Yankees 2020 top 50 prospect(1-5) - 美國職棒

今天Prospect 1500釋出了洋基農場五十大新秀介紹，而且還用五個tier去分類
。
個人認為滿值得細讀的，尤其可以更了解一些IFA簽的小朋友。原文有點長，今天先翻譯
前言跟排名1-5的新秀。

原文：https://reurl.cc/oDj5qQ

New York Yankees 2020 Top 50 Prospects(tier 1-2，排名1-5)

January 28, 2020 By Paul Woodin

The Yankees are loaded with talent. Some of the talent seems more of a sure
thing then others. I believe the Yankees will end up trading some of the
talent to help the parent club in 2020 or soon thereafter. They have done a
good job in the international market. I was once told by a minor leaguer that
he is playing for 29 other teams’ eyes as well as his team, that is
definitely the case for some of the prospects in the Yankees system! The
surplus of middle of the rotation arms and outfielders will be the first to
choose from in trades. One of the biggest issues on the farm is lack of
middle infield prospects. However, when you look at the system as a whole,
the Yankees remain one of the deepest systems in baseball. They have their
usual supply of diamond-in-the-rough pitching finds, toolsy international
free agents, and some slick fielding infielders. Based on the sheer amount of
toolsy young players in the Yankees’ system, I expect enough of them to
shine to push the Yankees back into above-average status in just a short
period of time. The Yankees continue to push their top prospects with
challenging assignments, which is sometimes reflected by the numbers the
prospect puts up. Injuries were a huge issue throughout the system in 2019
and I’m hoping that everyone stays healthy in 2020!

洋基的農場有許多天賦，其中也有很多有機會成為真貨的新秀。我認為洋基很快
就會拿一部分的潛力新秀去補強他們的MLB陣容。洋基在海外新秀簽約市場表現得很不錯
。
這幾年簽下了Gary Sanchez、Luis Severino、Miguel Andujar等球員。曾經有一個小聯
盟球員告訴我：「我們努力打出好表現並不只是要給母球團的球探看，聯盟裡其他29隊也
可能會注意到我們。」也許已經有許多其他隊球探已經在洋基農場發現他們屬意的未來之
星了。洋基農場充滿許多投手和外野手天賦，這兩類型的新秀是最有可能被交易的。他們
農場最大的弱點是缺少好的中線內野手，但如果我們以整體農場系統來看，洋基依舊擁有
全聯盟最深的農場之一：他們總能在礫沙中挑出珍珠，找到天花板高的投手、各方面都有
養成潛力的海外新秀、還有一些守備專家。我認為球探們很快就會發現這些新秀的才華，
使洋基農場評比回到聯盟平均之上。洋基喜歡給頂尖新秀具有挑戰性的發展目標，有時候
會影響到他們小聯盟的數據表現。2019年他們的農場也受到傷病的侵擾，希望今年這些年
輕天賦都能保持健康，在場上發光發熱。

Prospects1500 Tiers:

Tier 1: Players with high expectations of both making the majors and playing
at an All-Star level for a number of years.

Tier 2: Players with an above average expectation of making the majors and
being a solid contributor.

Tier 3: Players with an average expectation of making the majors and being a
solid contributor.

Tier 4: Players who have the potential of making the majors, or have high
likelihood of making the majors but providing minimal impact.(e.g. middle
reliever, low-ceiling UT guys)

Tier 5: Players who are worth keeping an eye on, but likely to never make a
team’s 40-man roster.

