Prospects in the Erik Bedard Trade - 美國職棒

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Prospects in the Erik Bedard Trade
by John Sickels on Jul 31, 2011 8:00 PM EDT


In a complicated three-way trade involving the Seattle Mariners, Los Angeles
Dodgers, and Boston Red Sox, the Red Sox receive southpaw Erik Bedard and
right-hander Josh Fields from Seattle, the Dodgers receive catcher Tim
Federowicz, right-hander Stephen Fife and right-hander Juan Rodriguez from
Boston, and the Mariners receive outfielders Trayvon Robinson (Dodgers) and
Chih-Hsien Chiang (Red Sox).


Chih-Hsien Chiang, OF: The Red Sox signed Chiang as a free agent out of
Taiwan in 2005. A diabetic, his pro performance was mediocre until this year,
when better nutrition got him into better physical condition and enabled him
to manage his health issues more effectively. He's broken out for Double-A
Portland, hitting .340/.402/.648 with 18 homers, 25 walks, and 61 strikeouts
in 321 at-bats. A 23-year-old left-handed hitter, his other tools aren't
spectacular and his plate discipline needs work, but scouts like his swing.
His grade would be somewhere somewhere on the C+/B- cusp.


Tim Federowicz, C: Boston drafted Federowicz in the seventh round in 2008,
from the University of North Carolina. A top-flight defensive catcher, he has
a strong throwing arm, plenty of mobility, and excellent leadership skills
behind the plate. A weak stick has kept him off prospect lists. He's hitting
.275/.337/.397 this year for Double-A Portland, with 32 walks and 62
strikeouts in 335 at-bats. He probably won't hit enough to be a major league
regular, but he could last a long time as a defense-oriented reserve. He
turns 24 this week. Grade C.


Josh Fields, RHP: The Mariners drafted Fields in the first round in 2008,
20th overall, from the University of Georgia. There's nothing wrong with his
stuff: he can hit the mid-90s and his breaking ball has bite, but poor
command has kept him from consistent professional success. This year he had a
2.77 ERA with a 26/19 K/BB in 26 innings for Double-A Jackson (note the high
walk rate), but a 6.23 ERA with a 13/13 K/BB in 13 innings for Triple-A
Tacoma. He turns 26 later this month. He could be a fine reliever, if he ever
learns to harness his stuff, which is a big if. Grade C.


Stephen Fife, RHP: A 24-year-old right-hander, Fife was drafted by the Red
Sox in the third round in 2008, from the University of Utah. His stuff is
average across the board: 88-92 MPH sinking fastball, average changeup and
curveball, but he throws strikes and keeps the ball low in the zone. He has a
3.66 ERA with a 70/37 K/BB in 103 innings for Double-A Portland this year,
with 107 hits allowed. In the majors, he projects as a fifth starter or more
probably a long/middle reliever. I've see him as a sleeper in the past but
he's never quite woken up. Grade C.


Trayvon Robinson, OF: The Dodgers drafted Robinson in the 10th round in 2005,
out of high school in Los Angeles. He moved slowly at first, but began
breaking out in 2009 and is having a fine (if somewhat deceptive) season this
year for Triple-A Albuquerque, hitting .293/.375/.563 with 26 homers, 45
walks, and 122 strikeouts in 368 at-bats. A speed demon early in his career,
he still runs well but is less aggressive on the bases these days, focusing
more on power. He runs well enough to play center but his arm is best-suited
for left. He strikes out a lot and his batting average may not be good
initially, but he has a broad base of skills and tools. A 23-year-old
switch-hitter, I gave him a Grade B pre-season and that still seems
reasonable.


Juan Rodriguez, RHP: A 22-year-old right-hander signed out of the Dominican
Republic in 2008, Rodriguez has a 5.19 ERA with an 88/32 K/BB in 59 innings
for Low-A Greenville in the South Atlantic League, allowing 57 hits. His
command is spotty and his slider is mediocre, but his 92-95 MPH fastball has
movement and his K/IP ratio is excellent. He needs to sharpen up his command
and add polish, but he's an interesting arm at least. Grade C, but has some
upside.

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和紅襪相關部分之摘要
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蔣智賢：
1. 健康狀況得到控制後今年爆發
2. 打擊不錯，擁有球探喜愛的揮棒，其他能力普普，選球猶待加強，
3. C+ 或 B- 新秀

Tim Federowicz：
1. 防守型捕手
2. 打擊可能不足以勝任大聯盟主戰捕手
3. C 級新秀

Stephen Fife：
1. 能把不頂快的伸卡，普通水準的變速球和曲球控制在好球帶下緣
2. 曾以為他會覺醒，但目前看來是五號先發或是長中繼的料
3. C 級新秀

Juan Rodriguez：
1. 22 歲在 low-A，控球有問題
2. 92-95 有尾勁的速球讓他 59 局三振了 88 人次
3. C 級新秀，但還有一些成長空間

Josh Fields：
1. 水兵 08 年第一輪選進的手臂
2. mid-90s 速球，不錯的變化球，以及糟糕的控球
3. 這個月就要滿 26 歲了
4. "若能"駕馭自己的球路，會是個不錯的救援投手
5. C 級新秀

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