Andy Katz's Top 25 for 2010-2011 - NCAA

既然選秀已經底定，就讓我們來看看現在各隊的情況吧!
簡單翻譯重點，如有偏差請見諒

http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/columns/story?columnist=katz_andy&id=5179956

The NCAA's deadline to withdraw from the NBA draft was pushed up five weeks
from its usual spot in mid-June. Thus, so too was our post-deadline top 25.

NBA選秀已經因為期限提前而底定了，所以現在是postdeadline的第一份TOP25

This is what we know about the 2010-11 season: There won't be a truly great
team.

Sound familiar? It was true last season.

跟去年一樣，今年也沒有真正"偉大的"球隊拉

And because of that, Duke has a chance to repeat as national champions. Not
losing anyone early to the NBA draft after winning a national title is almost
unheard of these days, unless you're Florida's 2006-07 team. So with Kyle
Singler's decision to return to school, the Blue Devils will almost certainly
start the season where they left off -- at No. 1.

因為如此，也因為DUKE幾乎不可能的留下了所有球員(大四除外)，Blue Devils是現在
下季的開季首選

As for conferences, the Big Ten should be loaded with highly competitive
teams and at least two national title contenders in Purdue and Michigan
State. The depth in the Big 12 shouldn't disappoint either, with two teams in
my top 5 and another pair ranked in the teens. The Big East may lack top
seeds, but will get its share of bids. The ACC doesn't have as much depth as
usual. The SEC East may be the most competitive collection of teams of any
group. The Pac-10 will be dominated by Washington and a group of nine others
that will chase the Huskies. The Mountain West will be top-heavy again, with
a very solid top four. And for a second straight season, the A-10 may have up
to six contenders for NCAA bids.

"大十"會是下季最有競爭力的聯盟，有普渡還有斯巴達人兩支強隊，"大十二"也頗強
"大東"沒有最強的隊伍，ACC仍然是在失常的狀態，SEC是整體而言最強的，P-10被華盛頓
主宰，Mountain會是頭重腳輕，A-10竄升中。

There were tough choices here and as is always the case with such early
rankings, there will be room to criticize. Wichita State is a Missouri Valley
squad that could have made its way into the rankings. I also could have gone
deeper in the ACC, and certainly the Big Ten. Northwestern should finally
make the NCAA tournament for the first time ever and maybe even make cameos
in the top 25.

但其實還是很難選...

There were plenty of other teams I considered for these rankings and plenty
of worthy candidates were left off -- not everyone can be included. But feel
free to flood that comment section with where you think I went wrong. Have at
it …
沒上榜的不要灰心，再接再厲

1. Duke: There's no question the Blue Devils are the favorite with the return
of Kyle Singler, Nolan Smith, Mason and Miles Plumlee and the addition to the
backcourt of newcomers Kyrie Irving (freshman) and Seth Curry (transfer).
Duke has a legit shot to win consecutive titles for the second time in
program history (1991 and '92 was the first) and second time this century
after Florida won in 2006 and '07. The questions will be how the Blue Devils
handle being the target from day one, how much they will change defensively
without Brian Zoubek (yes, that's relevant) and how much they will miss Jon
Scheyer's 3-point shooting.

因為SINGELER決定歸隊，所以衛冕冠軍DUKE可以說是下季最愛之一。少了Zoubek的肉體
還有Schyer的三分球會是主要的課題，如果Blue Devils可以解決問題的話，他們可以達成
校史上也是本世紀第二次連勝兩年的紀錄。

2. Purdue: You could go either way with Purdue or Michigan State at 2 and 3.
I'm leaning toward Purdue here because of the big three -- Robbie Hummel,
JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore. The drive of this squad to get to the Final
Four after losing in the Sweet 16 in the post-Hummel period (ACL) will be
relevant throughout the season. The issue will be how the Boilermakers
replace Chris Kramer's defense and his overall toughness.

鍋爐人(?)跟斯巴達人伯仲之間，因為有有了健康的HUMMEL還有Johnson and Moore，
我選擇普渡。上季的在Sweet 16的陰影將會留下，還有要如何取代KRAMER也是課題。

3. Michigan State: The Spartans return the core of their team except Raymar
Morgan. While Morgan was inconsistent at times, he was still a major part of
the team. His absence is the reason I have the Spartans a peg below Purdue.
I'd also like to see how Kalin Lucas responds to his recovery. A ruptured
Achilles injury hasn't been as common as an ACL, so let's see if Lucas loses
a step. But with the talent returning and a stellar recruiting class, there's
no reason to believe MSU won't be in contention for a third consecutive Final
Four berth. The run put together by Tom Izzo's program since 1999 makes the
Spartans, perhaps, the most consistent program in the country.

