快艇與馬刺的頂尖對決 - NBA
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By Joe
at 2015-04-23T16:41
at 2015-04-23T16:41
Table of Contents
其實關於pop今天領先十分下的駭客戰術 我的理解是這樣的
駭客戰術是一種有風險的戰術 就好像擲骰子一樣
就統計機率來看 假如期望值是正的 當然值得一試
但是有時候偏偏就是衰小 萬一遇到對面手感特好 怎麼罰怎麼進
或是像今天的比賽 我方球員進攻落賽 該怎麼辦?
這是一種賭博性的戰術(但是賭贏的機率很高)
如何把賭輸的風險降到最低 第一種方法是充實本錢(也就是領先得夠多再下戰術)
這樣即使被運氣影響 也不至於把整場比賽翻盤(當然今天真的進攻鳥到差點翻盤)
第二種就是已經落後很多了 沒有其他辦法 乾脆拼運氣來賭一場(這是第四節末 落後方幾乎都會做的事情)
所以我覺得pop今天下的戰術其實是很理智的 並沒有什麼錯誤
--
駭客戰術是一種有風險的戰術 就好像擲骰子一樣
就統計機率來看 假如期望值是正的 當然值得一試
但是有時候偏偏就是衰小 萬一遇到對面手感特好 怎麼罰怎麼進
或是像今天的比賽 我方球員進攻落賽 該怎麼辦?
這是一種賭博性的戰術(但是賭贏的機率很高)
如何把賭輸的風險降到最低 第一種方法是充實本錢(也就是領先得夠多再下戰術)
這樣即使被運氣影響 也不至於把整場比賽翻盤(當然今天真的進攻鳥到差點翻盤)
第二種就是已經落後很多了 沒有其他辦法 乾脆拼運氣來賭一場(這是第四節末 落後方幾乎都會做的事情)
所以我覺得pop今天下的戰術其實是很理智的 並沒有什麼錯誤
--
Tags:
NBA
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