BP prospect chat - 美國職棒

Chris King (St. Petersburg): Have you ever seen Deven Marrero this season? If
yes, can you talk your thoughts on him? Is he just a defense-only shortshop?

Chris King (St. Petersburg): 你這季有去看Deven Marrero嗎？對他的想法是什麼，是
只有手套的游擊手嗎？

Jason Cole: I have and wasn't crazy about the bat at all. Good approach, but
lacking punch and I questioned the mechanics. I'd put a plus on the glove and
he's a relatively instinctual player overall, but the bat is very likely
going to keep him from being an ideal every day guy. Maybe more of a utility
or up-and-down type.

Jason Cole:對棒子並不感到期待，很棒的approach但缺乏力量，還有我質疑他的揮棒動
作不好。手套是plus等級，直覺也很好，但是他的棒子可能變成「成為每日先發」之路上
的阻礙。可能會變工具人或是大聯盟邊緣人。

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James Harden (Houston): Thanks for the chat, Jason. Who has higher upside
between Martin Perez and Henry Owens?

James Harden (Houston): Martin Perez跟Henry Owens的天花板？

Jason Cole: Martin Perez, without a doubt, in my eyes. Better command profile
with better stuff.

Jason Cole: 就我來看絕對是Martin Perez。控球較優、stuff也是。
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Mellens (Boston): Your thoughts on Blake Swihart? Do you put role 6 on him?
Or higher?

Mellens (Boston): Blake Swihart如何？6分等級的捕手？

Jason Cole: I'd probably go 55 but could see the argument for role 6
absolutely. I mean, if he becomes an average or solid-average defensive
catcher with at least a 6 arm – and he hits .280 with 20 doubles and 10 home
runs on top of that – that's an above average everyday catcher. I think he
could do that.

Jason Cole: 也許給5.5，或許有給到6的空間。如果他的防守能力達到 average 或
solid-average以及至少6分的手臂；.280、20 2B、10 HR的話，那就是高於
平均等級的每日捕手。我認為他有可能做到。
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Marcus (Greenville): Do you think Jackie Bradley will hit at a level above a
guy like Denard Span, or is that a fair comparison?

Marcus (Greenville): 你覺得Jackie Bradley的打擊能到Denard Span那樣嗎？拿他們相
比合理嗎？

Jason Cole: Similar average, probably a little more on-base skill, and more
power. Not quite the same type of player, but I think Bradley will be a
little better overall.

Jason Cole: 差不多打擊率、好一點的上壘技巧以及多一些的力量。不算是同類球員，不
過整體而言我覺得JBJ小勝。
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Shawn (Cubicle): Do you see Will Middlebrooks as a Starter-caliber 3B?

Shawn (Cubicle): 你覺得Will Middlebrooks是先發等級三壘手嗎？

Jason Cole: I do. Not a star, but solid.

Jason Cole: 是的。不是明星等級但不錯用了。
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j train and the big brain (cubicle): Brighter future: Manuel Margot or Elier
Hernandez?

j train and the big brain (cubicle): Manuel Margot 跟 Elier Hernandez，誰的未
來比較光明？

Jason Parks: Margot

Jason Parks: Margot。
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John (CT): Garin Cecchini has followed up his very good rookie season with an
even better second year. All of this leads to the question,where does he play
for the Red Sox in the majors? He doesn't have the power of the typical ML
third baseman. Is he starter material?

John (CT): Garin Cecchini菜鳥季打的不錯，而第二季甚至更棒。我想問他未來在波士
頓紅襪的位置怎樣？他沒有大聯盟三壘手該有的砲瓦，他能算先發料子嗎？


Jason Parks: He was overvalued because of his numbers; some had him as a top
20 prospect, which floors me. I like the bat and the approach, but I don't
see a 3B long-term and I don't see big power coming out of the bat. He's
probably going to be a major league regular, but I don't see the type of
ceiling that warrants such lofty praise coming his way. Maybe a high-average
corner bat that has secondary skills, which is a damn good player. He's not a
star.

Jason Parks: 他因為好的數據而被高估了，有些人把他列在Top 20，讓我覺得不可思議。
我喜歡他的棒子和approach，但是我不將他視為三壘的長期解答，我也不認
為他會生出砲瓦。他或許能成為大聯盟每日先發三壘手，不過我覺得他的那
種天花板能在未來轉變成那些稱讚所捧的程度。或許是高打擊率三壘手，再
加上第二種技能─已經算很棒的球員了。不過不到明星等級。
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gphelp77 (Chicago): I know that when looking at these three players right now
they are incomparable, however it looks like Bogaerts, Russell, and Correa
are the top SS prospects in the minors. Who has the higher ceiling, floor,
and risk between them? And what is your gut feeling about how you'd rank them
5 years from now?

gphelp77 (Chicago): 我知道現在來看不大能比較，但Xander Bogaerts、Addison
Russell和Carlos Correa三個頂級游擊新秀的天花板、地板和風險
程度的排名；還有五年後的高下如何？

(Russell：綠帽；Correa：太空人)

Jason Parks: Higher Ceiling: Bogaerts, Correa, Russell
Higher Floor: Bogaerts, Russell, Correa
Biggest Risk: Correa, Russell, Bogaerts
Five Years From Now: Bogaerts, Correa, Russell

Jason Parks:

天花板： Xander Bogaerts > Carlos Correa > Addison Russell
地板： Xander Bogaerts > Addison Russell > Carlos Correa
風險： Carlos Correa > Addison Russell > Xander Bogaerts
五年後： Xander Bogaerts > Carlos Correa > Addison Russell
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Chris Mellen (Boston): Nick, which pitcher has the highest upside in this
draft class? Also, do you think Trey Ball is #1 in the future?

Chris Mellen (Boston): 這梯選秀成員中天花板最高的投手是誰？Trey Ball有機會成為
一號嗎？

Nick Faleris on Draft Signing Day: Kohl Stewart, but he is highly unlikely to
be a quick mover. Ball is a #2 upside, #3 profile for me, but has the
combination of body/athleticism that you mark as having the potential to
outgrow his projections. Really nice prospect.

Nick Faleris: Kohl Stewart，但是不會馬上飆上去。Ball的天花板是二號，我覺得偏向
三號，但是他的身體/運動能力讓他有高過預測的潛力。很棒的新秀。

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＊Athletic frame.
＊High baseball IQ. Xander
＊Smooth, fluid swing. Bogaerts
＊Elite batspeed. #01
＊Strong and explosive hands.
＊Above-average-to-better power ceiling, potential 30 home run bat.

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