下季薪資上限可能下修3M與12M之間 - NBA

Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2020-10-26T13:52

Table of Contents

Report: Salary cap to decline between $3 million and $12 million next season


https://reurl.cc/9X01Za

作者: Kurt Helin

原文與各段翻譯:

We know that the NBA fell short of revenue projections for last season by
$1.5 billion. We know that the compressed 72-game season proposed to start in
December will not have fans in all the buildings for all of it, leading to
another down revenue season.
我們已知道上一季NBA收入少了15億,也知道下一季只有72場且可能不會滿場觀眾,因此可能收入
又會受到影響。

Where does that leave the salary cap? Nobody has an answer. While there is a
sense the cap will remain flat with last season at around $109 million,
nothing is certain. Teams are running a wide range of scenarios, something
Connor Letourneau of the San Francisco Chronicle wrote about.
那這會如何影響薪資帽?沒人有答案。維持與上一季相同的109M也有道理,但一切都未知。
舊金山的Chronicle寫到一段資訊如下:

League sources have put the decline in the cap at anywhere between $3 million
and $12 million. If the cap dropped $10 million, the Warriors could have to
pay $15 million more in taxes than on an entire roster expected to be in the
$180 million range.
聯盟內線說薪資帽可能下修3M到12M之間。如果砍10M,那勇士可能要多付出15M的豪華稅,
而非180M的陣容(這邊我不確定怎麼翻才對)。


We can assume that drop is off the pre-COVID-19 salary cap projections of
around $115 million (the target teams had been planning for), which means a
range of $100 million to $112 million. That’s a huge difference. The salary
cap is also what the luxury tax line (and the salary floor) is based on.
我們可以假設這個下修是基於疫情前的預測115M,所以可能是100M到112M的範圍。

The Warriors expected to be paying the luxury tax next season — although no
revenue coming in Chase Center makes that sting a little more for ownership
— but for other teams where the cap lands could be the difference between
being in the tax and out of it. Expect to see a few teams make some
cash-saving trades or other moves to get them below the tax line if they are
just over it.
勇士預期下一季會繳豪華稅,即使沒收入。其他隊伍也大受影響。可能不少隊伍會透過交
易之類的手段來壓在稅線下。


There should be a good idea of the salary cap number in the coming weeks
before the Nov. 18 2020 NBA Draft. It would be impossible for teams to make
trades on draft night without direction on the salary cap number. Whatever
that number will be, it will have a few teams scrambling.
十一月18號的選秀會前應該會有更明確的資訊,畢竟不可能沒有薪資帽資訊下各隊進行
交易與選人。

心得:

這個消息滿尷尬的,不變就算了,還可能比原本還低...那些提前續約但尚未開始執行的
合約怎麼辦啊?是依照新的薪資協議嗎?

