A few weeks ago I got into a good discussion about young players with a friend.
The topic of Mookie Betts vs. Xander Bogaerts came up. Obviously these are
two of the key pieces for the Red Sox franchise going forward. I didn't realize
this until I looked it up just now, but they were born within a week of each
other in October, 1992.
Bogaerts was the higher profile prospect when they were in the minors, but
Betts has been stunningly effective since reaching the majors. Their value in
2015 was fairly similar but with an edge for Betts if you believe fWAR, 4.3 for
Bogaerts and 4.8 for Betts. Mookie is the better hitter at this stage with
more power and better plate discipline, but Xander is no slouch and has a
defensive premium as a shortstop. They are virtually the same age, so no
advantage there.
Our discussion centered on who will be the better player going forward. I
will not tell you what conclusion we reached, but this seems like an excellent
discussion question for the board.
So let's discuss. Who do you want on your team for the next ten years, Betts or
Bogaerts?
Mookie Betts Xander Bogaerts
位置 CF/2B SS
年紀 剛滿23 剛滿23 兩人生日差6天
三圍 .291/.341/.479 .320/.355/.421
BABIP .310 .372
WRC+ 119 109
WAR(Fangraphs) 4.8 4.3
WAR(BR) 6.0 4.6
現在網路投票 364比350票 Mookie Betts領先
我選Mookie Betts,地板高,速度樂勝,打擊穩定性跟game power都比較好
Xander Bogaerts 優點是守備位置價值比較高,raw power猛,但今年BABIP實在太高了,
明年能否維持這種三圍?且raw power能否轉為game power?
--
→ Herlin:據說有球探會看體毛 認為體毛較少的未來發育可能性更大 11/01 22:18
→ Herlin:(因為男性荷爾蒙還沒有完全作用完?) 11/01 22:18
→ Herlin:不過這是用在毛本來就很多的阿督仔上 11/01 22:19
推 alex710707:靠 版主說看體毛是在開玩笑還是認真的? 11/01 22:19
→ Herlin:用在東方人身上我想應該是肯定不準 11/01 22:19
→ Herlin:真的 我看Baseball America 的印象 11/01 22:19
--
The topic of Mookie Betts vs. Xander Bogaerts came up. Obviously these are
two of the key pieces for the Red Sox franchise going forward. I didn't realize
this until I looked it up just now, but they were born within a week of each
other in October, 1992.
Bogaerts was the higher profile prospect when they were in the minors, but
Betts has been stunningly effective since reaching the majors. Their value in
2015 was fairly similar but with an edge for Betts if you believe fWAR, 4.3 for
Bogaerts and 4.8 for Betts. Mookie is the better hitter at this stage with
more power and better plate discipline, but Xander is no slouch and has a
defensive premium as a shortstop. They are virtually the same age, so no
advantage there.
Our discussion centered on who will be the better player going forward. I
will not tell you what conclusion we reached, but this seems like an excellent
discussion question for the board.
So let's discuss. Who do you want on your team for the next ten years, Betts or
Bogaerts?
Mookie Betts Xander Bogaerts
位置 CF/2B SS
年紀 剛滿23 剛滿23 兩人生日差6天
三圍 .291/.341/.479 .320/.355/.421
BABIP .310 .372
WRC+ 119 109
WAR(Fangraphs) 4.8 4.3
WAR(BR) 6.0 4.6
現在網路投票 364比350票 Mookie Betts領先
我選Mookie Betts,地板高,速度樂勝,打擊穩定性跟game power都比較好
Xander Bogaerts 優點是守備位置價值比較高,raw power猛,但今年BABIP實在太高了,
明年能否維持這種三圍?且raw power能否轉為game power?
--
→ Herlin:據說有球探會看體毛 認為體毛較少的未來發育可能性更大 11/01 22:18
→ Herlin:(因為男性荷爾蒙還沒有完全作用完?) 11/01 22:18
→ Herlin:不過這是用在毛本來就很多的阿督仔上 11/01 22:19
推 alex710707:靠 版主說看體毛是在開玩笑還是認真的? 11/01 22:19
→ Herlin:用在東方人身上我想應該是肯定不準 11/01 22:19
→ Herlin:真的 我看Baseball America 的印象 11/01 22:19
--
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