青少年球王為何普遍職業還好? - 網球 Tennis

By Heather
at 2022-07-17T13:51
at 2022-07-17T13:51
Table of Contents
以下是歷年青少年球王:
2004年Gael Monfils,沒進過大滿貫決賽、沒拿過大師賽,沒進過top 5。
2005年Donald Young,最高排名43
2006年Thiemo de Bakker,最高排名40
2007年Berankis,最高排名50
2008年楊宗樺,最高排名164
2009年Daniel Berta,最高排名637
2010年Juan Sebastian Gomez,最高排名469
2011年Jiri Vesely,最高排名35
2012年Filip Peliwo,最高排名161
2013年Alexander Zverev,25歲了還沒拿過大滿冠、沒當過球王
2014年Andrey Rublev,快25歲了沒進過大滿貫4強、沒拿過大師賽,最高排名5。
2015年Taylor Fritz,快25歲了大滿貫沒進過4強、只有一次8強,沒進過top 10。
以上是目前年齡超過24的球員,Gael Monfils、Taylor Fritz還算出色的選手,
但不會是當代最出色的top 5,甚至top 10可能都稱不上。
12年12個球王裡,唯一稱得上頂尖的只有Alexander Zverev跟Andrey Rublev,
但Andrey Rublev快25歲了成績才這樣,要稱為頂尖也很陡,所以實質上達到真正頂尖的
只有Alexander Zverev。
上訴四位外,其他人戰績以曾經是青少年球王來講,真的慘不忍睹。
2016年以後的還年輕,現在用成績評斷不太公平,我們把他跟同齡(差一歲以內或更年輕
)的排名比較:
2016年Miomir Kecmanovic,目前排名31,同齡(1998/8/31後出生)排第6,
大概就中間選手程度。
2017年Axel Geller,最高排名539,沒怎麼打球了。
2018年曾俊欣,目前排名90,同齡(2000/8/8後出生)排第12,大概也算中間選手、
不算突出。
2019年Thiago Agustin Tirant,21歲了目前排名201,大概算後段班了。
也就是2016年以後的青少年球王,職業成績也大概中間-後段班左右,沒有亮眼的表現。
2004~2019年的16位球王中,到達優異(top 10左右)只有4位(4/16 = 25%),4位中真正
達到頂尖的又只有Zverev( 1/16 = 6.25%)。
其他好的當個排名50的中堅選手、壞的都進不了top 100,
為何曾經的青少年球王,轉職業後都普遍還好、甚至不如很多青少年時的手下敗將?
--
2004年Gael Monfils,沒進過大滿貫決賽、沒拿過大師賽,沒進過top 5。
2005年Donald Young,最高排名43
2006年Thiemo de Bakker,最高排名40
2007年Berankis,最高排名50
2008年楊宗樺,最高排名164
2009年Daniel Berta,最高排名637
2010年Juan Sebastian Gomez,最高排名469
2011年Jiri Vesely,最高排名35
2012年Filip Peliwo,最高排名161
2013年Alexander Zverev,25歲了還沒拿過大滿冠、沒當過球王
2014年Andrey Rublev,快25歲了沒進過大滿貫4強、沒拿過大師賽,最高排名5。
2015年Taylor Fritz,快25歲了大滿貫沒進過4強、只有一次8強,沒進過top 10。
以上是目前年齡超過24的球員,Gael Monfils、Taylor Fritz還算出色的選手,
但不會是當代最出色的top 5,甚至top 10可能都稱不上。
12年12個球王裡,唯一稱得上頂尖的只有Alexander Zverev跟Andrey Rublev,
但Andrey Rublev快25歲了成績才這樣,要稱為頂尖也很陡,所以實質上達到真正頂尖的
只有Alexander Zverev。
上訴四位外,其他人戰績以曾經是青少年球王來講,真的慘不忍睹。
2016年以後的還年輕,現在用成績評斷不太公平,我們把他跟同齡(差一歲以內或更年輕
)的排名比較:
2016年Miomir Kecmanovic,目前排名31,同齡(1998/8/31後出生)排第6,
大概就中間選手程度。
2017年Axel Geller,最高排名539,沒怎麼打球了。
2018年曾俊欣,目前排名90,同齡(2000/8/8後出生)排第12,大概也算中間選手、
不算突出。
2019年Thiago Agustin Tirant,21歲了目前排名201,大概算後段班了。
也就是2016年以後的青少年球王,職業成績也大概中間-後段班左右,沒有亮眼的表現。
2004~2019年的16位球王中,到達優異(top 10左右)只有4位(4/16 = 25%),4位中真正
達到頂尖的又只有Zverev( 1/16 = 6.25%)。
其他好的當個排名50的中堅選手、壞的都進不了top 100,
為何曾經的青少年球王,轉職業後都普遍還好、甚至不如很多青少年時的手下敗將?
--
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