Djo打贏Fed的策略 - 網球 Tennis

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Brain Game: Djokovic's Winning Game Plan Against Federer

One more ball.
多打一顆球

That was the foundation on which Novak Djokovic, and coach, Boris Becker,
built a masterful game plan to win the Serb’s third Wimbledon title Sunday.
這是Djo和其教練貝克完美的比賽策略的根基

Djokovic defeated Roger Federer 7-6(1), 6-7(10), 6-4, 6-3, primarily by
extending rallies, and making Federer bend to his own baseline intentions,
much more than the opposite way.
Djo打敗老費，主要在於延長對抽次數，同時迫使老費待在底線

There were several moments in time where the match could have swung either way,
but the overall body of work was far more controlled by the Serb, and that
greatly helped when push came to shove.
或是在某些時候事情不是這樣發展，但大部分時刻比賽都掌握在賽亞人手中

Federer played more baseline points in the final (126) than any other match,
averaging 32 per set - six more per set than against Andy Murray in the
semi-finals.
費爸打了比任何一場比賽還多的底線。在決賽高達126次，每盤32次：比跟莫瑞打時每盤
足足多了六次

It was exactly the plan that super-coach, Boris Becker, had put into place.
這完全就是超級教練貝克一開始就擬定的計畫

“Obviously we knew that Roger is going to go all power, he is not going to
wait, and go for slow baseline rallies,” Becker said post-match.
貝克賽後說：很明顯的我們知道羅傑會用盡全力，他不會等待，然後在底線緩慢對抽
“He started the way he finished with Murray, very aggressive, not giving
Novak any time, any rhythm.”
他一開始就用他結束莫瑞比賽的方式，非常的侵略，不給Novak任何喘息和節奏

“There was not much between them in the first two sets, but as the match
went on I had a good feeling. I felt that eventually Novak would get hold of
Roger’s serve, get him into baseline rallies, take advantage of his younger
legs, and that was the difference.”
前兩盤雙方打的難分難解。但隨著比賽的進行，我有了好的預感。我覺得最後Novak
可以擋住羅傑的發球，迫使他返回底線對抽，利用他年輕的腿。而差距就開始出現。

Federer averaged winning 52 per cent of his baseline points going into
this year’s final, but that number was hammered down to 40 per cent by
Djokovic’s superior baseline arsenal. Ironically, those were the exact same
losing numbers for Federer at the 2014 Championships. It was simply a matter
of hitting copy / paste 12 months later for the Serb.
在進入決賽前，費德勒可以贏下52%的底線得分，但在Djo無敵的底線能力前，這個數字
掉到了40%。諷刺的是，這個數字跟去年一樣，基本上就是把12個月前的數據複製貼上

While Federer’s groundstrokes had sparkled against Murray, they mainly
misfired against Djokovic.
雖然費的抽擊對莫端很有效，卻在對Djo時熄火

In the final, Djokovic won the battle of short rallies of 0-4 shots long
103-94, lost the medium length rallies of 5-9 shots 27-34, and dominated
extended rallies of nine shots or more 18-10. Federer didn’t play that
many extended rallies in his first three rounds combined.
在0到4拍的對抽，Djo 103:94 勝費。5~9拍的對抽以27:34輸費，但在超過10次的
對抽以18:10大勝。順帶一題，費在前三輪總共加起來都沒有這麼多次超過10拍的
對抽

Djokovic Forehand
Djo正手

Djokovic’s forehand was extremely impressive in the final, hitting 17 winners
to Federer’s 15, while only committing seven (Federer 17) unforced errors.
Djokovic hit it harder and flatter than normal against Federer’s primary
baseline weapon.
Djo的正手有17個致勝球(相對於費的15個），而僅只有7個失誤（費17個）。Djo的正手
比費的主要底線攻擊武器還要平和用力

“There was no option,” Becker said. “If you don’t hit it you lose anyway.
Go through the ball, be aggressive, go head-to-head with Roger, or you are
going to lose.”
貝克說：你沒有任何選擇。如果你不用力打，你還是會輸，所以就盡情的去攻擊，跟
羅傑對轟，要不然就等著輸球

“At the French Open he (Novak) played too tentative, he wanted Stan (Wawrinka)
to miss the balls, but you are not going to win a Grand Slam final by waiting
for the other guy to miss.”
在法網囧打的太小心，他希望小卡自爆，但你沒辦法在大滿貫藉由等其他人自爆而贏球
（迷之聲：去年溫網？）

