The Signing Period - 美國職棒

http://news.soxprospects.com/2012/06/signing-period.html

Now that the 2012 First Year Player Draft is in the books, the signing period
is upon us. This year's signing period should be a lot different than the
past five years, primarily due to the new CBA draft rules. First, the
signing deadline has been pushed up to 5:00 pm ET on July 13, 2012. Second,
each team has a bonus cap that it may spend on its draft pool, determined by
the number and placement of that team's selections.

The bonus cap sets an aggregate limit for a team to spend on its selections
in the first ten rounds, and also limits teams from spending over $100,000 on
players taken after the tenth round (the excess on any late round bonuses
will count against the bonus pool). Boston's cap is $6,884,800 this year.
If the club exceeds its pool: (1) by 0-5%, it will be charged a 75 percent
tax on the excess; (2) by 5-10%, it will pay the same tax and will also lose
its first round pick next season; (3) by 10-15%, it will be charged a 100%
tax on the excess and lose its 1st and 2nd round picks next season; and (4)
by more than 15%, 100% tax on the excess and lose its next two first round
picks.

These are obviously harsh penalties, and it's unlikely that the Red Sox will
test the waters by going more than 5% over the pool limit this year. However,
the team very well may be willing to pay the requisite tax and go up to 5%
over the cap, which would place the team's pool number at about $7,229,040.
This figure does not include the first $100,000 spent on any single bonus
after round ten. Another wrinkle is that if Boston fails to sign any of its
picks from the top ten rounds, its pool will be reduced by the amount of the
slot amount for the undrafted player's draft position. Ultimately, the new
cap will undoubtedly make this signing period an interesting one, as the
club spent over $10 million on the draft in each of the last two years.

Here are the bonus slots for each of Boston's top picks:

1st round (No. 24): $1,750,000
1st round (No. 31): $1,575,000
Supplemental round (No. 37): $1,394,000

2nd round: $565,600
3rd round: $400,500
4th round: $291,300
5th round: $218,100
6th round: $163,500
7th round: $143,000
8th round: $133,500
9th round: $125,000
10th round: $125,000


It is expected that Boston's first pick, Deven Marrero, will sign for at or
around the $1,750,000 slot figure, and its next two picks, Brian Johnson and
Pat Light, may sign for under slot – it's just not clear how far under slot
they'd go. Fourth rounder Ty Buttrey, considered a top 50 player in the
draft, is likely to require an over-slot bonus in excess of $1 million.

It's been reported that second rounder Jamie Callahan, fifth rounder Mike
Augliera, and sixth rounder Justin Haley have all already agreed to deals in
principle. Callahan's and Haley's deals are likely at slot, while college
senior Augliera's deal is likely below slot. The four other college seniors
selected in rounds 7-10 are all also likely to sign for well below slot,
perhaps as low as $5,000 to $10,000 per player. Third rounder Austin Maddox
should sign for slot, which is $400,500 for his draft position.

Altogether, that should leave somewhere in the realm of $1 million to $1.5
million for the Red Sox to spend on picks after the tenth round – and that
does not include the initial $100,000 permitted for each pick.

Some late round Sox draftees who could be recipients of $100,000+ bonuses
this season include 11th rounder Jamal Martin, 14th rounder Dylan Chavez,
15th rounder Carson Fulmer, 18th rounder Shaq Thompson, 29th rounder Alex
Bregman, 30th rounder Justin Taylor, 33rd rounder Chris Carlson, and 34th
rounder Xavier Turner. Fulmer and Bregman are the most highly-regarded
prospects of that group, with Fulmer being the more likely of the two to
sign.

因應新版CBA,以後的選秀策略大致都是前十輪儘量選容易簽下又比較便宜的大學生,
在10輪後再集中力量選高中生,利用前十輪省下的錢砸下去,可是有些球隊前十輪的
建議簽約金實在是少得可憐,今年最低的是天使隊,只有1,645,700能用,要怎麼安排
選秀策略,真的要考驗各家FO了...

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