波士頓塞爾蒂克未來薪資與選秀權 - NBA

By Brianna
at 2020-09-29T11:23
at 2020-09-29T11:23
Table of Contents
大家好,昨天寫了快艇隊的薪資狀況。
今天早上看到新聞,Gordon Hayward傾向不跳出合約,
加上之前在Cs板的討論,整理成一篇方便討論。
明年薪資(保障合約)(Hayward因為新聞的關係,放在這裡):
Kemba Walker 34.4M (四年約的第二年)
Gordon Hayward 34.2M (球員選項)
Jaylen Brown 23.0M (新合約開始跑)
Marcus Smart 13.4M (四年約的第三年)
Jayson Tatum 9.9M (新秀約最後一年)
Romeo Langford 3.6M (首輪新秀約)
Vincent Poirier 2.6M (底薪)
Grant Williams 2.5M (首輪新秀約)
Robert Williams 2.0M (首輪新秀約)
Carsen Edwards 1.5M
首輪#14 2.9M
首輪#26 1.7M
首輪#30 1.7M
未確定合約:
Enes Kanter 5.0M (球員選項)
Daniel Theis 5.0M (非保障)
Semi Ojeleye 1.8M (球隊選項)
Javonte Green 1.5M (非保障)
自由球員:
Brad Wanamaker 底薪到期
保障合約已經127.1M。若留下Daniel Theis將會突破132.1M,還只有11個人。
另外還有三張首輪籤,首輪新秀是制式合約,簽約前也會以該金額計在帳上。
如果NBA維持2019的薪資空間,會是:
薪資上限109M、豪華稅門檻132M、硬上限138M(影響到中產與簽換)這樣的狀況。
這邊來探討幾個問題:
一、如果Gordon Hayward跳出合約,又不留非保障合約跟自由球員,開得出頂薪挖人嗎?
這邊是一個常見的認知「不留A,拿A的薪水去給自由球員B」,
原則上是做不到的,除非三方(兩支球隊跟球員)都有意願執行簽換交易。
以Celtics的薪資狀況來說,要開出頂薪(32.7M,30%頂薪)需要的是薪資總合低於76M。
光是Hayward跳出合約,只是讓他們薪資變成93M,
雖低於薪資上限約16M,但就只有16M可以拿來簽人。(以及空間中產5M等特例條款)
一則以開不出頂薪32M。
而且以市場上的狀況,要拿16M找到Gordon Hayward的替代品,恐怕是很難。
二、大量首輪籤的新秀紅利
這季的球員名單上有將近一半是首輪新秀約,提供了便宜好用的戰力。
而隨著Jaylen Brown開始執行新合約,下季將會輪到Jayson Tatum換約,
「比利金的遺產」也花的差不多了,但今年又是三個首輪籤,球員名單可能快不夠用。
今年三個首輪分別是:
#14 灰熊籤 (它終於兌現了)
#26 自己籤
#30 公鹿籤
因為首輪新秀是制式合約,如果通通選來自用的話,
6.7M薪資在極可能要付豪華稅的狀況下,可說是超過10M的支出了。
而且球員名單也是有限的,屆時一定會有一些清格子(清出球員挪名單給別人)的動作。
三、老闆願意付豪華稅嗎?
