紅襪命中注定 世界大賽冠軍在望 - 美國職棒

By Audriana
at 2013-10-27T11:12
at 2013-10-27T11:12
Table of Contents
特約作家許昭彥】
紅襪與紅雀的世界大賽可說是近年來最勢均力敵的決戰,兩隊不但是兩聯盟戰績最佳的球
隊,也是各聯盟得分與得失分差最多的球隊。人們說這是世界大賽34年來未有的兩強旗鼓
相當,前次是1979年時的海盜與金鶯。從世界大賽歷史觀點,這兩隊自從2004年開始也各
贏了兩次世界大賽冠軍,紅襪在2004與2007年,紅雀在2006與2011年。兩隊以前在世界大
賽一共對戰過3次,紅襪只贏一次(2004年),紅雀贏了其他兩次 (1946與1967年),所以今
年紅襪是否會贏,使兩隊在世界大賽平分秋色?
不但是紅襪與紅雀戰績相同,令人難以預測哪隊會贏,而且兩隊比賽方法也不同,更使人
不容易預測結果。有人就記錄下兩隊幾項比賽方法的差別:紅襪盜壘是大聯盟第4多,紅
雀是第29;紅襪打出第4多的全壘打,紅雀是第27;紅襪打者被三振第8多,紅雀是第26;
紅雀投手年紀是第2年輕,紅襪是第3老;紅雀投手投出的滾地球與高飛球比例是第2高,
紅襪投手是第23;紅雀球場是對投手有利的球場,打者上壘數是第3少,紅襪球場是對打
者有利的球場,上壘數是第5多。因為有這些差別,就產生了一個重要的紀錄數字,那就
是今年兩隊已比賽完的所有季後賽中,紅襪打者平均每場(9局)使對方投手投出157.1球,
紅雀打者使對手投手投出130.6球,所以在世界大賽可能也就要看哪隊能延續他們的贏球
模式。
紅襪在23日以8:1打敗紅雀贏了第一場,是不是就比較容易贏了這世界大賽?當然不是,
七場比賽的季後系列賽,第一場輸贏不是很重要,老虎不是在美聯冠軍賽第一場就打敗紅
襪?就算是頭兩場連敗,而且也是在主場比賽時輸了,也不是一定就會輸了世界大賽。紅
襪非常知道這歷史,因為在1986年世界大賽時,紅襪就在紐約大都會球場於頭兩場都打敗
大都會,但結果是兩隊比賽到第七場,而紅襪竟然在那場輸了。紅襪可能對另一個世界大
賽歷史更是不敢輕忘,那就是紅襪歷史上所有進入的世界大賽中,從來沒有贏過最後的第
七場,所以紅襪現在是不是一定會想在第七場之前就解決掉紅雀?大家要記得紅襪輸給紅
雀的兩次世界大賽(1946與1967年)就都是在第七場輸掉的。
紅襪與紅雀的23日第一場比賽結果,已使有些棒球專家的預測錯了,不少人預測紅雀先發
投手陣容較強,誰會想到韋恩萊特在這場會被攻下5分?大家也認為已在大聯盟16季,但
從來沒比賽過世界大賽的紅雀強打貝爾川(Carlos Beltran),一定會在這世界大賽大顯身
手而使紅雀贏球,誰會想到他只比賽2局就受傷了?我是預測紅襪會在第6場以4:2贏了世
界大賽,因為大家知道我一直相信棒球是與人的命運一樣,與運氣好壞息息相關,我是一
個76歲的老頭,大家要相信我世面見多了。我認為今年的紅襪是命中注定會贏的球隊,因
為如果紅襪不是這樣的球隊,他們怎麼能夠在與老虎的美聯冠軍賽第二場第8局、以及第
六場第7局各打出一支滿貫全壘打而逆轉勝?這可說是不可能發生的事,唯有命中注定會
贏的球隊才會有這樣的奇蹟發生!
