2021 Draft 綠帽版 - 美國職棒

今年選20輪.首次搬到七月All-Star Week又Eastern Time Sunday開始 (July 11-13)
和平常不同.
今年還多去年只選五輪本應選上卻留下來的千餘人,不過似乎對前段選秀沒什麼影響.
對中段來講球隊打電話去時只會出比以前更低的bonuses.
對選秀而言多了MLB Draft League (May 24 - mid-August https://atmlb.com/3gESNE9
https://bit.ly/3q7En2x) , the Appalachian League (小聯盟精簡的產物,
https://atmlb.com/3zF8vXe) , MLB Draft Combine (June 21-28,
https://atmlb.com/3cSDo0R https://atmlb.com/3cQM0oo) 但目前作用不大.


2020 Cape Cod League沒打也沒Collegiate National Team, College player跟HS一樣
充滿不確定性.
High school position player是質和量最好的類別.
以綠帽以前的習慣抽一隻HS position player的機率很大,市場也都在傳他們在看這些人.
就傳的那幾個人來說前面大部分都沒要搶的意思,所以只要自己選好目標就行.
今年bonus pool是一樣倒數的$6,188,900 (https://atmlb.com/3gMB121)





時間



July 11 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1st round and competitive balance picks
July 12 1:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 2-10
July 13 Noon (ET) Rounds 11-20




順位


1st(29) COMP(7) 2nd(27) COMP(8) 3rd(30) 4th(30) COMP(1) after 5th

#25 #60 #97 #127 #158


以下老樣子以#25為主



21.Will Taylor R/R OF Dutch Fork HS, Irmo, S.C. OF
AVG .450 OBP .586 7HR 21SB

Great athleticism: At least 70 run, average arm, 50-55 hit. Power below average
A chance to be a true center fielder. Three-sport athlete (wrestling, football,
baseball), dual sport scholarship. Signability concerns, no advisor.
Told teams he has a deal somewhere in the first half.被時常在中後段提到甚至#9,
掉下來的機會變低.如果乳摸是真的他會在前半被選走.
https://www.mlb.com/video/2021-draft-will-taylor-of




33.Peyton Stovall L/R 2B Haughton (La.) HS
.489/.649/.988 12HR 38BB/7SO 11SB


One of the best pure prep bats. Sweet left-handed swing, 60-65 hit,
above-average power, below average arm and below average runner.
Position questions.
https://www.mlb.com/video/2021-draft-peyton-stovall-2b





34.Colson Montgomery L/R 3B/SS Southridge HS, Huntingburg, Ind.
AVG .333 7HR 24SB

Good left-handed swing, 55-60 power. Above average arm.
Athleticism (HS basketball player). Big 6-foot-4 frame.
Old for the class (19.4).
Outstanding performance at the WWBA World Championship.
https://www.mlb.com/video/2021-draft-colson-montgomery-3b





36.Izaac Pacheco L/R 3B/SS Friendswood (Texas) HS SS
.543/.654/.956 6HR 23SB

綠帽乳摸之一. Power-hitting 3B. 60+ power, good defense, plus arm.
Swing and miss concerns.
綠帽修好過不少Hit tool有問題的人, 不知道這個是否也可以辦到.
https://twitter.com/PG_Scouting/status/1369452107854708737
https://www.mlb.com/video/2021-draft-izaac-pacheco-3b



43.Maxwell Muncy R/R SS Thousand Oaks (Calif.) HS
.469/.576/.974 24BB/16SO 11HR 10SB

綠帽乳摸之一. 50+ hitter, above-average power, 50-55 runner and arm.
May stick at shortstop. Performance against high level of competition.
Projectable (6' 1" 180lbs)
Has the same date of birthday as former A's farmhand Max Muncy.
https://youtu.be/FIWc9gFv2FU




54.Wes Kath L/R 3B Desert Mountain HS, Scottsdale, Ariz. 3B
.486/.622/1.180 11HR 22BB/14SO


綠帽乳摸之一. 55 Hit, plus raw power, plus arm,
physical upside, below average run.
Mixed opinion about his future defensive home.
https://www.mlb.com/pirates/video/2021-draft-wes-kath-3b
https://youtu.be/-pv8myMkbes




55.Trey Sweeney L/R SS Eastern Illinois University
.382/.522/.712 14HR 46BB/24SO

綠帽乳摸之一. Polished college hitter. From small-school, top performer.
55 Hit, 50-55 power, 55 arm.
沒Cape或Team USA較沒機會表現, 不好評估對上高級投手的情況.
https://www.espn.com/video/clip/_/id/31785070




60.Tyler Whitaker R/R OF Bishop Gorman HS, Las Vegas
.508/.575/.966 5HR 9BB/6SO

綠帽乳摸之一. 60 raw power, big frame, 60 arm, 50+ run.
A lot of swing and miss.
https://www.mlb.com/video/2021-draft-tyler-whitaker-of
https://youtu.be/L63sh0Ke5dM





66.Alex Mooney R/R SS St. Mary Prep, Orchard Lake, Mich.
.454/.553/.808 10HR 25BB/10SO

綠帽乳摸之一. A package of above average tools but may
not plus. Hard to strike out.
Good chance to play shortstop long term.
Old for the class (19.0).
https://www.mlb.com/video/2021-draft-alex-mooney-ss
https://youtu.be/aOu4WV_hFUk







Other notable guys:


17.Harry Ford HS R/R C Rare fleet-footed Catcher(6.42-second 60-yard dash).
Great bat speed, above average power, 55-60 arm. Scott Boras representation.


18.Will Bednar RHP Late riser. 92-96 mph fastball, plus slider. Draft-eligible
sophomore. College World Series丟的好,綠帽從來不選這類型的,不過有助於推其他人往
下.

19.Gunnar Hoglund RHP & 24.Jaden Hill RHP Tommy John. 綠帽從來不選這類型的

22.Joe Mack HS L/R C Plus arm, above average power, solid defender. Season
begun so late (May 14) as a N.Y. high schooler.


23.Benny Montgomery HS R/R OF One of the toolsiest player in the draft. Plus
raw power, 70+ run. With a hitch in swing. Big-framed. Old (18.8). 中段開始有
興趣,很難到第一輪尾


26.Ethan Wilson L/L OF Good plate discipline(33BB/21SO), 55 power, fringy run,
fringy arm. No plus tools. Corner OF type. Small school(South Alabama, Travis
Swaggerty). Massive price tag.


27.Jud Fabian R/L OF Was a top-10 entering the spring. 60 raw power, 55 run,
60 glove. Cape and College performer. Young (20.8). Whiffed 25%-30%. 讓人想起
Jeren Kendall.







Mock


BA: 0104/-/-/0524/0625/0707/0709 Gunnar Hoglund/Harry Ford/Joe Mack/
Will Taylor/Wes Kath/Max Muncy/Izaac Pacheco
MLB.com: 0426/0506/0520/0526/0603/0610/0617/0624/0701/0707
Will Taylor/Jud Fabian/Ethan Wilson/Will Taylor/Izaac Pacheco/
Izaac Pacheco/Trey Sweeney/Izaac Pacheco/Wes Kath/-
PG: 0507/0528 Will Taylor/Will Taylor
Keith Law: 0527/0709 Gunnar Hoglund/Tyler Black
ESPN: 0511/0618/0709 Alex Mooney/Tyler Whitaker/Tyler Whitaker
Fangraph: 0614/0706 -/Will Taylor




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