斯巴達人將會有與上季差不多的陣容，少了MORGAN，但是有了健康的LUCAS，他們將
會是一支極有競爭力的勁旅。TOM IZZOS的隊伍自1999以來或許是全國最穩定的隊伍。

編按:剛剛知道了今年的ACC/Big Ten Challenge，Duke將在12/1號在主場迎戰
Michigan State，到底Duke自2000年以來77連勝的Home Non-conference
記錄能不能持續下去呢?緊張刺激阿

4. Baylor: Putting Baylor this high puts a lot on the shoulders of incoming
freshman Perry Jones. Let's see if he lives up to the hype of being not just
better than Ekpe Udoh, but the best big man in the country. The Bears also
lost Tweety Carter, but return LaceDarius Dunn and can legitimately claim to
be the team to beat in the Big 12. I'm sure this pick will get criticized,
but let's not forget the Bears were an Elite Eight team that lost to the
eventual national champion. This squad hasn't had to deal with being the
target, however, so let's see how it handled this kind of prognostication.

BAYLOR能排這麼高是因為對大一新人Jones的期待，我賭了!

5. Kansas State: I really could have flipped Kansas State and Baylor, and
maybe I should have with Denis Clemente being the Wildcats' only major loss.
Jacob Pullen will need to find a partner on the perimeter as proficient as
Clemente, but the role players on the Wildcats like Jamar Samuels, Dominique
Sutton and Curtis Kelly continue to improve and the depth will be hard to
match. This is certainly a Final Four contender.

野貓們跟BAYLOR不相上下，Pollen需要找一個好搭檔取代Clemente，K-STATE是一個有相當
實力的FINAL FOUR挑戰者。

6. Ohio State: The Buckeyes did lose the national player of the year in Evan
Turner. That's a fact. But they also brought in the top recruiting class in
the country to join perimeter players like David Lighty, Jon Diebler and
William Buford. The recruiting class, led by big man Jared Sullinger and
Deshaun Thomas, give the Buckeyes more balance and plenty of options
offensively. The Big Ten was hyped as the best conference by some last
preseason. It didn't live up to it throughout the season, but it'll be hard
to dispute in 2010-11.

丟了TURNER但迎來了不錯的大一人，給了他們很多的進攻選項與變化性，請拭目以待

7. Pittsburgh: The Panthers aren't going to wow you with their overall
talent. But what they have is a solid core of players who grew into their
roles and became winners again under Jamie Dixon last season, which has
become expected with this program. Pitt loses Jermaine Dixon, but it had to
play without him at times last season. Ashton Gibbs has become a big-shot
maker and a quality lead guard, Gilbert Brown has grown into his leadership
role and Brad Wanamaker will continue to shine. Nasir Robinson emerged as a
better post option than McDonald's All-American Dante Taylor, but that could
shift as Taylor matures. Pitt might not have the most talent in the Big East,
but the experience should lead the Panthers to the conference title.

丟了一些人但核心留下了，PITT在大東中或許不是最有天賦的，但經驗累積會是一個重要角色

8. Villanova: Scottie Reynolds was clearly Nova's go-to player last season.
No one will dispute that. But if you watched the Wildcats, even in their
squeaker against Robert Morris in the first round or against Saint Mary's in
the second, you saw how much talent they have for next season. Corey Fisher,
Corey Stokes and Antonio Pena will be rejoined by Maalik Wayns and Dominic
Cheek, who are rising stars in the Big East. Expect the latter two to
increase their profiles this season. The issue for the Wildcats will be how
much more can they get out of Mouphtaou Yarou and Maurice Sutton. There is
plenty of potential there as well. Expect Nova to be in the thick of the Big
East race.

沒了REYNOLDS但經驗會說話，Villanova有足夠的天賦與潛力，誰知道呢?

