以マレーロ預測王柏融未來兩年日職成績 - 棒球
By Isabella
at 2019-10-01T00:03
at 2019-10-01T00:03
Table of Contents
日職第一年的洋將有到打數300上下就可以看出實力大概在哪了,
未來幾個球季如果單季有到300個打數上下,成績表現也不會差太多。
從兩人2019的出場數88:82,打數306:283,安打78:82,盜壘1:1,
兩人的出賽數跟打數很接近,所以拿兩人來比較。
結論:未來兩年王的出賽場次跟打數會愈來愈少,打擊成績也會明顯下滑。
兩人在日職第一年都只有1次盜壘成功,所以兩人皆無腳程。
2017マレーロ 20HR、OPS0.926、IsoP0.272,可看出長打能力優異。
2019王柏融 3HR、OPS0.648、IsoP0.072, 長打能力差。
個人定義洋槍的標準基本上應該有0.280BA以上,
2017マレーロ.290BA,符合洋槍基本標準。
2019王柏融 .255BA,不符合洋槍基本標準。
マレーロ第一年IsoP.272減掉王第一年Iso.072P正 好是0.2,
這已經足夠說明這位洋將沒長打能力了。
マレーロ在日職前兩年IsoP都在.200以上,長打能力就擺在那。
你要一個打數306、0.255BA、3HR、IsoP.072、1SB的洋將在未來兩年大爆發?
我是覺得不太可能啦……
2019王柏融 (26歲) 試合 88 打數306 78H 3HR 35RBI 1SB .255 .321 .327
2017マレーロ (29歲) 試合 82 打數283 82H 20HR 50RBI 1SB .290 .364 .562
2018マレーロ (30歲) 試合 68 打數219 44H 11HR 26RBI 1SB .201 .282 .416
2019マレーロ (31歲) 試合 43 打數123 26H 2HR 14RBI 0SB .211 .256 .317
OPS(整體攻擊指數):攻擊指數(OPS) = 上壘率(OBP) + 長打率(SLG)
2019王柏融 (26歲) OPS:.321+.327=.648
2017マレーロ (29歲) OPS:.364+.562=.926
2018マレーロ (30歲) OPS:.282+.416=.698
2019マレーロ (31歲) OPS:.256+.317=.573
XBH:安打中壘打數大於一者,稱為長打。長打數 = 二壘安打 + 三壘安打 + 全壘打
2019王柏融 (26歲) XBH:13+0+ 3=16
2017マレーロ (29歲) XBH:15+1+20=36
2018マレーロ (30歲) XBH:12+1+11=24
2019マレーロ (31歲) XBH: 7+0+ 2= 9
IsoP(純長打率);IsoP =長打率(SLG)-打擊率(AVG) .200以上就可視為長打能力優異。
2019王柏融 (26歲) IsoP:.327-.255=.072
2017マレーロ (29歲) IsoP:.562-.290=.272
2018マレーロ (30歲) IsoP:.416-.201=.215
2019マレーロ (31歲) IsoP:.317-.211=.106
--
未來幾個球季如果單季有到300個打數上下,成績表現也不會差太多。
從兩人2019的出場數88:82,打數306:283,安打78:82,盜壘1:1,
兩人的出賽數跟打數很接近,所以拿兩人來比較。
結論:未來兩年王的出賽場次跟打數會愈來愈少,打擊成績也會明顯下滑。
兩人在日職第一年都只有1次盜壘成功,所以兩人皆無腳程。
2017マレーロ 20HR、OPS0.926、IsoP0.272,可看出長打能力優異。
2019王柏融 3HR、OPS0.648、IsoP0.072, 長打能力差。
個人定義洋槍的標準基本上應該有0.280BA以上,
2017マレーロ.290BA,符合洋槍基本標準。
2019王柏融 .255BA,不符合洋槍基本標準。
マレーロ第一年IsoP.272減掉王第一年Iso.072P正 好是0.2,
這已經足夠說明這位洋將沒長打能力了。
マレーロ在日職前兩年IsoP都在.200以上,長打能力就擺在那。
你要一個打數306、0.255BA、3HR、IsoP.072、1SB的洋將在未來兩年大爆發?
我是覺得不太可能啦……
2019王柏融 (26歲) 試合 88 打數306 78H 3HR 35RBI 1SB .255 .321 .327
2017マレーロ (29歲) 試合 82 打數283 82H 20HR 50RBI 1SB .290 .364 .562
2018マレーロ (30歲) 試合 68 打數219 44H 11HR 26RBI 1SB .201 .282 .416
2019マレーロ (31歲) 試合 43 打數123 26H 2HR 14RBI 0SB .211 .256 .317
OPS(整體攻擊指數):攻擊指數(OPS) = 上壘率(OBP) + 長打率(SLG)
2019王柏融 (26歲) OPS:.321+.327=.648
2017マレーロ (29歲) OPS:.364+.562=.926
2018マレーロ (30歲) OPS:.282+.416=.698
2019マレーロ (31歲) OPS:.256+.317=.573
XBH:安打中壘打數大於一者,稱為長打。長打數 = 二壘安打 + 三壘安打 + 全壘打
2019王柏融 (26歲) XBH:13+0+ 3=16
2017マレーロ (29歲) XBH:15+1+20=36
2018マレーロ (30歲) XBH:12+1+11=24
2019マレーロ (31歲) XBH: 7+0+ 2= 9
IsoP(純長打率);IsoP =長打率(SLG)-打擊率(AVG) .200以上就可視為長打能力優異。
2019王柏融 (26歲) IsoP:.327-.255=.072
2017マレーロ (29歲) IsoP:.562-.290=.272
2018マレーロ (30歲) IsoP:.416-.201=.215
2019マレーロ (31歲) IsoP:.317-.211=.106
--
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