新秀的五個分級說明：

Tier 1：這等級的球員不僅有很高的機率能升上大聯盟，更被期待在數個球季中展現全明
星級的身手。

Tier 2：這等級的球員升上大聯盟的機率在平均之上，並且被期待成為穩定的先發球員。

Tier 3：這等級的球員升上大聯盟的機率普通，被期待能在球隊需要的時候繳出不錯的貢
獻。

Tier 4：這等級的球員偶爾會展現升上大聯盟的潛力，或有極高機率以中繼投手或低地板
的替補球員升上大聯盟。

Tier 5：這等級的球員值得你的關注，但他們可能永遠都不會被球團放入40人名單內。

補充：洋基目前TOP 50新秀分級組成狀況：

tier 1：一個
tier 2：十二個
tier 3：十二個
tier 4：十四個
tier 5：十一個

Tier 1

1. Jasson Dominguez, OF
Age: 16
2019 Highest Level: N/A
I struggled to put Dominguez in Tier 1 since he has not even swung a bat
against MiLB pitching stateside during a game. Dominguez, who is nicknamed
The Martian and was named after former Yankee Jason Giambi, was signed out of
the Dominican for $5.1 million in 2019. He is strong and athletic with a
mature body for his age. He has a smooth, short and compact swing with
excellent bat speed from both sides of the plate. The ball jumps off of his
bat with extra pop. He has shown good bat control and can drive the ball into
the gaps and hit for power to all fields. Dominguez squares up the ball and
has an advanced approach with a good understanding of the strike zone. He’s
also good baserunner with good speed. He’s known for getting good leads and
a quick first jump. He has a true chance at being a 30/30 player annually. On
defense, Dominguez has shown good footwork and soft hands, and he takes good
routes. He possesses plus arm strength and throws the ball on a line. He
loves the sport and has a reputation for being a baseball rat who is always
working on a different part of his game. Scouts do compare him to a young
Mike Trout. I will be trying to grab Dominguez in every dynasty league I am
in. ETA: 2024

Tier 1

1. Jasson Dominguez, 外野手，16歲
曾在2019達到的最高層級：無

因為Dominguez從未在職業賽場上出賽過，我對於要不要把他放在tier 1相當掙
扎。這位綽號為火星人的16歲外野手是以前洋基球員Jason Giambi命名的，他在2019年以
海外新秀的身分被洋基以五百一十萬的天價簽下。他有強壯的體格以及良好的運動能力，
以一個16歲的青少年來說相當驚人。他的揮棒軌跡短且流暢，在左右打擊區都展現了優秀
的揮棒速度，他擊出的球會「砰」的一聲飛得老遠。目前他展現出很好的球棒控制，能夠
把球擊向球場各個角落。除了能打出強勁擊球之外，Dominguez對於好球帶的掌握度也很高
，不會很躁進的追打壞球。他在平均之上的跑速、離壘距離的掌握度以及快速的first
jump使他成為一個優秀的跑者。
防守方面，Dominguez已經展現不錯的腳步以及柔軟的手感，他追球的路徑也大
多是最短距離。他的臂力相當優異，大多數的傳球也都很準確。
心態方面，他十分熱愛棒球，被認為是一個棒球狂人的他為了提升自己在各方面
的表現相當努力訓練，球探們將他與年輕的Mike Trout相比，Dominguez是我玩dynasty
league一定選中的球員。

目前評價：天賦像外星人的16歲青少年

未來期待：單季30轟/30盜，防守優異的明星中外野手

預估升上MLB年度：2024

Tier 2

2. Clarke Schmidt, RHP
Age: 23
2019 Highest Level: AA Trenton
2019 Stats: 19 G, 18 GS, 90.2 IP, 6-5, 102 K, 3.47 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
The Yankees drafted Schmidt 16th overall in 2017. The former South Carolina
right-hander had to wait until June 2018 to make his minor league debut
because of Tommy John surgery. Schmidt ended his impressive first season at
Double-A Trenton with a 3.47 ERA and 2.68 FIP in 90.2 innings across three
levels. His fastball sits between 92-94 mph and tops off at 96. He has a
fantastic four-pitch mix, with a fastball, low-80s curveball, mid-80s slider
and a changeup. He should start the season with Trenton and could do well
enough to get a late season call up. However, Schmidt only has 124.2 career
minor league innings between the regular season and postseason so do not
expect him to be ready to throw 200 MLB innings right away. ETA: Late 2020

Tier 2

2. Clarke Schmidt, 右投手，23歲
曾在2019達到的最高層級：2A
2019成績：出賽19場（18場先發）主投90.2局，102三振/ERA3.47/WHIP1.18

2017年洋基以第一輪第16順位選中正要動TJ的Schmidt，這位南卡羅來納出身的
右投手在2018年六月才終於在小聯盟第一次出賽。隔年他也迎來第一個小聯盟完整賽季，
橫跨三個層級主投90.2局交出3.47ERA/2.68FIP令人印象深刻的成績。Schmidt速球大多在
92-94mph，最快能達到96mph，他的速球與low-80s的曲球、mid-80s的滑球以及變速球組
成超讚的投球武器庫。
Schmidt應該還是會在2A展開2020球季，如果他的表現良好有機會在季末被叫上
大聯盟。但是他的職業生涯總共只出賽過124.2局，不要期待他能立即負擔大聯盟先發的
投球工作量。

