奧運晉級之路,可以輸墨,但絕不能輸韓 - 棒球

By Barb Cronin
at 2019-11-11T14:05
at 2019-11-11T14:05
Table of Contents
回來看你這一篇還蠻好笑的
在那邊抓誰?放誰?
根本就抓不到,然後也不用放,就是打不過
墨西哥這次來打的都是2A、3A球員
臺灣的實力大約1A-2A
南朝鮮也大約有3A的實力,日本是3A+
所以臺灣基本上沒有在那邊說抓南朝鮮放墨西哥的權力
因為不用你放,反正就是打不贏
※ 引述《sospeter (預測未來)》之銘言:
: 假設前提
: 40人名單以外王者=>日本全勝5勝0敗
: 本屆複賽唯一肉包=>澳洲全敗0勝5敗
: 依本屆實力判斷,以上非常可能,機率至少有87%
: 那剩下4隊對戰十分重要
: 墨已經贏美取得1勝,第一戰又派王牌對中華
: 基本上這隊可以先放掉,輸贏不重要
: 讓日墨去打冠軍戰就好
: 但...
: 只要我們贏韓,保底2勝3敗
: 而韓只要輸美或墨任一場
: 我們只要跟韓比對戰(同樣2勝3敗)
: 我們第4名,韓國第5名
: 韓國淘汰
: 以上發生的機率也非常高,大約也是87%
: 所以,從務實面來看
: 大家覺得王牌江少慶是不是一定要投韓國?
: 贏墨.輸韓,台灣100%淘汰
: 贏韓.輸墨,台灣有50%晉級
--
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