NBA Finals Preview - NBA

https://goo.gl/JTHU8v

Steve Aschburner

只翻了中間大部分的重點




1.What’s changed from last year? Cleveland added some helpful
pieces on the fly in Kyle Korver, Deron Williams and Derrick Williams,
then used up some of its 82-game “preseason” to get them acclimated
(and vice versa). But Golden State rocked the NBA when it signed free
agent Kevin Durant last summer.


1.和去年相比有什麼變化？騎士加入了Kyle Korver、Deron Williams
和Derrick Williams，並很好的利用了部分「季前賽」讓他們適應新環
境。而去年夏天，勇士簽了自由球員Kevin Durant，震撼了NBA。


The Warriors had their own learning curve, as well as a 21-game injury
layoff for Durant, but they still managed to win 16 more games than the
Cavs. JaVale McGee, Zaza Pachulia, David West and Matt Barnes
brought some grit and heft to Golden State’s front line -- and let’s not
forget twice-fired former Cleveland coach Mike Brown filling in for the
Warriors’ Steve Kerr -- but it’s the thin man with the wicked scoring
touch who will captivate as the biggest addition to the Finalists’ rubber
match.


勇士也有自己的學習曲線，包含Durant因傷21場比賽無法上場，但是
他們依然比騎士多贏了16場比賽。 JaVale McGee、Zaza Pachulia、
David West和Matt Barnes為金州的前場提供了一些強硬的元素。也不
要忘了兩次被炒魷魚，Steve Kerr的替代教練，同時也是前騎士教練
的Mike Brown，但Durant的加入才是勇士本賽季最大的變化。


2.Do LeBron James and Kevin Durant guard each other? It would
make for great theater -- or would it? The reason we’re likely to see
cross-matches is the energy drain each superstar would face chasing
around the other for 40 minutes. Draymond Green probably will spend
more time on James than Durant will, while Cleveland doesn’t have an
obvious alternate defender to shadow Durant. Oh, and even though
Durant is the new variable in this showdown, let’s remember that he
and James have Finals history of their own, dating to the 2012 clash
of Oklahoma City and Miami. James and the Heat took that Finals in
five games.


2. Lebron James和Kevin Durant會互守嗎？這會是受所矚目的戲碼嗎？
我們可能會看到這兩個超級巨星，在40分鐘的比賽中，互相追逐，消耗能
量。Draymond Green可能會比Durant花更多的時間在守James，而騎士
則沒有一個明顯的防守選擇可以影響Durant。但即使Durant是這個對戰組
合的新變數，他和James有自己的總決賽對戰歷史，2012年雷霆和熱火的
對決，熱火以五場比賽贏得了總冠軍。


3.Who are the most likely “X” factors? Just as a reminder, Curry still
plays for Golden State. Sometimes it gets easy to neglect that fact. And
yet the player most likely to loom large -- or not -- for the Warriors is Klay
Thompson. Assuming coach Tyronn Lue and his staff make enough
adjustments to enable the Cavs to thwart the Warriors’ first and second
options, Thompson is the guy who’ll pop up third or fourth in priority. It’s
been a bit awkward for the deadly sharpshooter, slipping a notch in the
Warriors’ pecking order with Durant on board; his attempts and scoring
average were in familiar territory during the season but he shot 32.5
percent and averaged 11.0 points in the West finals against San Antonio.


誰是最可能的「X因子」？提醒一下，Curry還在金州打球，有時很容易忽略
這個事實。然而，勇士的關鍵最有可能是Klay Thompson。假設Tyronn Lue
和他的教練團，做出了足夠的調整，讓騎士們能擋住勇士隊的第一和第二選
擇，Thompson就是那第三或第四名的選擇。Durant加入後，他本季的出手
選擇和平均得分依舊，但他在西區決賽對戰馬刺時，命中率只有32.5％，平
均只得11分。


For Cleveland, with Kyrie Irving established as 1A for clutch scoring and
Tristan Thompson the designated possession-extender on the offensive
glass, the “X” factor likely will be Kevin Love. Especially early in games,
the Cavaliers seem to go to Love and get from him quick points and fast
starts. Plus, don’t sleep on the nifty defensive footwork he showed in front
of Curry in the final minute of Game 7 last June.


