奧運獎牌與經濟比例 - 奧運,世大運,亞運討論

Table of Contents


本文轉錄自
http://kunlinjohnlee.pixnet.net/blog/post/21554122
已獲原作者同意

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我平常很少在翻譯文章, 因為我的中文實在太爛啦, 但繼上一篇盧彥勳的報導讓大家了解
我們的政府對於體育發展做了有多少之後, 我再打火趁熱, 再為大家翻譯一小部分國外對
於台灣的報導(或嘲笑?)

以下這篇文章很值得讓我們台灣政府檢討

Forget China's 100 medals. The real winner of the Games was...

If you take into account national income - the best guide to Olympic success
- the Dominican Republic outperformed us all

這篇時代雜誌的文章提到這次奧運的真正鸁家並不是中國大陸的100面獎牌, 如果用國家
的收入來比較的話, 真正的鸁家是多明尼哥(好像也是台灣的邦交國哦?)

Chris Dillow

Wasn't it a great Olympics for Team GB, as I suppose we must call them?
Fourth in the medals table - beating the Australians - is a fantastic
achievement, isn't it?

No. There is another league table, published recently by the World Bank,
which ranks countries by national income. And this bears a striking
resemblance to the medals table. Nine of the top ten countries in the medals
table are in the top 15 of the World Bank table; the exception is the
Ukraine. Across all 87 countries to have won a medal, the correlation between
the medals ranking and the GDP ranking is 0.41 - far higher than you would
reasonably expect by accident.

上面這段提到, 獎牌排名前十的國家同時也是世界前十五最富有的國家(除了烏克蘭以外)

In this respect, the Beijing Olympics were not unusual. In a recent paper
Hon-Kwong Lui and Wing Suen, two Chinese economists, showed that population
and national income per person were “major determinants” of medals won in
Olympics between 1952 and 2004.

人口跟國民平圴收入是鸁得獎牌的主要因素

The reason for this is trivially simple. The more people a country has, the
more chance it has of producing a medallist. And the richer it is, the more
able it is to invest in talent-spotting or in training facilities, and the
more chance it has of its sports becoming Olympic events; as Matthew Syed
pointed out in these pages, sailing gets lots of medals but kabaddi doesn't.

原因很簡單, 一個國家如果有更多人,就更有機會產生獎牌得主, 如果國家更有錢, 更就
有能力投資在訓練器材上

Big economies should therefore get more medals than small ones. And they do.

所以大經濟體系的國家總是比小經濟的國家能拿到更多的獎牌

This suggests a different way of judging Olympic success. We should compare a
nation's position in the medals table to its position in the GDP table.

所以我們應該比較國民平圴所得來判定國家的奧運成功與否

On this basis, Britain's performance was no better than respectable. Our
fourth place in the medals table is just one place better than our position
in the national income table. The notable fact about British Olympians is
their underperformance in previous Games rather than huge outperformance
in these.

By this measure, I'm sad to report, the Aussies did better than us. Their
sixth position in the medals table is nine places better than their national
income ranking. We can, though, take comfort in the fact that Germany - fifth
in the medals table - underperformed relative to its economy.

So, who are the winners and losers by this standard? The winner is the
Dominican Republic. Its one gold and one silver put it 47th in the medals
table, while its puny economy is only the 179th in the world. Mongolia,
Zimbabwe and Jamaica also did well

所以真正的鸁家應該是多明尼哥, 它有一金一銀, 在獎牌排名上是47名, 但他的世界經濟
排名卻是第179名

The loser is Taiwan. It has the 17th biggest economy in the world, but came a
mere 79th in the medals table.

而真正的輸家是台灣, 它有世界排名第17名的經濟, 但獎牌排名卻只排第79名

剩下的全文在http://tinyurl.com/59ahjz

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All Comments

Liam avatarLiam2008-09-02
我們的經濟有這麼好...@.@
Audriana avatarAudriana2008-09-02
我記得台灣以前排名更前面
台灣一直都是世界上比較有錢的國家
Anonymous avatarAnonymous2008-09-02
世界上窮國真的很多
Mason avatarMason2008-09-02
有這麼好嗎 我以為一些歐洲國家大多贏台灣
Lydia avatarLydia2008-09-03
台灣是標準的比上不足比下綽綽有餘.....
Zenobia avatarZenobia2008-09-03
是因為台灣地理位置的關係
Valerie avatarValerie2008-09-03
如果把台灣搬到非洲 觀感自然完全不同
Adele avatarAdele2008-09-03
以前排名更前面 不過經濟17人民生活非17>"<
Sandy avatarSandy2008-09-04
真正進步的膝、北歐算算沒幾國啊
Mary avatarMary2008-09-04
西
Lydia avatarLydia2008-09-04
一些歐洲小國可能平均收入高可是經濟規模小
Robert avatarRobert2008-09-04
政府該好好思考了.數據會說話..
Victoria avatarVictoria2008-09-05
經濟規模和人民生活當然不同,中國的經濟規
排在第2或第3(看算法而定)
Susan avatarSusan2008-09-05
我們這麼有錢喔.........
Kama avatarKama2008-09-05
所以一般人認為的經濟會跟學理上的感覺不同
Olive avatarOlive2008-09-05
用金牌對XX比例還蠻有趣 但有的沒實質內涵
Gary avatarGary2008-09-06
只是數據罷了 看多了就...
Liam avatarLiam2008-09-06
數據不會說話 端看你如何解讀 解讀的是人阿
Daph Bay avatarDaph Bay2008-09-06
新加坡的得牌跟經濟體比率排名應該在我們後面
Jake avatarJake2008-09-06
那個是指經濟體,台灣的確是很大的
John avatarJohn2008-09-07
我們人口2300萬不算少 經濟一定水準