Mike Trout將會成為2019 AL MVP - 美國職棒

By Freda
at 2019-11-14T22:09
at 2019-11-14T22:09
Table of Contents
Mike Trout將會成為2019 AL MVP
我相信這個標題是有點爭議的
因為我相信應該還不少人認為Bregman是比較有機會拿到MVP的
以下是兩位打者的數據比較
Mike Trout:
洛杉磯天使 72W-90L
134G 600PA .291 .438 .645
OPS+185 wRC+180 wOBA .436
45HR 104RBI 110R 110BB
11SB 27’2B 2’3B 137H
ISO .353
WAR 8.6(FG) 8.3(BR)
Alex Bregman:
休士頓太空人 107W-55L
156G 690PA .296 .423 .592
OPS+162 wRC+168 wOBA .418
41HR 112RBI 122R 119BB
5SB 37’2B 2’3B 164H
ISO .296
WAR 8.5(FG) 8.4(BR)
其實在鱒魚季末受傷之前,MVP基本上沒什麼懸念
但因為鱒魚季末的最後三個禮拜無法出賽
加上Bregman在八、九月的強拉尾盤
導致今年AL MVP開始有些懸念
如果嘗試比較兩者的數據,會發現其實也是相當接近,
但是可以看的出來,鱒魚在進階打擊數據的效率明顯勝出
而Bregman在傳統累積數據除了HR外小勝一些
而在綜合評比的WAR(打擊、守備、跑壘)幾乎也可以說是平分秋色
通常來說,比起CYA,MVP會更加重視球隊該季的戰績
所以我也把這部分數據也列上去
但偏偏就是在這個地方
可能成為Bregman今年錯失MVP的關鍵
攤開兩隊的打線陣容
天使隊可以說是鱒魚一枝獨秀
全隊OPS+次高的是大谷(123)和La Stella(118,只出賽80場)
其他OPS+超過100的只有Goodwin(109)、Calhoun(108)
所以可以看出來整個打線對於鱒魚的累積數據是極為不利的
另外看看太空人的打線
在所有至少300打席的打者中,分別有這些人OPS+超過100
Alvarez(173)、Springer(150)、Correa(137)、Altuve(131)、
Gurriel(126)、Brantley(126)、Chirinos(105)
很明顯在Bregman出色的累積數據背後是聯盟頂級打線的支援
更不用說今年太空人的107勝的貢獻中,包含著兩位甚至會在MVP票數拿到可觀票數的
Verlander和Cole。
因此雖然Trout因為出賽數影響導致累積數據的小幅落後,
但在重要的全壘打數領先一些
並且在進階的打擊數據中展現了比起Bregman更可怕的宰制力
而且Bregman的累積數據
有不小程度是靠著堅強的整體打線的支援
反觀鱒魚幾乎是一枝獨秀撐起整支打線,
再加上他的打席剛好達到600打席,對於出賽數較少的部分也顯得可以接受。
而過去獲得MVP的球隊戰績加乘,反而可能在今年逆向成為一種劣勢。
因此綜合觀之,我認為今年的AL MVP將會是Mike Trout
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