[THT] Charting Felix - 美國職棒

Charting Felix
by David Cameron
May 29, 2006
available at http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/charting-felix/

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[quote]

What information can we gather from these two tables? To me, watching
these games in detail, it is clear that there is a scouting report on
Felix Hernandez circulating MLB that reads something like this:

First inning, all fastballs, so go up hacking. After first inning, only swing
if it's straight and hard. Struggles to throw fastball for strikes, so let
him fall behind. In a good hitter's count, swing for the fences—if it’s a
breaking ball, you can’t hit it anyway.

That is what we’re seeing hitters do. They are attacking Felix early
in the game, knowing that they are going to get a steady diet of fastballs
in their first trip to the plate, and then hoping to get him to fall
behind later in the game so they can sit dead red again.

When Felix is mixing his pitches effectively and keeping hitters off
balance, he’s fine. However, he’s shown a tendency to become predictable
at times, and major league hitters are really good at hitting what they know
is coming.


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