9. Gonzaga: The Bulldogs are a bit like Villanova. When you digest that they
lost Matt Bouldin, you assume they've lost their star and will fade. But the
Zags do return a star in the making in Elias Harris. He should be the more
featured player this season, and given room to shine, will produce. If Steven
Gray can be more consistent on the perimeter, Demetri Goodson can be more
consistent as a lead guard and Robert Sacre can be a force inside, Gonzaga
will be the top team in the West -- again.

像NOVA一樣，經驗累積會說話(?)Gonzaga會是在West中首屈一指的隊伍

10. Florida: I'm back on board with the Gators. This is hardly 2005-06 or
2006-07, but Florida does return all five starters from an NCAA tournament
team. This will be a group that has experience, understands how to play for
Billy Donovan and will find ways to win. Kenny Boynton, Erving Walker,
Chandler Parsons, Alex Tyus and Vernon Macklin aren't going as a group to the
NBA. Who knows if any of them will even make the league? But this is a solid
college squad that can win the SEC East. A quality recruiting class will add
much-needed depth and having Rutgers transfer Mike Rosario working out with
them every day will help push them as well.

雖然不像他們三四年前奪冠的陣容，但贏回了去年先發陣容再加上經驗，讓鱷魚有可能
挑戰SEC

11. North Carolina: Could the problems of a year ago still persist? Of
course. But you cannot ignore the Tar Heels' talent or how they finished last
season, making a run to the NIT final with Larry Drew II running the point
well (still too many turnovers) and John Henson shining as a low-post scorer
(even with his slight build). Gone are the top two scorers in Deon Thompson
and Ed Davis, as well as Marcus Ginyard and the Wear twins. But the addition
of best-in-the-nation recruit Harrison Barnes, a natural star who will end up
being the face of this team with his ability to handle the media, will be
huge, and Reggie Bullock and Kendall Marshall, part of the nation's No. 2
recruiting class, will push perimeter returnees Leslie McDonald and Dexter
Strickland. There is too much talent for this team to slide too far again.

在經歷了問題多多的一年，瀝青腳(?)的天賦再加上全國第一的大一新鮮人BARNES，還有
上季在季末在NIT裡第二名的表現，讓瀝青腳們站上這個位置。

12. Washington: The Huskies have emerged as the top team in the Pac-10. End
of discussion. The other nine schools are playing catch-up right now. Gone
from this squad is Quincy Pondexter, who had a solid senior year and was a
great citizen for the program. But Washington will have a veteran perimeter
in Isaiah Thomas and Venoy Overton and a solid wing in Justin Holiday. Adding
Terrence Ross gives the Huskies another productive player, and if forward
Terrence Jones honors his commitment and doesn't go to Kentucky, U-Dub should
move up this list and be a top-10 team.

在PAC10中領先的地位無可動搖.END

13. Kentucky: This could be a reach. I don't dispute that argument. John
Wall, DeMarcus Cousins, Patrick Patterson, Eric Bledsoe and Daniel Orton are
all gone. You might be asking why I'm not punting Kentucky from my top 25 all
together? Well, the recent history of UK and that of John Calipari at Memphis
tells us not to assume demise when a reshuffling of talent occurs. Sure there
is a talent drop off, but the return of key role players like Darius Miller
and DeAndre Liggins and a stellar recruiting class led by Brandon Knight,
Enes Kanter (assuming he doesn't run into a major suspension for amateur
issues), Stacey Poole and Doron Lamb means the Cats will be able to compete
with any team in the country. The newcomers don't have as much star power as
this past season's freshman class, but the talent is still headline quality.
Kanter is the key. If he is good to go by SEC play at the latest, Big Blue
should be right in the thick of the race.

再送走了一大批人到NBA後，calliperi仍然迎來了一批有天賦的大一人，雖然不像
上季一樣強，但仍然是足夠挑戰SEC的

14. Missouri: The Tigers return guards Kim English and Marcus Denmon, Justin
Safford is back from a knee injury and Mike Anderson has his most-celebrated
recruiting class coming on board. Forward Tony Mitchell and point guard Phil
Pressey will be impact players as freshmen. Missouri should be able to play
even more of Anderson's fastest 40 minutes in basketball and having a healthy
Safford will give the Tigers a staple in the post. Anderson got to the Elite
Eight two seasons ago, made it back to the NCAAs last season, snubbed Oregon
and is now putting a program together that should be near the top of the Big
12.