對於騎士，有Kyrie Irving頂級的關鍵時刻得分，和Tristan Thompso在進攻
籃板的加持，「X因子」最可能是Kevin Love。尤其是在比賽開端，騎士總
是喜歡由他發起進攻號角。另外，也別忘了去年六月第七戰的最後一分鐘，
他成功擋在Curry前的漂亮防守腳步。


Numbers to Know
120.7 -- The Cavs have scored 120.7 points per 100 possessions in the
playoffs, the highest postseason mark in the last 40 years (since the league
started counting turnovers in 1977). They've been 9.8 points per 100
possessions better offensively in the playoffs than they were in the regular
season. Their postseason effective field goal percentage of 59.8 percent
is the highest in NBA history. Channing Frye (72.7 percent), J.R. Smith
(66.1 percent), LeBron James (62.5 percent) and Kyle Korver (62.3 percent)
all rank in the top 10 in effective field goal percentage among the 88 players
who have taken at least 50 shots in the playoffs. The Cavs also have the
second highest free throw rate in the playoffs, getting to the line 33 times
per 100 shots from the field. The Warriors' mark of 115.8 points per 100
possessions is the fourth highest postseason OffRtg of the last 40 years
and their effective field goal percentage of 57.3 percent is the second
highest in that time. While Cleveland has played teams that ranked eighth,
12th and 16th defensively in the regular season, Golden State has played
two of the league's top three defenses (Utah and San Antonio), though the
Spurs were missing Kawhi Leonard for 3 1/2 of the four games in the
conference finals.


要知道的數字
120.7 - 今年季後賽，騎士隊每100次球權可得120.7分，這是過去40年最高
紀錄（自從聯盟從1977年開始統計失誤），比例行賽多出9.8分之多。他們
季後賽的有效命中率達到59.8％，是NBA歷史上最高。 Channing Frye（72.7％）
， J.R. Smith（66.1％）， LeBron James（62.5％）和Kyle Korver（62.3％），
在季後賽出手出過50次的88名球員之中，他們都排名前10，騎士隊在季後賽也有
第二高的罰球命中率，每100次出手能得到33次罰球機會；勇士隊每100次球權可
得115.8分，是過去40年季後賽的第四高，其有效命中率達到57.3％，是歷史第二
高。騎士在季後賽面對的球隊，防守排名分別是第8，12和16，而金州則面對聯盟
前三防守強隊中的兩個（爵士和馬刺），然而馬刺隊的主將Kawhi Leonard缺席了
三場半的比賽。


99.1 -- The Warriors have allowed just 99.1 points per 100 possessions in the
playoffs, the fewest through the first three rounds and 8.8 fewer than the
postseason average (107.9), which is the highest mark in the least 30 years.
The Warriors held Portland, Utah and San Antonio -- three top-12 offenses
in the regular season -- to 11.5, 9.8 and 5.6 points per 100 possessions fewer
than their regular season averages, respectively.. In regard to opponent field
goal percentage, they rank No. 2 in the restricted area, No. 4 on other paint
shots (and No. 1 in the paint overall), No. 2 from mid-range, and No. 4 from
3-point range. They've allowed just 94.4 points per 100 possessions with
Draymond Green on the floor and 111.9 with Green on the bench. That 94.4
mark is the lowest on-court DefRtg for any player that has played at least 20
minutes per game in four or more games.


99.1 - 勇士的季候賽對手，在100次球權中只能獲得99.1分，是前三輪最低的，
比季後賽平均（107.9，近30年新高）少了8.8分。勇士隊讓拓荒者、爵士和馬
刺，在100次球權中比例行賽分別少得11.5,、9.8 和 5.6 分。從對手的命中率來
看，他們禁區防守排名第二，油漆區內禁區外排名第四（油漆區排名第一），
中距離排名第二，三分線第四。Draymond Greeny在場上時，對手每100次球權
只拿94.4分，反之則是111.9分。對於任何上場超過20分鐘超過四場比賽的球員
中，94.4分是最低。


18.5 -- In last year's Finals, the Cavs were 18.5 points per 100 possessions
better defensively with Tristan Thompson on the floor than they were with
Thompson on the bench. The Warriors scored just 98.6 points per 100
possessions in Thompson's 226 minutes on the floor and 117.1 in Thompson’s
110 minutes on the bench. With Thompson on the floor, the Warriors shot
worse (effective field goal percentage of 48.5 percent vs. 57.3 percent), got to
the line a lot less often (19 free throw attempts per 100 shots from the field vs.
39 per 100), and turned the ball over more often (15.9 turnovers per 100
possessions vs. 12.3). Golden State also scored just 0.86 points per possession
when Thompson was the screener's defender on a ball-screen. Thompson had
the best plus-minus (plus-40) in the series.


18.5 - 去年的總冠軍，Tristan Thompson在場上時，可讓對手每100次球權少
得18.5分。 在Thompson的226分鐘上場時間裡，勇士隊每100次球權只獲得
98.6分，而在湯姆森的110分鐘板凳時間裡，則到117.1分。 Thompson在場
上，勇士投籃越糟（有效命中率為48.5％，反之則是57.3％），更少的機會能
站上罰球線（100次球權19次罰球機會，反之則是39次） ，失誤更多（每100
次球權失誤15.9次，反之則是12.3次）。 當Thompson是擋拆的防守者時，金
州每次球權只能得0.86分。 Thompson在系列中有最好的正負值（+40）。


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