本季關鍵時刻命中率排行 - NBA

關鍵時刻合計 普通關鍵時刻 超關鍵時刻
Rnk Player FGA eFG% FGA eFG% FGA eFG%
1 G Antetokounmpo 76 69.1% 69 68.8% 7 71.4%
Kevin Durant 45 65.6% 40 70.0% 5 30.0%
2 T Haliburton 56 64.3% 55 65.5% 1 0.0%
3 Zion Williamson 63 63.5% 50 66.0% 13 53.8%
4 Terry Rozier 61 63.1% 52 59.6% 9 83.3%
5 K-Anthony Towns 58 62.9% 52 65.4% 6 41.7%
6 Stephen Curry 66 62.9% 60 63.3% 6 58.3%
7 Tobias Harris 53 62.3% 46 63.0% 7 57.1%
8 Kyrie Irving 74 61.5% 69 61.6% 5 60.0%
9 Dejounte Murray 82 59.1% 78 60.9% 4 25.0%
M Harrell 51 58.8% 47 61.7% 4 25.0%
10 Joel Embiid 52 57.7% 45 54.4% 7 78.6%
11 RJ Barrett 69 56.5% 60 57.5% 9 50.0%
12 James Harden 69 56.5% 62 55.6% 7 64.3%
13 Nikola Jokic 99 55.6% 83 56.6% 16 50.0%
14 Damian Lillard 95 55.3% 82 51.8% 13 76.9%
15 LeBron James 103 54.9% 88 58.0% 15 36.7%
16 Carmelo Anthony 67 54.5% 64 55.5% 3 33.3%
17 Chris Paul 118 54.2% 104 56.7% 14 35.7%
18 Alec Burks 65 53.8% 59 54.2% 6 50.0%
19 Collin Sexton 65 53.8% 56 50.9% 9 72.2%
20 Tyler Herro 73 52.7% 64 56.2% 9 27.8%
Bam Adebayo 53 51.9% 48 49.1% 5 80.0%
21 Jayson Tatum 111 51.4% 94 52.7% 17 44.1%
22 Jaylen Brown 87 51.1% 76 50.0% 11 59.1%
23 Luka Doncic 72 50.7% 59 50.0% 13 53.8%
24 Terrence Ross 73 50.7% 65 49.2% 8 62.5%
25 Donovan Mitchell 77 50.6% 68 50.7% 9 50.0%
26 De'Aaron Fox 133 50.0% 118 51.3% 15 40.0%
27 Patty Mills 66 49.2% 63 51.6% 3 0.0%
28 R Westbrook 121 48.3% 109 45.9% 12 70.8%
29 Anthony Edwards 60 48.3% 55 49.1% 5 40.0%
30 D'Angelo Russell 55 48.2% 45 44.4% 10 65.0%
31 Zach LaVine 123 48.0% 104 50.5% 19 34.2%
32 Domantas Sabonis 62 47.6% 55 48.2% 7 42.9%
33 Trae Young 93 47.3% 83 50.6% 10 20.0%
34 Tim Hardaway Jr. 51 47.1% 50 45.0% 1 150.0%
35 Jamal Murray 85 46.5% 73 44.5% 12 58.3%
36 Harrison Barnes 62 46.0% 55 41.8% 7 78.6%
37 Bradley Beal 85 45.3% 73 47.9% 12 29.2%
38 Coby White 62 45.2% 60 44.2% 2 75.0%
39 Jimmy Butler 61 45.1% 54 49.1% 7 14.3%
40 Khris Middleton 61 45.1% 52 47.1% 9 33.3%
41 DeMar DeRozan 92 44.6% 77 45.5% 15 40.0%
Paul George 46 44.6% 44 46.9% 2 0.0%
42 Ja Morant 48 42.7% 40 43.8% 8 37.5%
43 Andrew Wiggins 59 42.4% 54 46.3% 5 0.0%
44 Kawhi Leonard 54 41.7% 48 46.9% 6 0.0%
45 Pascal Siakam 54 41.7% 45 45.6% 9 22.2%
46 Malcolm Brogdon 83 41.6% 72 40.3% 11 50.0%
47 Kemba Walker 67 41.0% 61 43.4% 6 16.7%
48 Buddy Hield 66 40.9% 60 39.2% 6 58.3%
49 Brandon Ingram 77 40.3% 62 41.1% 15 36.7%
50 Jerami Grant 60 40.0% 51 45.1% 9 11.1%
51 Devin Booker 94 39.4% 80 43.1% 14 17.9%
Lou Williams 46 39.1% 43 42.0% 3 0.0%
52 Fred VanVleet 69 39.1% 63 41.3% 6 16.7%
53 Rudy Gay 64 39.1% 61 41.0% 3 0.0%
54 Kyle Kuzma 40 38.8% 34 39.7% 6 33.3%
55 Malik Beasley 58 37.1% 54 37.0% 4 37.5%
56 Julius Randle 87 36.2% 76 38.2% 11 22.7%
57 Dillon Brooks 84 34.5% 75 33.3% 9 44.4%


這數據來自數據網站 Inpredictable，他們將球賽發生的各個事件算成獲勝機率
如圖：https://imgur.com/qkmuquj

接著依據機率變化，將各出手做分類
分成：垃圾時間、一般時間、關鍵時刻、超關鍵時刻（Double Clutch）
定義如圖：https://imgur.com/kPndyoY

簡單來說，出手兩分球，（進球後的贏球機率）-（沒進的贏球機率）>= 18%
這就是超關鍵出手 （兩分球和三分球的定義又不同）

轉換成比賽時間和比分差，大概是這樣：https://imgur.com/dbLFwNm
可以看到第四節5分差左右的時間，大概就是普通關鍵時刻
而最後兩分鐘內1~3分差的時間，則是超關鍵時刻
（這張圖只是大概而已，實際要看到秒數）

字母本季不管是普通關鍵還是超關鍵，都有很高的命中率

而Lillad 和Westbrook 雖然第四節大部分時候不怎麼樣，但是最後兩分鐘非常關鍵
尤其Lillard 超關鍵時刻13次出手得到20分，全聯盟最多！

也可以注意內線球員在超關鍵時刻比較少出手（Jokic除外!）
比賽最後時刻，多數還是從外圍開始進攻

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