全文網址: 紅襪命中注定 世界大賽冠軍在望 | 名家觀點 | 美國職棒 | udn運動大聯盟
http://mag.udn.com/mag/sports/storypage.jsp?f_ART_ID=482620#ixzz2it8uqS71
Power By udn.com
--
紅襪與紅雀的世界大賽可說是近年來最勢均力敵的決戰,兩隊不但是兩聯盟戰績最佳的球
隊,也是各聯盟得分與得失分差最多的球隊。人們說這是世界大賽34年來未有的兩強旗鼓
相當,前次是1979年時的海盜與金鶯。從世界大賽歷史觀點,這兩隊自從2004年開始也各
贏了兩次世界大賽冠軍,紅襪在2004與2007年,紅雀在2006與2011年。兩隊以前在世界大
賽一共對戰過3次,紅襪只贏一次(2004年),紅雀贏了其他兩次 (1946與1967年),所以今
年紅襪是否會贏,使兩隊在世界大賽平分秋色?
不但是紅襪與紅雀戰績相同,令人難以預測哪隊會贏,而且兩隊比賽方法也不同,更使人
不容易預測結果。有人就記錄下兩隊幾項比賽方法的差別:紅襪盜壘是大聯盟第4多,紅
雀是第29;紅襪打出第4多的全壘打,紅雀是第27;紅襪打者被三振第8多,紅雀是第26;
紅雀投手年紀是第2年輕,紅襪是第3老;紅雀投手投出的滾地球與高飛球比例是第2高,
紅襪投手是第23;紅雀球場是對投手有利的球場,打者上壘數是第3少,紅襪球場是對打
者有利的球場,上壘數是第5多。因為有這些差別,就產生了一個重要的紀錄數字,那就
是今年兩隊已比賽完的所有季後賽中,紅襪打者平均每場(9局)使對方投手投出157.1球,
紅雀打者使對手投手投出130.6球,所以在世界大賽可能也就要看哪隊能延續他們的贏球
模式。
紅襪在23日以8:1打敗紅雀贏了第一場,是不是就比較容易贏了這世界大賽?當然不是,
七場比賽的季後系列賽,第一場輸贏不是很重要,老虎不是在美聯冠軍賽第一場就打敗紅
襪?就算是頭兩場連敗,而且也是在主場比賽時輸了,也不是一定就會輸了世界大賽。紅
襪非常知道這歷史,因為在1986年世界大賽時,紅襪就在紐約大都會球場於頭兩場都打敗
大都會,但結果是兩隊比賽到第七場,而紅襪竟然在那場輸了。紅襪可能對另一個世界大
賽歷史更是不敢輕忘,那就是紅襪歷史上所有進入的世界大賽中,從來沒有贏過最後的第
七場,所以紅襪現在是不是一定會想在第七場之前就解決掉紅雀?大家要記得紅襪輸給紅
雀的兩次世界大賽(1946與1967年)就都是在第七場輸掉的。
紅襪與紅雀的23日第一場比賽結果,已使有些棒球專家的預測錯了,不少人預測紅雀先發
投手陣容較強,誰會想到韋恩萊特在這場會被攻下5分?大家也認為已在大聯盟16季,但
從來沒比賽過世界大賽的紅雀強打貝爾川(Carlos Beltran),一定會在這世界大賽大顯身
手而使紅雀贏球,誰會想到他只比賽2局就受傷了?我是預測紅襪會在第6場以4:2贏了世
界大賽,因為大家知道我一直相信棒球是與人的命運一樣,與運氣好壞息息相關,我是一
個76歲的老頭,大家要相信我世面見多了。我認為今年的紅襪是命中注定會贏的球隊,因
為如果紅襪不是這樣的球隊,他們怎麼能夠在與老虎的美聯冠軍賽第二場第8局、以及第
六場第7局各打出一支滿貫全壘打而逆轉勝?這可說是不可能發生的事,唯有命中注定會
贏的球隊才會有這樣的奇蹟發生!
全文網址: 紅襪命中注定 世界大賽冠軍在望 | 名家觀點 | 美國職棒 | udn運動大聯盟
http://mag.udn.com/mag/sports/storypage.jsp?f_ART_ID=482620#ixzz2it8uqS71
Power By udn.com
--
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