現役前八高機率進入名人堂大前鋒 - NBA

By Irma
at 2021-11-12T20:38
at 2021-11-12T20:38
Table of Contents
※ 引述《hanson90244 (謝謝)》之銘言:
: 4. Blake Griffin 54.8%
: 3. Kevin Love 73.4%
: 2. Giannis Antetokounmpo 75.2%
: 1. Anthony Davis 98.8%
: 推 holyseraph : 字母哥輸AD?? 不可能吧?? 11/12 15:28
: → findwind0826: 因為拿來計算的各種客觀數據 字母沒輸AD阿 11/12 15:37
: → lljjfrdr1 : 字母冠軍 MVP FMVP DPOY大滿貫ㄝ 11/12 15:37
: 推 LeehomLee : AD憑什麼比字母高?? 11/12 17:24
: 推 johnny3710 : 這什麼笑話排行榜 11/12 20:11
: 推 kingroy : 那個機率只是照公式算 有MVP不會直接100% 11/12 20:18
簡單回應一下。
這應該也是用basketball-reference的公式,這公式很特別:
不看MVP
不看FMVP
不看DPOY
不看年度隊
以上四樣,就算每年拿,拿15年,拿到退休,在這套公式裡,值零分。
然後球隊戰績也不是太重要,有冠才有加分,沒冠就算73勝也值零分。
其實板友有寫過這個公式的分析,我把它簡化一點講:#1Q6vqWup (NBA)
它看的是:
明星賽次數
最好那年的WIN SHARE
冠軍數
五大數據+上場時間排行(前十名,第一名10分,然後是看總數)
還有身高,矮的加分,高的扣分。
我們把AD、字母、可愛三個人列出來:
AD 8x明星賽、WS-14、1冠、3x火鍋王、4x前三隊、4x防守隊
字母 5x明星賽、WS-14.4、1冠、5x前三隊、4x防守隊、2xMVP、1xDPOY、1xFMVP
可愛 5x明星賽、WS-13.7、2冠、1x抄截王、5x前三隊、7x防守隊、2xDPOY、2xFMVP
黃色的部份通通不計分。所以這公式算出來:AD>可愛>字母
然後Westbrook在這套公式下加分更大(只看計分項目),99.99%進名人堂了:
9x明星賽、WS-14、2x得分王、3x助攻王。
大概是這樣。
公式可能不太好,但畢竟它普及度高。
知道怎麼算出來的,應該會釋懷一點吧。
字母哥就很全能,但沒有一項可以拿到該季第一(火鍋王得分王這些都有加分)。
AD則是在水鳥時拿過三次火鍋王,大加分,明星賽次數也比較多。
PS.
這套公式其實蠻不準的,有不少只有30%左右甚至10%多的都進名人堂了。
舉幾個例子
Reggie Miller - 31.1%
Chris Webber -- 14.6%
有興趣可以自己看,當個娛樂就好,不必太認真(笑)
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/hof_prob.html
--
: 4. Blake Griffin 54.8%
: 3. Kevin Love 73.4%
: 2. Giannis Antetokounmpo 75.2%
: 1. Anthony Davis 98.8%
: 推 holyseraph : 字母哥輸AD?? 不可能吧?? 11/12 15:28
: → findwind0826: 因為拿來計算的各種客觀數據 字母沒輸AD阿 11/12 15:37
: → lljjfrdr1 : 字母冠軍 MVP FMVP DPOY大滿貫ㄝ 11/12 15:37
: 推 LeehomLee : AD憑什麼比字母高?? 11/12 17:24
: 推 johnny3710 : 這什麼笑話排行榜 11/12 20:11
: 推 kingroy : 那個機率只是照公式算 有MVP不會直接100% 11/12 20:18
簡單回應一下。
這應該也是用basketball-reference的公式,這公式很特別:
不看MVP
不看FMVP
不看DPOY
不看年度隊
以上四樣,就算每年拿,拿15年,拿到退休,在這套公式裡,值零分。
然後球隊戰績也不是太重要,有冠才有加分,沒冠就算73勝也值零分。
其實板友有寫過這個公式的分析,我把它簡化一點講:#1Q6vqWup (NBA)
它看的是:
明星賽次數
最好那年的WIN SHARE
冠軍數
五大數據+上場時間排行(前十名,第一名10分,然後是看總數)
還有身高,矮的加分,高的扣分。
我們把AD、字母、可愛三個人列出來:
AD 8x明星賽、WS-14、1冠、3x火鍋王、4x前三隊、4x防守隊
字母 5x明星賽、WS-14.4、1冠、5x前三隊、4x防守隊、2xMVP、1xDPOY、1xFMVP
可愛 5x明星賽、WS-13.7、2冠、1x抄截王、5x前三隊、7x防守隊、2xDPOY、2xFMVP
黃色的部份通通不計分。所以這公式算出來:AD>可愛>字母
然後Westbrook在這套公式下加分更大(只看計分項目),99.99%進名人堂了:
9x明星賽、WS-14、2x得分王、3x助攻王。
大概是這樣。
公式可能不太好,但畢竟它普及度高。
知道怎麼算出來的,應該會釋懷一點吧。
字母哥就很全能,但沒有一項可以拿到該季第一(火鍋王得分王這些都有加分)。
AD則是在水鳥時拿過三次火鍋王,大加分,明星賽次數也比較多。
PS.
這套公式其實蠻不準的,有不少只有30%左右甚至10%多的都進名人堂了。
舉幾個例子
Reggie Miller - 31.1%
Chris Webber -- 14.6%
有興趣可以自己看,當個娛樂就好,不必太認真(笑)
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/hof_prob.html
--
Tags:
NBA
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