雷霆簽下PG和Grant 將面臨史上最大奢侈稅 - NBA

By George
at 2018-07-01T15:17
at 2018-07-01T15:17
Table of Contents
: Bobby Marks在推特上寫道:“因為重複奢侈稅,雷霆目前得交1.3億的奢侈稅。這將會
成
: 為NBA歷史上最大的奢侈稅帳單。”
雷霆的操作,完完全全證明了財務行為學(behavioral finance)當中的一個有名偏誤/盲
點:
後悔厭惡(regret avoidance/aversion)
所謂的後悔厭惡,就是指一個人做決定的理由為不讓自己感到後悔,而如此的決定未必真
的是此人所想要的
舉例來說,某A對B股票不看好,經由分析後認為其是支地雷股
結果見到好友C投資B股票大賺一筆,A開始心動,擔心若不跟上會繼續錯過賺錢的機會
因此也加進去購買B股票的行列,為了不想使自己又後悔一遍
儘管A原本是不想投資B股票的
我不知道雷霆的會計部門有沒有仔細計算
倘若給Paul George如此大約會讓球團下季的豪華稅總額衝到如何的地步
也不曉得雷霆球團是不是沒搞清楚
他們過去四年來已經三次繳稅,觸犯了累犯者條款
以致接下來的賽季只要繳稅就要面臨加倍處分
從開給Reggie Jackson一張其實並沒有比當年給James Harden的報價(四年五千多萬)低到
哪裡去的四年四千五百萬合約
到硬是跟進表現上與Harden有差距的Enes Kanter的四年七千萬合約
再來開給當時距離明星身手有一大段距離的Victor Oladipo四年八千五百萬合約
以及如今用四年1.37億續約Paul George
上面種種作為都可以看出
雷霆非常後悔當年因為想避稅而選擇交易Harden的舉動
為了避免同樣的後悔再度發生,雷霆選擇不計代價留下隊上的主力
而他們顯然並不管這些主力的身手到底值不值得球隊開出來的合約、這些主力到底能夠帶
來多大的貢獻
要我說的話
當中除了Jackson的合約還可以
其餘的三張皆有(些微)溢價的現象
特別是其中有兩人(Kanter、Oladipo)在雷霆隊上不是太被器重
現在雷霆的稅額無論是否成功處理Carmelo Anthony的合約
大概都免不了要繳5000萬的稅
(根據有一位薪資大師IBIZA的說法是這樣子沒錯)
更糟的是,無論有沒有Anthony
雷霆目前的陣容都不像是一支能在季後賽走更遠的隊伍
只能說,雷霆陷入死胡同,短時間內很難自拔了
--
成
: 為NBA歷史上最大的奢侈稅帳單。”
雷霆的操作,完完全全證明了財務行為學(behavioral finance)當中的一個有名偏誤/盲
點:
後悔厭惡(regret avoidance/aversion)
所謂的後悔厭惡,就是指一個人做決定的理由為不讓自己感到後悔,而如此的決定未必真
的是此人所想要的
舉例來說,某A對B股票不看好,經由分析後認為其是支地雷股
結果見到好友C投資B股票大賺一筆,A開始心動,擔心若不跟上會繼續錯過賺錢的機會
因此也加進去購買B股票的行列,為了不想使自己又後悔一遍
儘管A原本是不想投資B股票的
我不知道雷霆的會計部門有沒有仔細計算
倘若給Paul George如此大約會讓球團下季的豪華稅總額衝到如何的地步
也不曉得雷霆球團是不是沒搞清楚
他們過去四年來已經三次繳稅,觸犯了累犯者條款
以致接下來的賽季只要繳稅就要面臨加倍處分
從開給Reggie Jackson一張其實並沒有比當年給James Harden的報價(四年五千多萬)低到
哪裡去的四年四千五百萬合約
到硬是跟進表現上與Harden有差距的Enes Kanter的四年七千萬合約
再來開給當時距離明星身手有一大段距離的Victor Oladipo四年八千五百萬合約
以及如今用四年1.37億續約Paul George
上面種種作為都可以看出
雷霆非常後悔當年因為想避稅而選擇交易Harden的舉動
為了避免同樣的後悔再度發生,雷霆選擇不計代價留下隊上的主力
而他們顯然並不管這些主力的身手到底值不值得球隊開出來的合約、這些主力到底能夠帶
來多大的貢獻
要我說的話
當中除了Jackson的合約還可以
其餘的三張皆有(些微)溢價的現象
特別是其中有兩人(Kanter、Oladipo)在雷霆隊上不是太被器重
現在雷霆的稅額無論是否成功處理Carmelo Anthony的合約
大概都免不了要繳5000萬的稅
(根據有一位薪資大師IBIZA的說法是這樣子沒錯)
更糟的是,無論有沒有Anthony
雷霆目前的陣容都不像是一支能在季後賽走更遠的隊伍
只能說,雷霆陷入死胡同,短時間內很難自拔了
--
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at 2019-10-29T14:32
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