--
Tags: NBA

All Comments

John avatar
By John
at 2020-10-28T08:05
下降12M 一堆人不敢跳PO了
Brianna avatar
By Brianna
at 2020-10-29T19:56
應該會有配套啦
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2020-11-01T05:19
如果是說疫情爆發前原本預測的薪資帽下修,那還是有
多一點吧?
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2020-11-02T04:47
你各位 共體時艱阿
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2020-11-02T07:48
罷工拉 哪次不罷工
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2020-11-03T13:26
上限下修,一堆今年換約的球員超慘的,把豪華稅線再
拉高一點吧,勇士看起來好痛苦
Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2020-11-06T17:52
這樣自由市場會更冷吧
Eden avatar
By Eden
at 2020-11-10T09:18
勇士那段的意思是 預期整隊薪資180M的狀況 要多付
15M的稅
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2020-11-12T11:29
砍越多 小李那張大約看起來越可怕
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2020-11-15T02:11
今年FA市場本來就超冷 所有人都在等2021
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2020-11-15T22:57
聯盟整體降薪越來越像會變成現實了
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2020-11-16T11:08
勇士痛苦才好啊
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2020-11-18T17:09
勇士之前續的Curry KT都變可怕大約了..幫QQ
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2020-11-23T14:09
樓上把嘴綠放哪
Charlie avatar
By Charlie
at 2020-11-24T05:19
仔細看了一下,應該是說用原本預計的2020-2021上限1
15M,去扣3~12M啦,最差還是有112M?
這樣還是比今年109M高
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2020-11-27T05:10
已簽的頂薪每年還會漲 這樣有些球隊受不了吧
Agatha avatar
By Agatha
at 2020-11-30T08:17
樓樓上115-12不就比109少....
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2020-12-04T02:47
數學...
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2020-12-05T11:05
是從預期的數字下修 變成沒提高這麼多而已
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2020-12-09T07:42
只下修這樣算少了 如果能維持跟上季一樣就很OK了
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2020-12-10T15:35
有可能會到112M啦
Puput avatar
By Puput
at 2020-12-13T00:15
頂薪看%數的吧? 主要是頂薪外的空間也會變小
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2020-12-16T19:28
我看錯以為是125,哈哈
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2020-12-21T02:18
那就是會有配套措施,舊約超出的話不用裁人之類的?
David avatar
By David
at 2020-12-24T15:56
為什麼要配套? 聯盟本來就不鼓勵球隊over上限太多
Franklin avatar
By Franklin
at 2020-12-29T08:24
自己要樂觀以對就要承擔不如預期的風險
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2020-12-29T17:04
頂薪是看簽的那年的上限 漲幅在簽的時候就確定了
像Curry是每年漲7% 如果薪資上限每年漲8%就還好
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2020-12-30T00:49
但如果未來五年假設平均漲0% Curry的約還是要漲7%
Audriana avatar
By Audriana
at 2020-12-31T13:03
爽啦再罷啊
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-12-31T17:46
反觀98公牛 這樣三連霸來壓詹 公平嗎
Frederica avatar
By Frederica
at 2021-01-05T08:48
對各隊薪資沒研究,假設硬上限剩103M,有哪隊直接超
過了嗎?
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2021-01-07T21:52
了解 這樣薪資上限不漲的話 球隊真的會很痛苦 佔薪
資比例會越來越高
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2021-01-11T20:36
不錯啊 直接毀了某些球隊21大計的美夢
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2021-01-12T17:12
自己瘋狂炒作BLM無限上綱怪誰
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2021-01-15T23:04
那哪是硬上限
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2021-01-18T12:56
NBA收益減少 要不要學MLB年薪打折共體時艱?
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2021-01-20T05:01
大部分隊伍應該比較在乎豪華稅線跟硬上限
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2021-01-24T06:42
72/82的縮水率遠比60/162還低
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2021-01-28T18:19
勇士還債囉~從薪資紅利變成豪華稅大戶
Candice avatar
By Candice
at 2021-01-30T17:26
勇士那四個就130M了不是?
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2021-02-02T03:37
