Re: Australian Open 2011 - Men's singles (Q) - 網球 Tennis

澳網男單分析 (反正澳網冷門爆不用錢 大家隨便看看 XD)
==

　[1] Rafael Nadal (ESP) vs Marcos Daniel (BRA)
　[Q] Ryan Sweeting (USA) vs Daniel Gimeno-Traver (ESP)
　[WC] Bernard Tomic (AUS) vs Jeremy Chardy (FRA)
Alejandro Falla (COL) vs [31] Feliciano Lopez (ESP)

[20] John Isner (USA) vs Florent Serra (FRA)
Radek Stepanek (CZE) vs [Q] Denis Gremelmayr (GER)
Rui Machado (POR) vs Santiago Giraldo (COL)
[Q] Donald Young (USA) vs [15] Marin Cilic (CRO)

[10] Mikhail Youzhny (RUS) vs Marsel Ilhan (TUR)
[Q] Blaz Kavcic (SLO) vs Kevin Anderson (RSA)
[Q] Milos Raonic (CAN) vs Bjorn Phau (GER)
Juan Ignacio Chela (ARG) vs [22] Michael Llodra (FRA)

[27] David Nalbandian (ARG) vs Lleyton Hewitt (AUS)
Richard Berankis (LTU) vs [WC] Marinko Matosevic (AUS)
Michael Russell (USA) vs [WC] Matthew Ebden (AUS)
Jarkko Nieminen (FIN) vs [7] David Ferrer (ESP)

Section 1

Nadal目指 nadal-slam!!! 經過去年一年的表現 nadal敵人只剩下他的身體了
有看杜哈的人都知道 Nadal的狀態絕對不在100%(70%不到吧) 傷病到底痊癒了沒
是Nadal能否成就偉大紀錄的關鍵 第三輪假想敵是好友Lopez
去年少數打敗過他的人之一 不過一向帶著傷病出征的Nadal 八強應該還是基本盤

這樣去年四強Cilic 去年法網後就沒有突出的表現 排名可能會直線滑落

下半區 納班火拼hewitt 第一輪最傻眼賽事(ps 歡迎按下f賭一把 XD)
Ferrer才剛在奧克蘭奪冠 第一輪面對受傷的左手發球大砲Nieminen
而Youzhny則是好整以暇 希望Youzhny打出好成績啊
這樣以後澳網之前就有一堆球員會來台灣打熱身賽 (誤)
--

[4] Robin Soderling (SWE) vs Potito Starace (ITA)
[Q] Gilles Muller (LUX) vs [Q] Simon Stadler (GER)
Denis Istomin (UZB) vs [Q] Jan Hernych (CZE)
Ricardo Mello (BRA) vs [30] Thomaz Bellucci (BRA)

[24] Ernests Gulbis (LAT) vs Benjamin Becker (GER)
Alexandr Dolgopolov (UKR) vs Mikhail Kukushkin (KAZ)
Andreas Seppi (ITA) vs Arnaud Clement (FRA)
Philipp Petzschner (GER) vs [13] Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA)

[11] Jurgen Melzer (AUT) vs [Q] Vincent Millot (FRA)
[WC] Carsten Ball (AUS) vs Pere Riba (ESP)
Dudi Sela (ISR) vs Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG)
[Q] Grega Zemlja (SLO) vs [21] Marcos Baghdatis (CYP)

[32] Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (ESP) vs Michael Berrer (GER)
Eduardo Schwank (ARG) vs Leonardo Mayer (ARG)
Illya Marchenko (UKR) vs Ruben Ramirez Hidalgo (ESP)
Karol Beck (SVK) vs [5] Andy Murray (GBR)

Section 2
Murray雖然失去第四種子 但籤運ok 抽到BIG 4殺傷力最小的Soderling
Soderling 過去澳網最好成績是第二輪
而Gulbis 時好時壞 實在不敢有太多期待
這一區可以注意的是很會打澳網的Tsonga

