哪些人可能是2020年代的代表投手 - 美國職棒
By Carol
at 2019-10-21T14:42
at 2019-10-21T14:42
Table of Contents
※ 引述《zouelephant (毛毛象)》之銘言：
: 2010年代例行賽已經結束了
: 能代表這個時代的大投手無疑是以下四人
: Zack Greinke (2004)
: Clayton Kershaw (2008)
: Max Scherzer (2008)
: Justin Verlander (2005)
: 他們看起來都是「沒意外將會進入名人堂」等級的球星
Greinke的宰制力沒有其他三位出色，但是他的名人堂之路也不會有什麼問題，
列上比較常用的名人堂預測指標包含 JAWS 跟 HOF monitor還有個人數據來做參考。
名人堂先發投手的JAWS平均是61.5，HOF monitor則為100。
Verlander 60.2 JAWS 196 HOFm 225W 3006K ERA+129 1xCYA 1xMVP 1xERA title
Greinke 60.1 JAWS 109 HOFm 205W 2622K ERA+125 1xCYA 2xERA title
Kershaw 58.8 JAWS 186 HOFm 169W 2464K ERA+157 3xCYA 1xMVP 5xERA title
Scherzer 54.5 JAWS 146 HOFm 170W 2692K ERA+132 3xCYA
Verlander、Kershaw和Scherzer大概是第一年穩進且95%得票率以上的候選人，
Greinke運氣好可能第一年得票率剛好過75%進去，但比較大的機率是要等個兩三年才踏進
名人堂，國外論壇都看好Greinke應該是會進去沒疑問，然後更好奇在古柏鎮的演說他
會說幾個字，或是甚至不出席？
--
: 2010年代例行賽已經結束了
: 能代表這個時代的大投手無疑是以下四人
: Zack Greinke (2004)
: Clayton Kershaw (2008)
: Max Scherzer (2008)
: Justin Verlander (2005)
: 他們看起來都是「沒意外將會進入名人堂」等級的球星
推 Xavier412958: Greinke的名人堂沒有另外三大穩10/21 13:53
→ Xavier412958: 他MVP、賽揚獎、以及單項數據聯盟第一的次數明顯比10/21 13:54
→ Xavier412958: 另外三位少10/21 13:54
Greinke的宰制力沒有其他三位出色，但是他的名人堂之路也不會有什麼問題，
列上比較常用的名人堂預測指標包含 JAWS 跟 HOF monitor還有個人數據來做參考。
名人堂先發投手的JAWS平均是61.5，HOF monitor則為100。
Verlander 60.2 JAWS 196 HOFm 225W 3006K ERA+129 1xCYA 1xMVP 1xERA title
Greinke 60.1 JAWS 109 HOFm 205W 2622K ERA+125 1xCYA 2xERA title
Kershaw 58.8 JAWS 186 HOFm 169W 2464K ERA+157 3xCYA 1xMVP 5xERA title
Scherzer 54.5 JAWS 146 HOFm 170W 2692K ERA+132 3xCYA
Verlander、Kershaw和Scherzer大概是第一年穩進且95%得票率以上的候選人，
Greinke運氣好可能第一年得票率剛好過75%進去，但比較大的機率是要等個兩三年才踏進
名人堂，國外論壇都看好Greinke應該是會進去沒疑問，然後更好奇在古柏鎮的演說他
會說幾個字，或是甚至不出席？
--
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