Trey Ball ( by Nick J. Faleris, BP ) - 美國職棒

蠻詳細的，不過因為時間關係所以跳過一些部份

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Dissecting the Draft: Trey Ball (Player Report--Pitcher)
by Nick J. Faleris

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=20615

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=lG76Ds5IPKY 影片


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Trey Ball | LHP | New Castle HS (New Castle, IN)
Ht/Wt: 6-5/185 | B/T: L/L | Age at Draft: 18y 11m


評分


│ Current │ Future
─────┼─────┼─────
Fastball:│ 50/55 │ 60
Curveball:│ 40/45 │ 60
Changeup:│ 45/50 │ 55/60
Command:│ 35/40 │ 55/60
Control:│ 45 │ 60/65
Feel:│ 40 │ 55/60
─────┴─────┴─────
Overall Future Potential: 58/61
Adjusted OFP: 56/62



Ball in 140 characters or less:

Very good athlete w/good body control; projectable frame; should add
strength; room for growth in stuff; potential for three + offerings; command
will come; + makeup.

很棒的運動員、身體協調性佳、可期待的身材，需要增加力量、stuff還有成長空間、
擁有三個plus球種的潛力、控球未來會出來、plus的makeup。


Physical Description:

Projectable big league frame with high waist, medium broad hips, broad
shoulders, and long limbs. Good control of body and solid flexibility to go
with athleticism that plays. Long strides helps plus speed play up when
underway.

未來能長成大聯盟等級的身材，高腰、中廣髖部、廣闊的肩膀和很長的四肢。身體協調性
佳、柔軟度和運動能力都很不錯。步距長，能增加球速。


Mechanics:

Ball utilizes a compact “phone booth” step-in and leg lift to start his
delivery, then relies on long limbs and good drive to create extension and
late release. His hand split, backswing, pronation, and acceleration all
work pretty well with his lower half, creating solid timing and momentum, and
his top shelf athleticism and body control help him to repeat his mechanics
well, particularly for a prep player who splits his attention between the
field and the mound, in addition to other sports. He can fail to keep a
tight front side from time-to-time, in addition to coming with some tilt and
corresponding fall-off to the third base side, which will lead to
inconsistencies in his release and negatively affect his command and control.
His three-quarters release and long arms help to create good plane on his
fastball, and he does a decent job of repeating the slot with his curve and
changeup. There is some effort stemming from his drive, momentum, and arm
speed, which too causes some inconsistencies in his release and in his
ability to command the ball, but overall he does a solid job of moving his
pitches around, with his fastball and change-up command currently
outdistancing his breaking ball command by a fair amount. He’s slow to the
plate from the stretch, even when incorporating a slide step, so his drafting
organization will need to determine whether the best solution to this issue
is faster pacing or a focus on disrupting runners’ timing and jumps.


Stuff:

Fastball – Ball’s fastball has reportedly reached as high as 96 mph this
spring, and has routinely sat in the low-90s (fading some only recently this
spring). With a projectable frame, and plenty of room to add additional
strength, durability concerns are lessened some, with solid plus velocity
likely, long term. Ball produces some arm-side action, but the pitch falls
short of being truly explosive. He moves it around pretty well to both sides
of the plate and has little trouble elevating when needed, though he works
well down in the zone, creating plane.

Curveball – Ball’s curve is a future plus offering that is at its best in
as a 1-to-7 offering with late bite and good depth. When clicking, he’ll
bring the pitch in the mid-70s, helping it to serve as a quality
change-of-pace pitch without affording hitters recoup time to make
adjustments. He has trouble commanding the pitch with consistency, and his
control of the offering also lags behind that of his fastball and off-speed.
He’ll drop his release on occasion, as well, forcing him to come around the
pitch, which produces a soft, slurvy breaker that tends to stick on the hit
plane. With a little more consistency in execution, it should be a worthy
weapon at the next level, playing at plus—perhaps better.

Changeup – Ball’s arm action produces good fade on the changeup, which
mirrors the arm-side run noted above on the fastball. He throws the pitch
with a high level of comfort and creates arm speed and arm slot deception,
giving amateur hitters little chance to defend themselves. He generally
throws the pitch in the 78-82 mph range, creating a solid velo delta that
should play well against pro bats. It’s a third offering with plus
potential for the lefty.


Discussion:

Ball boasts a solid three-pitch foundation, a projectable frame with long
limbs and the athleticism and coordination to control them, and high marks in
make-up and work ethic, combining to present an enticing draft profile. The
lefty has shown well this spring and seems a good bet to offer at least
mid-rotation production when all is said and done. As with most high school
arms, some fluctuations in velocity and inconsistency in his secondaries can
leave an evaluator with concerns as to whether these issues will be magnified
once the player is asked to throw more frequently and in higher effort
situations. There is some solace to be found in his projectable frame, which
should allow for additional strength to come as he fills in, and much solace
to be taken from Ball’s athleticism and work ethic, would should allow him
to incorporate pro instruction well. In addition to being a top tier
pitching prospect, Ball is a worthy first round target as an outfielder,
though his combination of “now” stuff, relatively clean mechanics,
athleticism, and track record this spring make the mound a slightly safer
proposition. His Adjusted OFP, listed above, gets a bump due to physical
projection and the potential for a better-than-projected bump in stuff, and a
slight knock due to typical concerns relating to durability and the potential
negative impacts inherent in prep arms jumping from amateur to pro ball. The
Texas commit should come off the board in the first round and fits well as a
top ten pick on the bump.


Projected position: Front-end to mid-rotation starter; #2/#3

未來的二號或三號先發。


Suggested draft slot: First half of 1st Round

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"HARD WORK BEATS TALENT
WHEN TALENT FAILS TO WORK HARD."

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