ESPN開圓桌會議 討論西蒙斯可否接班詹皇?
https://goo.gl/1YN7bR by NBA Insiders ESPN.com
Rate the accuracy of this statement from 0 to 10: Ben Simmons is the next
LeBron.
西蒙斯會否成為下一個詹姆斯？從1到10的概率有多高？s
Jackie MacMullan, ESPN.com: 4. Don't do this! It's like searching for the next
MJ -- fruitless and humiliating. Simmons is versatile and fearless, but
LeBron is a freight train and Ben's a mini cargo car. If he can develop a
perimeter jumper like LeBron did, though, look out.
ESPN記者傑基-麥克米倫給出的概率是4成。麥克米倫認為，西蒙斯是比較全能，在場上
也打得無畏懼，但是如果說詹姆斯是一輛貨運火車的話，現在的西蒙斯只能算是一輛
小貨車。如果西蒙斯能夠像詹姆斯那樣練好外線中遠距離的跳投，或許看上去西蒙斯還有
一定可能接班詹姆斯。
Jeremias Engelmann, ESPN Insider: 7. Looking at historic similars, it's clear
Simmons is not only in elite company -- Bird and Scottie Pippen show up as
having similar careers -- but also has a statline that comes very close to
LeBron's.
ESPN專家傑里米亞斯-英格爾曼給出的概率是7成。英格爾曼認為，西蒙斯在新秀賽季的
表現和打大鳥、皮朋有點像，打出的數據也非常接近。但是，詹姆斯之所以這麼出色，
其中部分原因是他職業生涯能夠長時間保持巔峰狀態。西蒙斯能否接班詹姆斯，還得看看
他的職業生涯是不是能夠保持長時間的持續上佳狀態。
Chris Herring, FiveThirtyEight.com: Maybe a 3? It's simply not accurate yet.
Being the next LeBron would mean that Simmons is on track to be the best
player in the world for a decade or longer at some point. He's been
incredible so far and is obviously the real deal. But (1) I'm not even
totally convinced he'll be the best player on his team, and (2) his defense
and his shooting struggles -- or even figuring out which hand he wants to
shoot with -- aren't on par with LeBron's. But: He may someday get there.
克里斯-赫林給出的概率是3成。赫林認為，要西蒙斯在一定時期內成為世界上最好的球員
。他迄今為止認為非常不可思議，而且西蒙斯先想清楚要用哪一隻手投籃 - 而不是去想
如何與詹姆斯並肩。但是他有一天還是可能會到達那裡。
Kevin Pelton, ESPN Insider: 5. Few players have been a closer match for James
in terms of size and skill, and Simmons will make plays -- particularly his
cross-court passes -- that are reminiscent of James'. Still, a couple of
things worth remembering: James has developed into a decent and sometimes
good 3-point shooter, but that may never be part of Simmons' game. And as
impressive as Simmons' rookie season has been, at the same age, James
finished as the runner-up for MVP and probably should have won the award.
That's a high bar.
ESPN專家凱文-佩頓給出的概率是5成。佩頓認為，詹姆斯已經發展成為一個完全體的，
有時候還是很好的三分射手，但三分射手有可能永遠不會成為西蒙斯的一部分。
Bobby Marks, ESPN Insider: Zero. Now, if you replace LeBron James with Magic
Johnson, the number might increase. Take a snapshot of Johnson's rookie
season (18 points per game, 7.3 assists per game, 7.7 rebounds per game and
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar at center) and compare that to Simmons (18 PPG, 9.2 APG,
7.7 RPG and Joel Embiid at center) and we could be witnessing the next great
big point guard of this generation.
ESPN專家鮑比-馬克斯給出的概率是零。馬克斯認為，西蒙斯應該是魔術強森的接班人，
而不是詹姆斯的接班人，看看魔術新秀賽季的數據，場均18分、7.3次助攻和7.7個籃板，
而當時是賈霸在湖人隊打中鋒。對比一下，西蒙斯現在的數據是場均18分、9.2次助攻
和7.7個籃板，與他搭檔的中鋒是恩比德。我們將會見證下一代優秀大個控衛的成長。
Would you rather buy stock in Ben Simmons or Joel Embiid?
如果是買潛力股，你更看好西蒙斯還是恩比德？
有三個選西蒙斯 1個選恩比德 1個無法決定
討論總結:西蒙斯和恩比德的潛力非常接近。然而一名身高6英尺10英寸的球員去打控衛，
他出現傷病的概率應該是會比較低的，而恩比德以往有著較為嚴重的傷病史，他在這方面
的前景還是比較令人擔心的。
恩比德擁有成為下一代頂尖中鋒的所有必備條件，一旦他能保持健康，他的上升空間還是
很大的。
Whom would you rather have for the next three years?
A) LeBron James
B) Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid
如果在詹姆斯和西蒙斯+恩比德之間做二選一，你更願意在未來三年時間當中擁有哪一
個選項？
有4個選詹姆斯 1個選西蒙斯+恩比德
討論總結:因為詹姆斯已經一再證明，他目前仍然是征戰最出色的球員。而且詹姆斯現在
還沒有任何巔峰狀態消退的跡象，詹姆斯仍然是更能幫助球隊奪得總冠軍的球員。
不過只要西蒙斯和恩比德這兩個人保持健康，他們未來都是有可能成長為球星、甚至是
超級巨星的球員，而且年輕代表著未來。
--
https://goo.gl/1YN7bR by NBA Insiders ESPN.com
Rate the accuracy of this statement from 0 to 10: Ben Simmons is the next
LeBron.