這是Danny Ainge要怎麼去說服老闆的工作了。
以目前狀況來看,如果薪資上限沒有調低,且避稅有成的話,有機會剛好低空飛過。
但如果薪資上限調低,或是還想補強(6M的小中產)的話,就可能要繳稅了。
另一個解套的方式是類似當年馬刺跟Pau Gasol的方式,Hayward跳出後重簽較長合約。
Hayward如果今年少領一點可以避稅,少領多一點可以用小中產補強又避稅。
不過,如果Enes Kanter(5M)不跳出的話,也不用那麼麻煩去跟Hayward談了,
直接去老闆辦公室前面問老闆「你願不願意付稅?」吧。
不願意的話,那就會有接下來的交易了。
大概是這樣,一點整理與討論。
--
今天早上看到新聞,Gordon Hayward傾向不跳出合約,
加上之前在Cs板的討論,整理成一篇方便討論。
明年薪資(保障合約)(Hayward因為新聞的關係,放在這裡):
Kemba Walker 34.4M (四年約的第二年)
Gordon Hayward 34.2M (球員選項)
Jaylen Brown 23.0M (新合約開始跑)
Marcus Smart 13.4M (四年約的第三年)
Jayson Tatum 9.9M (新秀約最後一年)
Romeo Langford 3.6M (首輪新秀約)
Vincent Poirier 2.6M (底薪)
Grant Williams 2.5M (首輪新秀約)
Robert Williams 2.0M (首輪新秀約)
Carsen Edwards 1.5M
首輪#14 2.9M
首輪#26 1.7M
首輪#30 1.7M
未確定合約:
Enes Kanter 5.0M (球員選項)
Daniel Theis 5.0M (非保障)
Semi Ojeleye 1.8M (球隊選項)
Javonte Green 1.5M (非保障)
自由球員:
Brad Wanamaker 底薪到期
保障合約已經127.1M。若留下Daniel Theis將會突破132.1M,還只有11個人。
另外還有三張首輪籤,首輪新秀是制式合約,簽約前也會以該金額計在帳上。
如果NBA維持2019的薪資空間,會是:
薪資上限109M、豪華稅門檻132M、硬上限138M(影響到中產與簽換)這樣的狀況。
這邊來探討幾個問題:
一、如果Gordon Hayward跳出合約,又不留非保障合約跟自由球員,開得出頂薪挖人嗎?
這邊是一個常見的認知「不留A,拿A的薪水去給自由球員B」,
原則上是做不到的,除非三方(兩支球隊跟球員)都有意願執行簽換交易。
以Celtics的薪資狀況來說,要開出頂薪(32.7M,30%頂薪)需要的是薪資總合低於76M。
光是Hayward跳出合約,只是讓他們薪資變成93M,
雖低於薪資上限約16M,但就只有16M可以拿來簽人。(以及空間中產5M等特例條款)
一則以開不出頂薪32M。
而且以市場上的狀況,要拿16M找到Gordon Hayward的替代品,恐怕是很難。
二、大量首輪籤的新秀紅利
這季的球員名單上有將近一半是首輪新秀約,提供了便宜好用的戰力。
而隨著Jaylen Brown開始執行新合約,下季將會輪到Jayson Tatum換約,
「比利金的遺產」也花的差不多了,但今年又是三個首輪籤,球員名單可能快不夠用。
今年三個首輪分別是:
#14 灰熊籤 (它終於兌現了)
#26 自己籤
#30 公鹿籤
因為首輪新秀是制式合約,如果通通選來自用的話,
6.7M薪資在極可能要付豪華稅的狀況下,可說是超過10M的支出了。
而且球員名單也是有限的,屆時一定會有一些清格子(清出球員挪名單給別人)的動作。
三、老闆願意付豪華稅嗎?
這是Danny Ainge要怎麼去說服老闆的工作了。
以目前狀況來看,如果薪資上限沒有調低,且避稅有成的話,有機會剛好低空飛過。
但如果薪資上限調低,或是還想補強(6M的小中產)的話,就可能要繳稅了。
另一個解套的方式是類似當年馬刺跟Pau Gasol的方式,Hayward跳出後重簽較長合約。
Hayward如果今年少領一點可以避稅,少領多一點可以用小中產補強又避稅。
不過,如果Enes Kanter(5M)不跳出的話,也不用那麼麻煩去跟Hayward談了,
直接去老闆辦公室前面問老闆「你願不願意付稅?」吧。
不願意的話,那就會有接下來的交易了。
大概是這樣,一點整理與討論。
--
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NBA
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