下半區有Del potro 還有巴大叔 Melzer 等等名將
但傷後復出的Del Potro 還需要時間調整 而Baghdatis有傷在身
Murray應該還是八強保險名單

--

[6] Tomas Berdych (CZE) vs [Q] Marco Crugnola (ITA)
Philipp Kohlschreiber (GER) vs Tobias Kamke (GER)
[WC] Ryan Harrison (USA) vs Adrian Mannarino (FRA)
[Q] Frank Dancevic (CAN) vs [28] Richard Gasquet (FRA)

[23] Nikolay Davydenko (RUS) vs Florian Mayer (GER)
Fabio Fognini (ITA) vs Kei Nishikori (JPN)
Mischa Zverev (GER) vs Janko Tipsarevic (SRB)
Rainer Schuettler (GER) vs [9] Fernando Verdasco (ESP)

[14] Nicolas Almagro (ESP) vs [Q] Stephane Robert (FRA)
Igor Andreev (RUS) vs Filippo Volandri (ITA)
[Q] Flavio Cipolla (ITA) vs [WC] Benoit Paire (FRA)
[WC] Peter Luczak (AUS) vs [17] Ivan Ljubicic (CRO)

[29] Viktor Troicki (SRB) vs Dmitry Tursunov (RUS)
Brian Dabul (ARG) vs [Q] Nicolas Mahut (FRA)
Ivo Karlovic (CRO) vs Ivan Dodig (CRO)
Marcel Granollers (ESP) vs [3] Novak Djokovic (SRB)

Section 3

Djokovic應該是本次籤王了 八強抽到Berdych這個隨時都會出局的偽八強
上半部在大種子Berdych Verdasco狀況都很差下
Gasquet Davydenko 都有機會串亂搶進八強 尤其是這兩年只猛期初的Davy
但非種子的tipsy則是可以期待的黑馬

至於Nole 第三輪預計碰到同胞Troicki 去年美網差點害他賽事第二天就要去紐約觀光
過了這關之後 劇本應該就直接四強了 然後等待federer的出現

--

[8] Andy Roddick (USA) vs Jan Hajek (CZE)
Michal Przysiezny (POL) vs Igor Kunitsyn (RUS)
Carlos Berlocq (ARG) vs Robin Haase (NED)
Julien Benneteau (FRA) vs [26] Juan Monaco (ARG)

[19] Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) vs Teymuraz Gabashvili (RUS)
[Q] Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) vs Andrey Golubev (KAZ)
Frederico Gil (POR) vs Pablo Cuevas (URU)
Thiemo de Bakker (NED) vs [12] Gael Monfils (FRA)

[16] Mardy Fish (USA) vs Victor Hanescu (ROU)
Tommy Robredo (ESP) vs [WC] Somdev Devvarman (IND)
Sergiy Stakhovsky (UKR) vs Daniel Brands (GER)
Lukasz Kubot (POL) vs [18] Sam Querrey (USA)

[25] Albert Montanes (ESP) vs Dustin Brown (GER)
Pablo Andujar (ESP) vs Xavier Malisse (BEL)
Yen-Hsun Lu (TPE) vs Gilles Simon (FRA)
Lukas Lacko (SVK) vs [2] Roger Federer (SUI)

Section 4

Roddick八強假想敵又是宿敵Federer?? 對大安迪來說 16強的小卡就會先遇到麻煩了
Wawrinka剛拿下清奈冠軍 而Roddick連三大滿貫闖不進八強
在發球愈來改愈弱的情形下 Roddick還是先以八強為目標比較實際

下半部Federer 第二輪假想敵Simon對戰紀錄是 0-2 所以全世界的Federer球迷
要希望盧彥勳再創奇蹟啊 XD
至於 Malisse Fish 等人近況都不錯 無奈在這一區 要打進八強就要先過Federer
難度實在不低

===
我的預測八強

Nadal-Youzhny
Tsonga-Murray
Tipsarevic-Djokovic
Roddick-Federer

--