西蒙斯會否成為下一個詹姆斯？從1到10的概率有多高？s
Jackie MacMullan, ESPN.com: 4. Don't do this! It's like searching for the next
MJ -- fruitless and humiliating. Simmons is versatile and fearless, but
LeBron is a freight train and Ben's a mini cargo car. If he can develop a
perimeter jumper like LeBron did, though, look out.
ESPN記者傑基-麥克米倫給出的概率是4成。麥克米倫認為，西蒙斯是比較全能，在場上
也打得無畏懼，但是如果說詹姆斯是一輛貨運火車的話，現在的西蒙斯只能算是一輛
小貨車。如果西蒙斯能夠像詹姆斯那樣練好外線中遠距離的跳投，或許看上去西蒙斯還有
一定可能接班詹姆斯。
Jeremias Engelmann, ESPN Insider: 7. Looking at historic similars, it's clear
Simmons is not only in elite company -- Bird and Scottie Pippen show up as
having similar careers -- but also has a statline that comes very close to
LeBron's.
ESPN專家傑里米亞斯-英格爾曼給出的概率是7成。英格爾曼認為，西蒙斯在新秀賽季的
表現和打大鳥、皮朋有點像，打出的數據也非常接近。但是，詹姆斯之所以這麼出色，
其中部分原因是他職業生涯能夠長時間保持巔峰狀態。西蒙斯能否接班詹姆斯，還得看看
他的職業生涯是不是能夠保持長時間的持續上佳狀態。
Chris Herring, FiveThirtyEight.com: Maybe a 3? It's simply not accurate yet.
Being the next LeBron would mean that Simmons is on track to be the best
player in the world for a decade or longer at some point. He's been
incredible so far and is obviously the real deal. But (1) I'm not even
totally convinced he'll be the best player on his team, and (2) his defense
and his shooting struggles -- or even figuring out which hand he wants to
shoot with -- aren't on par with LeBron's. But: He may someday get there.
克里斯-赫林給出的概率是3成。赫林認為，要西蒙斯在一定時期內成為世界上最好的球員
。他迄今為止認為非常不可思議，而且西蒙斯先想清楚要用哪一隻手投籃 - 而不是去想
如何與詹姆斯並肩。但是他有一天還是可能會到達那裡。
Kevin Pelton, ESPN Insider: 5. Few players have been a closer match for James
in terms of size and skill, and Simmons will make plays -- particularly his
cross-court passes -- that are reminiscent of James'. Still, a couple of
things worth remembering: James has developed into a decent and sometimes
good 3-point shooter, but that may never be part of Simmons' game. And as
impressive as Simmons' rookie season has been, at the same age, James
finished as the runner-up for MVP and probably should have won the award.
That's a high bar.
ESPN專家凱文-佩頓給出的概率是5成。佩頓認為，詹姆斯已經發展成為一個完全體的，
有時候還是很好的三分射手，但三分射手有可能永遠不會成為西蒙斯的一部分。
Bobby Marks, ESPN Insider: Zero. Now, if you replace LeBron James with Magic
Johnson, the number might increase. Take a snapshot of Johnson's rookie
season (18 points per game, 7.3 assists per game, 7.7 rebounds per game and
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar at center) and compare that to Simmons (18 PPG, 9.2 APG,
7.7 RPG and Joel Embiid at center) and we could be witnessing the next great
big point guard of this generation.
ESPN專家鮑比-馬克斯給出的概率是零。馬克斯認為，西蒙斯應該是魔術強森的接班人，
而不是詹姆斯的接班人，看看魔術新秀賽季的數據，場均18分、7.3次助攻和7.7個籃板，
而當時是賈霸在湖人隊打中鋒。對比一下，西蒙斯現在的數據是場均18分、9.2次助攻
和7.7個籃板，與他搭檔的中鋒是恩比德。我們將會見證下一代優秀大個控衛的成長。
Would you rather buy stock in Ben Simmons or Joel Embiid?
如果是買潛力股，你更看好西蒙斯還是恩比德？
有三個選西蒙斯 1個選恩比德 1個無法決定
討論總結:西蒙斯和恩比德的潛力非常接近。然而一名身高6英尺10英寸的球員去打控衛，
他出現傷病的概率應該是會比較低的，而恩比德以往有著較為嚴重的傷病史，他在這方面
的前景還是比較令人擔心的。
恩比德擁有成為下一代頂尖中鋒的所有必備條件，一旦他能保持健康，他的上升空間還是
很大的。
Whom would you rather have for the next three years?
A) LeBron James
B) Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid
如果在詹姆斯和西蒙斯+恩比德之間做二選一，你更願意在未來三年時間當中擁有哪一
個選項？
有4個選詹姆斯 1個選西蒙斯+恩比德
討論總結:因為詹姆斯已經一再證明，他目前仍然是征戰最出色的球員。而且詹姆斯現在
還沒有任何巔峰狀態消退的跡象，詹姆斯仍然是更能幫助球隊奪得總冠軍的球員。
不過只要西蒙斯和恩比德這兩個人保持健康，他們未來都是有可能成長為球星、甚至是
超級巨星的球員，而且年輕代表著未來。
--
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