再贏回了大部分的球員在加上康復的其他人之後，老虎們應該是大東裡前段班之一。

15. Illinois: There should be no excuse for the Illini this time. Illinois
should be a Top 25 team throughout the season and an NCAA-tournament team at
the end of it -- and the Illini shouldn't need the extra three spots in the
expanded tourney to get a bid. The additions of forward Jereme Richardson and
center Meyers Leonard give Bruce Weber's team the necessary depth as the top
five scorers return in Demetri McCamey, Mike Tisdale, Mike Davis, D.J.
Richardson and Brandon Paul. McCamey has to be a better leader. The
streakiness with this squad has to stop. There is no reason for it to occur
next season in what should be a highly competitive Big Ten with Wisconsin,
Minnesota and Northwestern nipping at the heels of Purdue, Michigan State,
Ohio State and Illinois.

我看不出來這次有任何原因ILLINI進不了Tourney，請加油!

16. Kansas: The Jayhawks actually might be a bit too low here if they develop
the way they should throughout the season. Gone is the leader of this squad
in Sherron Collins, the primary post in Cole Aldrich and the X factor on the
wing in Xavier Henry. But KU does bring back rising stars in Marcus Morris
and Tyshawn Taylor, and Markieff Morris, Brady Morningstar, Tyrel Reed,
Thomas Robinson and Elijah Johnson will see their minutes increase as well as
their production. Getting top-flight point guard Josh Selby to run this squad
was a must. Kansas had to land a marquee player in the spring to maintain
relevance at the national level and it did just that. If Selby delivers, the
Jayhawks will be in the mix with everyone else in the Big 12.

雖然丟了三位核心球員，但如果KANSAS找到了如何發展出新的模式在加上球員的天賦，
他們是不會輸給大十二中其他人的

17. Syracuse: It was easy to hedge on the Orange on my post-Final Four poll.
Wes Johnson was turning pro. Andy Rautins was the unsung MVP and Arinze
Onuaku a solid inside presence. But the Cuse has too much talent returning
with a star in Kris Joseph, the return of Scoop Jardine and Brandon Triche,
Rick Jackson in the post and a headline recruiting class, led by Fab Melo,
Dion Waiters and C.J. Fair. The Orange will have some inexperience among the
ranks, but they should end up with the most talent of any Big East roster.

雖然球員仍然是相當有天賦，但經驗不足是個問題

18. Tennessee: The Volunteers had an amazing season by making it all the way
to the Elite Eight despite the dismissal of Tyler Smith, supposedly the top
talent on the squad. Bruce Pearl did his best coaching job yet to get UT to
the Elite Eight, and in the regular season, to knock off two 1-seeds in
Kansas and Kentucky. Once again, Pearl has a challenge on his hands after
losing Wayne Chism, J.P. Prince and starting point guard Bobby Maze. He'll
need Scotty Hopson to become a more consistent shooter. Melvin Goins and
Cameron Tatum have to be reliable. Brian Williams must develop into a scorer.
But the most important player will be freshman forward Tobias Harris. He can
be a star and should become one on this squad. If he does, the Vols will push
past Vandy and Georgia in the SEC East and be in thick of the race with
Kentucky and Florida. It should be one heck of a division.

上季是個美好的經歷，這季看新進大一情況志工們仍有可能角逐SEC王座。

19. Memphis: If the Tigers are to be an elite team this season, then it won't
be about the returning players. It will be the newcomers. Coach Josh Pastner
will have yet another challenging season, but of a different kind. Last
season he had to manage veteran players and a one-year transfer in Elliot
Williams, who saved the Tigers' season and helped them reach 24 wins and an
NIT appearance. But if the heralded recruiting class is as good as
advertised, then Pastner should have a good time molding this crew into a
solid national contender and the top team in C-USA. He certainly has the
talent, led by Will Barton and hometown product Joe Jackson. Should be fun to
see how it develops.

大一新鮮人會決定MEMPHIS能不能踏入強隊之林，拭目以待

20. Butler: If Gordon Hayward had returned, it would have been an easy sell
to put the Bulldogs in the top 5. But Hayward's decision wasn't hard to make
because he's likely a top-20 pick. It just makes sense. But to give up on
this squad would not be prudent. Sure, Butler also loses Willie Veasley and
Avery Jukes, but coach Brad Stevens has plenty to celebrate again with
Shelvin Mack (one of the elite guards in the country), Matt Howard (a gritty
post player still figuring out how to play without fouling so much), Ronald
Nored (an elite defender) and Zach Hahn (a legit 3-point threat). Butler will
be the class of the Horizon League again, a Top 25 team again, in the mix in
March again, and on your television set quite a bit with quality games all
over the schedule.