哭啊
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2021-02-06T21:08
21年還會有跳出潮嗎?
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2021-02-06T22:09
看成125減12也是113…
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2021-02-11T10:47
勇士把球員賣掉不就好了XD 痛苦啥啦
Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2021-02-12T13:18
稅線大概132M吧 這消息若屬實稅線會更低
Yuri avatar
By Yuri
at 2021-02-14T12:38
被逼著賣球員也太慘@@
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2021-02-16T21:24
勇士要哭了
Kama avatar
By Kama
at 2021-02-17T12:53
大家共體時艱
Hamiltion avatar
By Hamiltion
at 2021-02-17T18:50
2021美夢全滅XD
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2021-02-18T21:52
罕見,比房地產跌價還難見到
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2021-02-19T00:10
勇士和籃網是不是要賣球員了
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2021-02-21T01:35
勇士痛苦,大家開心
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2021-02-24T02:12
有沒有可能稅制也會調整?不然那些球隊老闆要多繳也
會不爽吧
Skylar Davis avatar
By Skylar Davis
at 2021-02-26T16:41
現在是大家痛苦 勇士更痛苦 勇士還是想辦法把#2丟
掉吧XR 不然那薪資加上去也蠻可觀的
Linda avatar
By Linda
at 2021-02-28T07:51
會調整吧 不然大多數球隊都要繳稅了
Joe avatar
By Joe
at 2021-03-03T00:18
賣球員也要有人肯收啊,大家知道你薪資壓力破錶被逼
著作交易,還不趁機削你一把
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2021-03-06T05:36
勇士的痛苦還會不只這個球季..那四隻明年137M..
Ingrid avatar
By Ingrid
at 2021-03-09T16:03
不然這樣就好像是我已經虧錢了 結果上限下降我虧更
多==
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2021-03-13T16:13
今年交易市場會很熱絡了 大家要省錢
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2021-03-16T14:01
還好我熱少了12M一樣21-22空的出頂薪空間不影響
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2021-03-18T08:51
下修12M也太多了吧...
Necoo avatar
By Necoo
at 2021-03-21T01:56
最大的影響應該就是這兩年的PO 能不跳的都不跳了
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2021-03-25T01:05
下修的話 AD今年可能不會跳出重簽?
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2021-03-28T21:36
火箭要更省錢了 還能丟誰呢
Caitlin avatar
By Caitlin
at 2021-03-29T23:35
你火那個規劃 知情的很早就注意到與在討論了 你們
2021有機會招募一個頂級球星的同時留下核心球員
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2021-03-30T23:29
ad還是會跳吧 100m 30%還是比現在多吧
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2021-04-03T23:49
勇士賺三冠夠本了啦
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2021-04-08T00:10
再罷工啊 越霸錢越少
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2021-04-12T14:11
今年被說FA可能會出現更多S&T 不過還要看apron定在
哪吧 我不知道機會 但臨時調整apron跟稅線隨cap制定
的基礎是有可能在會議裡被討論 畢竟cap都會是不管預
期的BRI在訂了
David avatar
By David
at 2021-04-17T13:07
是啊,但今年真的是少數可能遠低預期的一年...
以往多半是符合甚至高於預期的cap
Erin avatar
By Erin
at 2021-04-17T15:52
共體時艱
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2021-04-21T19:18
讓世界感受痛苦吧
Emily avatar
By Emily
at 2021-04-24T12:01
DDR 應該是不會跳了吧
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2021-04-29T04:57
有些球隊拼命清薪資空間就是為了明年這樣一調大概
都沒了
Connor avatar
By Connor
at 2021-04-29T12:00
前幾年空間一直漲讓大家習慣穩定成長的薪資空間了
Margaret avatar
By Margaret
at 2021-05-03T15:49
@Borges 薪資砍越多,小李的supermax數字就會比原
本預期的變更低啊,而且如果後年小李換約時薪資上
限還是不好反而對於我拓是利多,因為薪資下降是不
可抗力的因素遲早會回彈上來的,等到薪資恢復預期
的話小李那約反而就不算貴了
Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2021-05-06T12:36
哈哈哈哈哈勇士活該 UCCU
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2021-05-10T08:15
小李的約不是已經簽了嗎?還是35%是用20-21的算?
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2021-05-14T06:59
如果是用20-21來算35% 那反而是球隊賺到了
Lucy avatar
By Lucy
at 2021-05-16T14:41
抱歉 小李新約是21-22才起跑 所以應該一定比預期低
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2021-05-18T23:19
照%數算就算拿比較少也是沒辦法特別補強吧
