.tw/DiwVY，跨步
方向往三壘去或是太早打開腳讓肩膀提前往外)，正常而言，在肩膀旋轉並轉屁股前得把
肩膀對著投手。在對上New Britain的比賽中，Bogaerts的肩膀老早就開掉，讓外角球成
為一大弱點。一位球探開玩笑的說「又來一個往二壘方向的滾地球出局。」。一位跟了
海狗隊幾場比賽的球探說Bogaerts很弱的contact是在他的意料之中，他並沒有拿出他的
才華。

Bogaerts was noticeably frustrated. With the bases loaded in the fifth
inning, he worked a full count before he struck out swinging on a breaking
ball. He stood in the batter’s box, looked to the sky, exhaled, then stared
at the ground as he walked back to the dugout. Later on, he grounded into a
double play and failed to run hard to first. In the field, Bogaerts was
rarely challenged, but on his sole attempt he gingerly charged a slow roller
up the middle and flipped it underhand past Travis Shaw‘s outstretched arm.

顯而易見的，Bogaerts很沮喪。第五局滿壘時拼到滿球數，卻被對手的變化球三振。他站
在打擊區無奈的看著天空嘆一口氣，邊看著地上邊走回休息區。下一個打席打出雙殺，也
沒有很拼的衝一壘。守備時Bogaerts很少遇到挑戰，但他在處理正面的慢速滾地球時很小
心翼翼，用低手傳球傳給將手伸長的Travis Shaw。

Is his slump due to Eastern League’s brisk climate? An erratic spring?
Recall, he left Boston’s major league camp to represent the Netherlands in
the World Baseball Classic, then returned after losing his starting role. Or
maybe it’s just mechanical. It’s hard to pinpoint the cause, but his tools
are loud and he will rebound.

他是因為嚴峻的Eastern League嗎？還是因為春天過於瘋狂了？那時他離開大聯盟春訓營
去為荷蘭隊打WBC，在失去先發位置後歸隊。也或許只是姿勢問題。很難點出問題根源，
但是他的tools很棒，他一定會谷底反彈的。

Bogaerts will hit. He relies on his quick hands to pull the bat through the
hitting zone, efficiently generating outstanding raw bat speed. The natural
loft in his swing enables him to hit for power without “selling out” —
over swinging and changing his mechanics to hit for power — and his
approach is sound too. He’s a disciplined hitter with a fair understanding
of the strike zone. He’s unfazed when working deep into a count and rarely
expands the zone, waiting for a pitch he can drive.

Bogaerts會恢復狀況的，他能靠著敏捷的手去拉打擊區內的球，並有效率的拿出可觀的
揮棒速度。他的揮棒方式讓他可以不用“selling out”(改變姿勢求力氣)來拿出砲瓦，
他擊球時聲音也很響亮。他是個有紀律的打者，對於好球帶有不錯得掌握。他不會受球數
演進的影響，也不會自行加大好球帶─他會等球自己進來。

Questions about whether the 20-year-old’s frame will force him off shortstop
will follow him until he proves he’s a capable major league defender. Last
year, Bogaerts had a thick lower half and if it grew as he aged, he wouldn’t
resemble a shortstop for long. But, his entire body is noticeably less
muscular and it is more well-proportioned now. His foot speed and range will
always be below average for the position, but a smaller frame will allow him
to maintain his agility and give him a shot to stick at the position.

同時關於他的身材是否會讓他無法繼續站游擊的問題得等到他證明自己是否是個大聯盟等
級的防守者才會知道。去年他的下半身比較厚實，如果照那種方式發展下去一定很快就不
能當游擊手。但是今年他全身的肌肉變小，整體的比例變得更好了。他的跑步速度和防守
犯為會讓他成為低於平均的防守者，帶是稍小的身才能讓他保持靈活度，讓他有機會待在
游擊區。

With under a month of the season’s games played it would be foolish to
overreact to a small sample size of minor league statistics. The tools that
made Bogaerts an elite prospect are not in question, and a more natural frame
is a promising development for his defensive future. There will always be
hiccups in a player’s development, they are just more noticeable at the
beginning of the season. The ability to adjust is essential for a major
leaguer, so overcoming this challenging time will be an important lesson for
his career.

只拿不到一個月的小樣本來過度檢視球員是不明智的，讓Xander Bogaerts成為頂級新秀
的tools絕不是問題，他更自然的身材也讓他有希望留在游擊區。球員發展都會遇上瓶頸
，而在季初遇到的瓶頸更會被注意到。調整能力是成為大聯盟球員的一大關鍵，所以克服
這次的障礙會是Xander Bogaerts生涯中的一大課題。

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Red Sox Top Prospects
#01 Xander Bogaerts
#02 Matt Barnes
#03 Jackie Bradley
#04 Bryce Brentz

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