目前評價：低天花板高地板，完成度高但有傷病疑慮的先發新秀

未來期待：2-3號先發投手

預計升上MLB年度：2020季末

3. Deivi Garcia, RHP
Age: 20
2019 Highest Level: AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre
2019 Stats: 26 G, 21 GS, 111.1 IP, 5-9, 165 K, 4.28 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
Signed for just $200,000 out of the Dominican Republic in 2015, this
20-year-old has underwhelming size at 5’9” 163 pounds, but the movement and
command of his fastball make it a plus pitch as it regularly hits 93-96. He
backs it up with a high spin curveball with depth, which maybe his best
pitch, and an above-average changeup that is still developing but should be
able to be a strong third pitch. He has made a lot of progress in 2019 in
both controlling his pitches and commanding the ball. With very clean
mechanics and a low-effort delivery there is a lot to like about him as he
has no trouble repeating his delivery. He moved up the ladder rather quickly
in 2019 beginning the season in A+ and reaching AAA in July. He could end up
a reliever down the line if it is determined he is too small to hold up to
the rigors of being a starter in the big leagues. He did work as a reliever
late in the season with Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. He was added to the 40 man
roster this off season to protect him in the Rule 5 Draft. Trenton Thunder
manager Pat Osborn compared him to Pedro Martinez and as a Yankees fan I sure
hope he’s right! ETA: Mid 2020

3. Deivi Garcia，右投手，20歲
曾在2019達到的最高層級：3A
2019賽季成績：26場出賽（21場先發），主投111.1局165個三振，ERA4.28/WHIP1.35

Garcia在2015年以20萬美金的低價被洋基簽下。這位多明尼加出身的投手身形單
薄（175公分74公斤），但他的速球坐落在93-96mph，並且有良好的尾勁。他最好的球種
是有著高轉速且變化幅度大的曲球，他的變速球尚未成熟，但也被預期能夠成為第三個平
均之上的球種。
Garcia在2019年在control跟command上都有很大的突破。他的投球機制相當乾淨
，使他能夠輕易地重複他順暢的投球姿勢。他去年爬升的速度非常快，短短三個月就從高
階1A一路升到3A。
Garcia曾在去年季末以救援投手在3A出賽過，休賽季時洋基為了不讓他在規則五
選秀中被選走而把他加入40名單。有許多球探認為他單薄的身材無法承受先發投手的工作
量，所以他轉型成為後援的機率是存在的。帶過他的2A教練曾把他比喻成年輕的Pedro
Martinez，身為洋基迷的我多麼希望這能成真。

目前評價：高天花板低地板的投手新秀，有2個plus的球種（速球、曲球）以及一個發展
中有機會達到平均之上的球種（變速球）；command還不穩定，但是以他流暢的投球動作有
機會再進步；但他矮小的身材可能阻礙他成為先發。

未來期待：中前段先發，或是頂尖的後援投手。

預計升上MLB年度：2020年季中

4. Estevan Florial, OF
Age: 22
2019 Highest Level: A+ Tampa
2019 Stats: 74 G, 301 PA, .237/.297/.383/.680, 8 HR, 38 RBI, 9 SB
Florial’s swing contains plus bat speed and will develop plus power in the
future. His swing possesses a high leg kick that will assist with his power.
Even though he has been pull dominant thus far in his career, his strength
actually comes into play when he goes to left-center field. Florial is a plus
runner. I would give him at least a 70 grade on the 20-80 scouting scale. He
has the potential to be a 30/30 player. With the bat speed and lofty in his
left-handed swing he can take advantage of Yankee Stadium. One concern is
that he is still very raw and at time gets overly aggressive as a hitter
since he’s so young, this leads to concerns about whether he can make enough
contact to realize his full potential. He should stick in center field but he
has plus arm strength which will allow him to be successful as a corner
outfielder should the organization choose to move him from center. He has a
great first step and plus reactions. Backs up every pitch and is moving on
every ball in play. Possesses plus arm strength and throws the ball on a
line. He must try and stay healthy after having fluky injuries the last few
years, even as recently as 2019. He spent two months on the IL from
fracturing his right wrist well crashing into the center-field wall during
Spring Training. It’s the second straight season Florial has dealt with
right wrist problems. He played just 84 games in 2018 due to hamate bone
surgery. The Yankees added Florial to the 40 man roster in the offseason to
protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. ETA: 2022