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2021-05-23T09:06
DVPE會按開始跑的那一季的cap算起薪 不過2020-21比
較悲觀 2021-22聯盟經濟有機會出現一定程度的復甦
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-05-25T10:22
悲觀預估下賽季可能跟17-18薪資的上限一樣
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2021-05-27T23:33
不過也有可能疫情一過來個大反彈 結果又出現一波
高於預期的漲幅 可能發生在過1.2年後
下一季是注定要悲觀了
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2021-05-28T22:36
一堆球隊崩潰
Daniel avatar
By Daniel
at 2021-05-30T22:28
就21-22小李換約時可能薪資有復甦但整體還是低於原
本疫情前的狀況,如果等22-23球季後恢復到疫情前預
估的狀況,那小李的新約應該就相對便宜,多出來的
錢就能拿去補強(如果我拓總管不亂買的話...QQ)
Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2021-06-03T05:33
勇士Green的約看起來更爛了
Zora avatar
By Zora
at 2021-06-07T08:41
差不多少一張中產的意思?
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2021-06-11T02:40
下修不行啦 罷賽罷賽
Eartha avatar
By Eartha
at 2021-06-15T18:47
這樣阿拓利多xdd
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2021-06-17T16:54
小李大虧
Quintina avatar
By Quintina
at 2021-06-21T16:11
罷賽球員虧更多
Vanessa avatar
By Vanessa
at 2021-06-22T18:21
勇士這樣的薪資結構已經沒有機會再衝擊冠軍了....
James avatar
By James
at 2021-06-27T04:58
理論上,稅收也要暫時下修才是
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2021-06-28T07:46
浪花重返73勇顛峰還是有可能衝擊一下冠軍的
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2021-07-03T07:24
勇士還要爛五年不是講假的
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2021-07-06T05:58
mm 我同意CHUNGHUA大的思考方向 之前我也推敲過今年
續簽的FA cap%高的球隊過幾年也許會佔到一些便宜
Barb Cronin avatar
By Barb Cronin
at 2021-07-09T10:30
勇士爆了啊
Edwina avatar
By Edwina
at 2021-07-12T04:09
那下個賽季就真的要崩潰了欸
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2021-07-14T23:32
這樣會更快開打吧 拖愈久虧愈多
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2021-07-18T18:25
這樣不是有可能大家都繳稅
Rebecca avatar
By Rebecca
at 2021-07-22T03:39
賣球員的一年!?
Jacky avatar
By Jacky
at 2021-07-25T02:54
不會大家都繳稅 不管是就目前實際情勢還是議事邏輯
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2021-07-27T21:14
這季稅線可能會通融吧
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2021-07-31T17:41
簡單說純按預期BRI制定的稅線會讓極端多數的球隊賦
稅時 那些球隊就會推動議案調整了
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2021-08-03T06:11
瘋狗貝:假的!都是假的!我不聽!
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2021-08-04T06:13
如果想聽多一點 可以去追蹤Albert Nahmad
Irma avatar
By Irma
at 2021-08-05T09:13
怎麼NBA沒有像MLB一樣大砍薪?
William avatar
By William
at 2021-08-05T20:32
實質上可能會 這是是經過escrow system讓全聯盟的球
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2021-08-09T11:21
員一起依收入未達預期的程度扣除薪水 而不是只反映
在今年換約球員的合約總薪資上
Andrew avatar
By Andrew
at 2021-08-10T01:52
"只是是經過escrow system" 打錯 抱歉
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2021-08-12T01:15
今年跟明年的FA可能合約上會吃點虧但對球團2-3後可
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2021-08-14T11:36
能會佔點便宜,但去年的FA簽了大約就會讓母隊未來2-
3年吃點虧 EX:76人...XD
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2021-08-18T15:30
未來兩年簽的約,到2023年會變超值約
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2021-08-21T16:08
勇士囂張了五年拿了三冠 現在還一下剛好而已
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2021-08-26T04:10
我豪機會來了

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By Olga
at 2020-10-26T11:14
曾經的PG,是個可以跟LBJ季後賽對幹的男人 後來離開溜馬跑到雷霆跟龜龜、瓜哥(後來走了)組三巨頭 這時候的PG跟龜龜一個是MVP候選人、另一個則是大三元MVP PG還打出生涯年,平均28分8.2籃板4.1助攻 不過被Lillard爆冷門幹掉後,這一切似乎就變了 他賽後直說那球是bad shot ...

Harden在中學時因女生調情就拿籃球砸她

Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2020-10-26T10:06
來源: Sportsrush 網址: https://tinyurl.com/y3783u8d ‘He threw a basketball at her’: James Harden’s mother recalls how Rockets star couldn’t flirt with a girl ...