雖然HAYWARD走了，但這次沒有人會說BUTLER是underdog了

21. Georgetown: The Hoyas had to drop because of the early departure of Greg
Monroe, who averaged 16 points and 10 boards and was one of the best passing
big men in the country. But let's not cry for the Hoyas. The backcourt of
Chris Wright and Austin Freeman returns (I remember more big games from
Freeman last season than from Monroe). Jason Clark also emerged as another
scoring threat and JT3 brings in a top-20 recruiting class. We will see if
Hollis Thompson and Julian Vaughn can be more consistent scorers. Georgetown
had no excuse for its poor performance against Ohio in the first round of the
tournament, but that humbling defeat and now the departure of Monroe should
motivate this crew even more.

希望Monroe的離開還有上季丟臉的OHIO之役能刺激HOYAS再起，雖然少了點天賦

22. Virginia Tech: Just like Illinois, Virginia Tech can't complain to
anybody if it doesn't make the NCAA tournament this time -- and like
Illinois, it shouldn't need an expanded field, either. The Hokies return
Malcolm Delaney, Dorenzo Hudson and Jeff Allen. If they can't get to the
Dance with that veteran trio, then something is wrong. The nonconference
schedule is supposedly going to improve and Virginia Tech is likely to be a
top-three team in the ACC. Delaney's decision to return ensures the Hokies
have a star who can make them a threat to challenge the mighty Blue Devils.
Circle that Duke-Virginia Tech game on your calendar.

既然DELANEY回來了，加上知道了NON_CONFERENCE的重要性之後，Virginia Tech沒有
意外這次應該可以打進NCAA

23. Temple: The Owls can't be dismissed under Fran Dunphy. He has ensured
that they'll be taken seriously every time they step on the court. Not having
leading scorer Ryan Brooks won't help and losing Lavoy Allen early to the NBA
draft would have been tough to overcome. But Allen's return inside with Juan
Fernandez on the perimeter gives the Owls a nice 1-2 punch. Temple and Xavier
should be the top teams in the A-10, but I wouldn't dismiss Richmond, Dayton,
Saint Louis or Rhode Island from being in the thick of the race, either. The
A-10 will once again have a highly competitive chase at the top.

A-10將會是再一次的相當具有挑戰性，喪失了兩位得分手之後，TEMPLE將在A10面臨挑戰。

24. San Diego State: This Mountain West spot was originally reserved for
BYU. Of course, the return of Jimmer Fredette gives the Cougars the top
player in the league, but the combination of losing Michael Loyd
(transferring) and senior Jonathan Tavernari makes me pause. New Mexico
could've been here had Darington Hobson decided to stay in school. And
picking UNLV would have been a safe choice, too. But I watched San Diego
State push Tennessee to the brink in the first round and its talent abounds.
Rebounding machine Kawhi Leonard is back for a second go-around, along with
Billy White, Malcolm Thomas and D.J. Gay. The entire team is back. What the
Aztecs must do is make themselves more of a national story. San Diego State
has to get out and play national games to get some momentum heading into MWC
play. This is a squad that should be seen more often.

因為FREDETTE的歸來讓SD STATE取代了BYU成為了MOUNTAIN WEST中的最愛，但AZTECS
需要更多聯盟外的比賽以及全國性的曝光

25. Georgia: If you're looking for a sleeper in the 25 slot, then I've got
one in Georgia. The Bulldogs have two of the top talents in the SEC in Trey
Thompkins and Travis Leslie. If you haven't seen these two perform, you're
missing a good show. UGA also adds a terrific scorer in Tennessee State
transfer Gerald Robinson Jr. The Bulldogs slowly developed into a big-time
pest in their first year under Mark Fox. Remember, this team beat Illinois,
took out Georgia Tech and Florida, crushed Tennessee and Vanderbilt and gave
Kentucky a serious scare in Lexington. Georgia will be taken seriously from
the outset next season. Don't sleep on the Dawgs.

GEORIa迎來的大一新鮮人再加上黑馬的歷史讓他們有可能成為sec的挑戰者

--