BP 2017 TOP 10 Prospects - 美國職棒

The Top Ten:

Victor Robles, OF
Juan Soto, OF
Carter Kieboom, SS
Seth Romero, LHP
Erick Fedde, RHP
Luis Garcia, SS
Andrew Stevenson, OF
Yasel Antuna, SS/3B
Daniel Johnson, OF
Kelvin Gutierrez, 3B


1. Victor Robles, OF

The Good: Here’s the other role 8 we’re giving out this offseason. Robles
projects for plus-plus tools, true 70 grades at four of the five traditional
grading spots—hit, run, field, and arm—and there’s even some room above
projection on those. His power “only” projects as average to above-average,
but he’s not exactly a slouch there. He’s an incredible athlete, a natural
hitter, and incredibly instinctual on the baseball field, which shows up
everywhere from his jumps in the outfield to his consistent ability to get
plunked by a few dozen pitches to beef up his OBP. Moreover, he’s already
close to his projections, having shown up in the majors in September looking
like he firmly belonged.

The Bad: The over-the-fence power’s not quite there yet; his 10 combined
home runs in 2017 represented a career-high, although he did hit for major
doubles power and nobody would be surprised if the dingers are coming. He’s
gotten banged up a bit more than you’d like, specifically with the
occasional leg injuries that sometimes hamper speedsters. The hit-by-pitch “
ability” cuts both ways, leaving him open to hand and wrist injuries, which
did briefly crop up in 2016. These are the tiniest of nits.

The Role, as expressed in Bad Company lyrics:
OFP 80—”And all the world will love you, just as long, as long as you are a
shooting star”
Likely 70—”Company, always on the run / Destiny is the rising sun”

The Risks: Uh, I guess he could get hurt really badly? He’s a skilled enough
outfielder and runner that even if he somehow fails to hit up to our hopes he
’s still going to be a very good regular into his late-20s. —Jarrett Seidler

Major league ETA: Debuted in 2017




2. Juan Soto, OF

The Good: Soto is a potential 7 hit/6 pop right fielder. While he doesn’t
have the big power swing—or big power body—you’ve come to expect in your
right field prospect profile, he generates exceptional pop from a compact
stroke. His quick wrists and plus bat speed allow him to wait on pitches and
still drive the ball authoritatively. He has a strong approach at the plate—
if an expansive idea of what he can hit, but he hasn’t been wrong so far.
Soto spent the year as an 18-year-old and could still add strength in his
upper body despite not having a traditionally projectable frame. He is a good
athlete that should be a defensive asset in a corner and has enough arm for
right field.

The Bad: This should have been Soto’s breakout season à la the outfielder
one spot ahead of him on this list in 2016. He was well on his way to that
before injuries to his ankle and hamate derailed his 2017 season. We still
think he’s a potential all-star outfielder, but now we are still waiting for
him to really prove that in full-season ball. He isn’t built like a
traditional slugging corner outfielder, and the over-the-fence power isn’t
in games yet.

The Role:
OFP 70—All-star right fielder
Likely 55—Above-average corner outfielder


The Risks: We love the tools, but he has yet to play a full-season of pro
ball and ankle and hamate injuries are concerning. We’ll run it back and
have a better idea in 2018, but the risks are pretty high for now. If he is
healthy in 2018, he could start to move quite quickly even though he is still
a teenager.

Major league ETA: 2020

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