4. Estevan Florial，外野手，22歲
曾在2019達到的最高層級：A+
2019賽季成績：74場出賽，301個打席，打擊三圍：.237/.297/.383 8支全壘打，9次盜壘

Florial有plus的揮棒速度，很有可能在未來長出plus的game power，他揮棒時
會有著高抬腿，讓他能輕易擊出長打。左打的他一直都是強力拉回式的打者，但他的力量
容許他把球打向中左外野。Florial也是一個plus的跑壘者，我會給他的跑速70分（20-80
scale)。如果能善用天賦，他有成為30-30明星球員的潛力。令人擔憂的是，他現在的完
成度還是很低。他有時候會太過積極揮棒，球探們擔心不成熟的approach會讓他有過高的
揮空率，最終無法完全兌現他的打擊天賦。
守備方面，Florial有良好的反應以及第一步，他專注於投手投出的每一球，並
且積極去追每一個打到外野的球。他應該能常駐中外野，但他強壯的臂力讓他有成為頂尖
角落外野手的潛力。
Florial最大的問題是健康狀態，他近兩季都因為手腕傷勢停機了很長一段時間
，洋基在這個休賽季也把他加入40人名單，不讓他在規則五中被選走。

目前評價：天賦極高，但是手腕傷勢影響到他的表現。揮棒太過積極又沒有好的contact
skill，完成度很低。

未來期待：五拍子明星中外野手，或者是更實際的：守備良好的盲砲型中外野手。

預計升上MLB年度：2022

5. Luis Gil, RHP
Age: 21
2019 Highest Level: A+ Tampa
2019 Stats: 20 G, 20 GS, 96 IP, 5-5, 123 K, 2.72 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
When the Yankees needed roster space after signing Neil Walker in March 2018,
they designated Jake Cave for assignment and traded him to Minnesota for Gil.
Boy has that trade worked out! Gil had shoulder surgery in 2016 and missed
the season but it hasn’t affected his development. Gil’s big arm helps him
regularly hit 94-98 mph and reach 101 mph with his four-seam fastball. He
keeps his velocity deep into his starts and can blow his heater by hitters up
in the strike zone. He can also miss bats with an excellent power curveball
that has exceptional spin rates and a decent changeup that’s still a work in
progress. He has trouble keeping his delivery in sync and repeating his
release point, which makes it difficult for him to harness his overpowering
stuff at times. He may wind up as a dynamic late-inning reliever or closer
but because of his rapport he may work better as a reliever. The Yankees
added Gil to the 40 man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. ETA: 2022

5. Luis Gil，右投手，21歲
曾在2019達到的最高層級：A+
2019成績；20場先發，主投96局，123個三振，ERA2.72/WHIP1.23
洋基在2018年初需要清出40人名單空間給剛簽下的Neil Walker，所以他們把外野
新秀Jake Cave交易到雙城換來Gil，這個不起眼的交易目前看起來真的太讚了。Gil在2016
年動了肩膀手術缺賽了整季，但是這並沒有影響到他的發展。他的四縫線速球通常在94-
98mph之間，有時甚至可以飆到101mph，他的球速不會在後段局數降低太多，代表他的體
能很不錯；他的曲球有著超優異的轉速，變速球還未成熟，但也有成為良好第三球種的潛
力。
Gil可以在需要時把他的heater控制在好球帶上緣，這時打者對他一點辦法都沒
有。但是他的協調性還沒有很好，讓他無法保持相同的投球姿勢以及放球點，使得他空有
頂尖的stuff卻沒辦法把球投進好球帶。他的控球如果無法改善，未來可能會轉往後援，
但以他的先天條件絕對有機會成為終結者或是球隊重要的布局投手。他也在今年被加到40
人名單中。

目前評價：stuff非常頂尖，但是因為投球機制還不穩定所以控球還不行。

未來期待：有成為ace的潛力，接下來的目標就是挑整姿勢改善控球，只有21歲的他絕對
有機會更上一層樓。最差也有成為頂尖牛的實力。

預計升上MLB年度：2022

To be continued...



--