“Novak was ready to go five hours, and I think it showed,” Becker added.
Novak早就準備好要打五小時了，我想你們也看見了

Second Serves
二發

The other key battle ground that Djokovic dominated in similar fashion to
their 2014 final was second serves. In successive finals, Djokovic’s second
serve winning per centage remained a strength, while Federer’s got
significantly worse.
跟去年一樣的由Djo稱霸的關鍵戰場是二發。在今年決賽，Djo的二發依然強勢，但費的
二發就變得跟爛

Djokovic won 60 per cent of his second serves in today’s final and 65 per cent
last year at SW19 against Federer. The Swiss, seven-time champion had won
66 per cent of his second serve points the past two weeks, but could only
muster 49 per cent in the final. Last year, those numbers also massively
dropped from 62 per cent to 44 per cent.
今天Djo贏了60%的二發，去年贏了65%。在過去兩個禮拜瑞士人贏了66%的二發，可是面對
Djo只剩下可憐的49%。去年這個數字從62%掉到了44%

Becker scouted Federer’s impressive semi-final victory over Murray from the
Royal Box on Centre Court, and saw specific areas for Djokovic to attack in
the final.
貝克在費德勒大勝莫端的比賽大刺刺的坐在旁邊收集情報。他從費身上看到了一些Djo
可以攻擊的部位

“Wimbledon finals are not won in the semi-final,” Becker knowingly pointed
out.
溫網決賽不是由準決賽來贏的

“Roger peaked in the semi-final. He could not have played better, but I have
seen Andy Murray play better as well. Of course, you get carried away with
the legend, Roger has won it seven times, but I felt if Novak could get hold
of the return, get Roger involved in the baseline rallies, just the extra
point all the time, eventually he was going to wear him down.”
羅傑在準決賽的表現已經好的不能再更好，但是莫端其實也表現的更好。但我有感覺假
如Djo可以在接球局中撐住，迫使羅傑參與更多底線對抽。就算只是多打幾分，最後
囧會開始把費給消耗掉

Federer Attacking
費的攻擊

Federer served and volleyed on 22 per cent (21/94) of his first serve points,
and 25 per cent (11/44) on seconds serves, overall winning a healthy 72 per
cent (23/32). He was also solid with net points won, winning 73 per cent
(42/58) at the front of the court. But it should have happened even more, as
Djokovic was able to get Federer into 126 baseline exchanges, that made
Federer’s pathway forward less clear, and blunted his overall aggression.
費在一發有22%的發球上網，二發有25%的發球上網。網前得分率是健康的73%。但這
應該要發生更多次的。因為Djo迫使費進行高達126次的底線對抽，費向前走的路就不明了

What Federer needed was more attacking than normal against Djokovic, but he
was not unwavering with the tactic.
費需要的是更多的攻擊來對抗Djo，但他對於這個策略並是堅定不搖的

Overall, Djokovic served magnificently, returned hard and deep, and took
advantage of the small windows of opportunity that presented themselves
better than Federer.
總體來說，Djo發球很棒，回球很用力很深，同時掌握住那一丁點的優勢而使他比
費更優秀

Djokovic knew Federer was not going to miss on the first couple of shots in a
rally, but he a made a point of repeatedly asking the question on the third
shot, or the fifth, or the seventh.
Djo知道費不會放過前幾拍的對抽，但他讓費不斷地在3、5或7拍面對這個問題

One more ball created one more opportunity to miss, and delivered one more
title on the world’s biggest stage.
每多一拍就可以創造更多的機會，同時得到更多的冠軍


很多人都說如果費表現的跟半決賽一樣好就會贏
但這是不可能的。費的武器和弱點早就被對方的教練看透了
費在數據上的表現比去年決賽好多了
可是反而更早輸球
（他自己本人都說他打的並不差，純粹技不如人）

有人說顛峰時期的費來打現在的囧會贏
但事實上他應該會輸的更慘
現在的費比以前更有經驗
懂的如何降低他弱的傷害
技巧也更純熟

以前的費應該是打不贏現在的費的
如果現在的費沒有更強的話
他也不可能維持在世界第二
畢竟其他人也一直在進步

只是世界第一的那個家伙已經幾乎沒有弱點了
唯一能夠打敗他的方法就是硬碰硬
像小卡那樣
而那個傢伙擁有各種的武器對你的弱點發動攻擊
除非能像小卡那樣幾乎沒弱點可以攻（自爆以外）
否則要打敗囧幾乎就是不可能的任務

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