單打戰術日漸式微，直到休斯頓火箭再度將 - NBA

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DY0sjpwU0AAVVqJ.jpg:large
一圖看出今年哈登單打PPP有多誇張

截至目前為止 本季哈登的"個人"單打得分696
(共566個單打回合 場均11.8分 PPP 1.24)
超過全聯盟28支"球隊" 僅有雷霆全隊單打總分726高於哈登
(雷霆848個單打回合 場均10.4分 PPP 0.86)

但這個現象不見得都歸功於丹東尼
莫雷可能才是背後真正的推手

事實上自從聯盟防守規則改變之後
單打就和低位一樣 被視為悖離現代籃球的低效進攻手段
從2008-09之後的球季 幾乎所有球隊的單打比例都呈現下降趨勢
低位和單打根本不在MDA的進攻體系中
因為它們只會造成球的停滯、影響進攻的流暢度

反倒是莫雷一直都主張 關鍵時刻就是要交給球星單打
這是有統計學和大局觀上面的意義的

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以下出自六年前(2012-4-3)的一篇訪談
（是哈登被交易到火箭的前一個樂透賽季）
擷取其中莫雷強調關鍵時刻球星單打的戰術意義的一段

http://www.nba.com/rockets/news/q_with_daryl_morey_pril_5_2012_04_03.html

JCF: We’ve talked so much over the last few years about having that star
come crunch time and all the mythology behind that. This team in particular
though seems to fare pretty well and execute at an above average rate in
clutch situations, even without having that traditional “closer.”

記者：過去幾年我們談過關鍵時刻巨星單打的各種迷思。
這支火箭雖然缺乏傳統意義上的「終結者」，
但他們在關鍵時刻的表現不錯而且高於平均。

DM: I think the reality is that no one is any good at crunch time. I think if
you’ve got a guy who can create his own shot then you’re better off than
not.

莫雷：事實是在關鍵時刻一般人很難超常發揮。
我認為把球交給一個可以自己創造出手機會的人，是最保險的。

I think the biggest misnomer people have … I’ve seen a lot of things like,
‘You should run a play. You should just do your normal things.’ Well, the
reason why teams go with a particular isolation play, even though that often
has a low efficiency because it’s just hard to score for anybody, I don’t
care how good you are, is not because teams think that’s optimal for
scoring, it’s because it’s optimal for controlling the amount of time the
other team has after the play. If you’re just running a set and a team jumps
it or tries to disrupt it, it can really change the timing of when your shot
goes off and it’s a massive, massive difference how many ticks are left when
the other team gets the ball.

我覺得人們對此有很大的誤解……我總是聽到一堆人說
「你要跑戰術啊、你要跟平常一樣打球啊！」

為什麼球隊選擇特定的單打戰術？就算這戰術效率很低，
即使是很強的得分手來執行 得分也很困難

因為球隊不是著眼在提高得分，重點是在掌控比賽時間
以及這一回合之後對手取得球權的機會

如果你跑一套戰術 對手就有辦法從中攔截、破壞戰術
打亂你原本設定的出手時間 以及讀秒階段對手拿到球的時間
這中間的巨大差異足以改變局勢

So a lot of what people want to criticize coaches for which is ‘Don’t they
know that guy is bad in isolation; don’t they know this?’ – it’s really
because they’re not, in my opinion, thinking about the big picture which is
controlling the clock the other way in terms of when your opponent gets the
ball back. Even three seconds with an advance of the ball is a huge difference
versus only having one second. The efficiency drop based on you controlling
the clock the other way is a massive difference.

很多人會批評教練：
「難道他們不曉得這個球員單打很差勁嗎 難道教練連這都不懂？」
在我看來，這些人缺乏的是大局觀：
這攸關到時間掌控、球權掌控和降低對手拿到球的時間
剩下三秒和剩下一秒的進攻時間的差距是非常大的
雖然(單打)進攻效率降低了 但在掌控時間上成效是非常巨大的

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所以莫雷一直想湊三巨頭 背後是有理論支撐的

這個球季也把他長久以來鼓吹的三分、籃下、巨星單打充分結合 發揚光大了

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