Re: 2008 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox - 美國職棒

2007 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox


Name P AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS

Ramirez lf .299 .408 .600 142 498 88 149 31 1 39 118 89 111 1 1

Ortiz* dh .288 .396 .619 151 562 108 162 35 2 49 137 101 119 1 0

Youkilis 1b .276 .384 .428 129 463 79 128 35 1 11 62 76 95 3 2

Pena* 1b .256 .355 .474 140 464 82 119 24 1 25 82 67 127 3 1

Varitek# c .266 .357 .456 121 410 55 109 25 1 17 65 56 102 3 1

Lowell 3b .277 .342 .465 152 542 70 150 46 1 18 85 52 63 3 1

Crisp# cf .299 .352 .456 128 498 79 149 32 2 14 68 39 68 18 6

Nixon* rf .272 .371 .415 110 357 52 97 24 0 9 50 53 52 1 1

Pena cf .276 .331 .483 102 323 44 89 17 1 16 58 23 101 2 1

Loretta 2b .302 .367 .404 142 557 75 168 37 1 6 70 50 51 4 2

Choi* 1b .240 .348 .422 106 287 41 69 17 1 11 43 45 72 1 1

Myrow* 3b .250 .339 .412 110 308 51 77 22 2 8 40 40 83 4 2

Pedroia ss .274 .347 .394 130 482 70 132 33 2 7 52 49 32 2 3

Hinske* 3b .256 .332 .406 137 438 59 112 26 2 12 62 47 100 6 4

Moss* rf .261 .323 .397 134 499 82 130 34 2 10 58 45 107 4 3

Kottaras* c .241 .331 .374 115 382 51 92 28 1 7 45 50 94 1 1

Ellsbury* cf .275 .341 .374 99 382 58 105 15 4 5 38 34 43 23 12

Gonzalez ss .256 .304 .404 131 445 52 114 31 1 11 64 27 87 2 1

Murphy* cf .249 .314 .387 140 486 66 121 37 3 8 57 43 80 6 4

Kapler rf .263 .310 .397 92 194 35 51 12 1 4 22 12 31 2 2

Cora* 2b .250 .333 .344 108 288 35 72 9 3 4 31 27 32 4 2

Calloway* lf .250 .317 .371 111 364 43 91 27 1 5 45 34 72 7 5

West 1b .245 .302 .376 125 444 51 109 32 1 8 47 31 67 1 1

Mirabelli c .214 .304 .377 63 159 15 34 8 0 6 23 16 81 0 0

Machado 2b .253 .324 .326 114 359 51 91 13 2 3 32 35 44 14 6

Otness c .258 .302 .355 110 392 44 101 24 1 4 38 20 40 1 1

Pinckney# 3b .236 .279 .383 119 436 61 103 31 3 9 49 22 84 4 2

Harris* 2b .237 .321 .318 109 299 49 71 13 1 3 24 36 65 13 6

Bacani 2b .227 .311 .327 112 343 45 78 18 2 4 35 33 62 7 5

Miller c .197 .281 .351 72 208 29 41 11 0 7 28 21 44 0 0

Durrington 3b .227 .285 .306 113 330 45 75 13 2 3 29 25 71 17 8


Player Spotlight (Beta) - David Murphy
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB
CS
Optimistic (15%) .268 .334 .443 157 542 75 145 46 5 13 73 52 74 8
4
Mean .249 .314 .387 140 486 66 121 37 3 8 57 43 80 6
4
Pessimistic (15%) .231 .289 .351 135 467 46 108 31 2 7 48 36 97 5
5

Name ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Papelbon 3.66 7 3 47 12 113.0 101 46 14 27 106
Burns 3.95 5 2 53 0 73.0 76 32 6 16 54
Schilling 3.98 15 7 32 27 190.0 196 84 25 28 163
Breslow* 3.99 5 2 55 0 79.0 76 35 6 28 62
Delcarmen 4.06 4 2 57 0 71.0 70 32 4 27 63
Corey 4.10 3 2 52 0 68.0 67 31 6 23 51
Foulke 4.21 4 3 54 0 62.0 62 29 9 15 50
Timlin 4.31 6 4 73 0 71.0 77 34 6 19 44
Beckett 4.55 14 10 30 30 182.0 178 92 26 61 143
Tavarez 4.67 4 4 64 3 81.0 87 42 7 30 49
Clement 4.67 9 8 26 26 156.0 156 81 17 65 126
Hansen 4.73 4 3 52 4 78.0 82 41 5 35 53
Lopez* 4.82 2 2 64 0 56.0 61 30 4 24 31
Snyder 4.86 7 6 30 21 137.0 161 74 17 32 82
Baker 4.90 4 3 51 0 68.0 70 37 9 25 55
Dinardo* 4.90 4 3 25 16 90.0 101 49 10 30 61
Lester* 4.96 8 8 26 26 138.0 141 76 15 64 108
Brooks* 5.13 3 5 50 3 72.0 75 41 12 28 55
Wakefield 5.16 11 12 29 28 178.0 187 102 31 63 114
Buchholz 5.24 5 6 22 22 103.0 113 60 17 36 70
Hansack 5.26 7 9 32 19 137.0 155 80 26 37 91
Martinez 5.31 3 3 47 0 61.0 66 36 11 20 41
Gabbard* 5.40 9 11 27 24 135.0 146 81 17 66 84
Alvarez* 5.71 6 10 25 23 134.0 161 85 25 40 69
Pauley 5.75 5 8 24 24 144.0 177 92 26 42 72
Jarvis 5.77 5 9 27 20 131.0 159 84 26 38 68
Rozier* 6.35 4 8 25 25 129.0 155 91 18 74 52
Bowden 6.40 4 8 25 25 128.0 153 91 18 74 53
Zink 6.49 4 10 26 16 111.0 127 80 14 76 49
Tucker* 6.55 2 3 48 0 66.0 75 48 8 48 40
Evert 6.72 2 6 38 6 83.0 99 62 20 40 56
Bumatay* 6.75 2 4 52 0 64.0 69 48 11 48 48
Henkel 6.93 3 8 19 11 74.0 96 57 18 30 39

Player Spotlight (Beta) - Matt Clement
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Optimistic (15%) 3.77 11 6 26 26 160.0 154 67 13 54 143
Mean 4.67 9 8 26 26 156.0 156 81 17 65 126
Pessimistic (15%) 6.16 6 11 26 26 146.0 172 100 23 78 111

Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.

Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors
-
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all
in 2007.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up

being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will
play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when
predicting the future.


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準嗎？ XD

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