ESPN找了26位業界人士,預估大谷FA合約 - 美國職棒

Hedwig avatar
By Hedwig
at 2023-05-09T10:16

Table of Contents

※ [本文轉錄自 Baseball 看板 #1aMQpuGj ]

作者: zxc906383 (無無) 看板: Baseball
標題: [情報] ESPN找了26位業界人士,預估大谷下一份
時間: Tue May 9 10:16:22 2023




Shohei Ohtani's free agency contract, predicted by MLB insiders
https://reurl.cc/WD60v9


ESPN找了26位業界人士,來預估大谷下一份合約

以下是結果

小於5億美金(6位)
4 years/$240 million
8 years/$400 million
8 years/$420 million
9 years/$427.5 million
13 years/$475 million
12 years/$492 million


介於5億美金-5.49億美金(14位)
9 years/$500 million
10 years/$500 million
10 years/$510 million
10 years/$512 million
12 years/$512 million
11 years/$515 million
11 years/$515 million
12 years/$517 million
10 years/$520 million
11 years/$520 million
11 years/$525 million
12 years/$525 million
11 years/$526 million
12 years/$528 million


大於5.5億美金(6位)
10 years/$550 million
10 years/$550 million
11 years/$550 million
12 years/$580 million
12 years/600 million
11 years/$605 million


$60 million per year vs. $600 million total -- a dilemma only Ohtani could face
In one of the shorter-term deals, a front-office member offered a structure with
a creative path Ohtani could take this offseason if his goal was to maximize ca
reer earnings while maintaining flexibility.

大谷面臨要年薪60M還是合約總值600M的兩難


There are some notable contract figures that the Ohtani camp could be aiming to
beat, starting with a record held by a current teammate. Mike Trout's 12-year, $
430 million deal signed in 2019 is the biggest guarantee in North American profe
ssional sports, and a number most of our respondents believe Ohtani can easily p
ass. Patrick Mahomes signed a 10-year, $450 million contract in 2020 that has a
record potential total value of $503 million after bonuses, though less than hal
f of that megadeal was fully guaranteed at signing.

大谷陣營目標打破MLB史上最大約(鱒魚426M)

以及北美職業運動史上最大約(Mahomes 503M)



--

All Comments

Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-05-09T15:33
5.5以上應該不容易
Emma avatar
By Emma
at 2023-05-09T20:49
比較可能是10年5億或再多點這樣
Oscar avatar
By Oscar
at 2023-05-10T02:05
大谷 和 翔平 可以分開簽約嗎?
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2023-05-10T07:22
不負責任猜12年510M.....
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2023-05-10T12:38
大谷30 翔平30 簽個10年不過份
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-05-10T17:54
4年240是在搞笑?
Lauren avatar
By Lauren
at 2023-05-10T23:11
240那個是天使陣營派來壓價的嗎?
Skylar DavisLinda avatar
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2023-05-11T04:27
可能共體時艱一下 450m就有了
不然就要拉長年數了
Olivia avatar
By Olivia
at 2023-05-11T09:44
13Y520M
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2023-05-11T15:00
個人覺得很難參考 大谷最大的問題就是要讓他投也要打 不
可能只讓他做一件事 簽他的球隊勢必要考量到現有DH被換
掉的隊形 那現在的DH在簽了大谷之後要怎麼用?上場守備
?或是交易出去?或是變板凳替補(但要有一定守備能力)
簽大谷要考量的變數太複雜了 再考量到財力 應該沒有幾隻
球隊能競逐他
Anthony avatar
By Anthony
at 2023-05-11T20:16
梅子沒有問題 DH就是個洞 都是輪休用
Catherine avatar
By Catherine
at 2023-05-12T01:33
人人都想要大谷 但隊形有沒有辦法讓他發揮最大價值 可能
是件非常頭痛的事
Carol avatar
By Carol
at 2023-05-12T06:49
6億吧
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2023-05-12T12:05
梅子 道奇 All In
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2023-05-12T17:22
一個人受傷就能卡50M+在IL也挺屌的
John avatar
By John
at 2023-05-12T22:38
梅子兩個賽揚,如果躺傷兵不也86M 進水溝?V老開季已經躺
過喔?
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2023-05-13T03:55
13Y 475m是哪個人預測的?
Oliver avatar
By Oliver
at 2023-05-13T01:12
12y/540
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-05-13T06:28
要4y 年均可能要衝到80M.........
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2023-05-13T01:12
4y/240M反而很有可能,大谷不愛被綁太久的感覺
Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2023-05-13T06:28
10Y/550M左右吧
Doris avatar
By Doris
at 2023-05-13T01:12
猜12 y/550M
Rosalind avatar
By Rosalind
at 2023-05-13T06:28
要簽就要簽十年,縱使大谷天生神力,追高AAV對二刀流而
言太抖了
Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2023-05-13T01:12
沒人直接預測10年6億哈哈
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-05-13T06:28
4年要拉到300M左右才有可能吧
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2023-05-13T01:12
看想不想全權授權經紀人
George avatar
By George
at 2023-05-13T06:28
最差應該都能10y/500M
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2023-05-13T01:12
大谷這種等級球員應該不是先思考隊形再決定要不要簽他,
應該是簽了他之後,再幫他想怎麼最大發揮它的價值比較合
理。投打都能用且幾乎都是頂級貢獻,為了隊形不拼拼看很
棒槌
Mia avatar
By Mia
at 2023-05-13T06:28
4年短約,年薪80M是有可能的,但大谷不會簽。
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2023-05-13T01:12
今年結束進FA應該看誰可以提11到13年的合約吧
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2023-05-13T06:28
大谷就算受傷,也不會卡50M+在IL,2019不就示範過不能
投球,也能打擊了,且近3年還很健康
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2023-05-13T01:12
我也猜會簽短約高AAV
Una avatar
By Una
at 2023-05-13T06:28
我猜4-5年高AAV
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2023-05-13T01:12
道奇簽大谷60m/Y 太空人簽翔平 30m/Y
Quanna avatar
By Quanna
at 2023-05-13T06:28
開TJ時是不能投但還能打,但若受了不能打的傷還能投嗎?
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2023-05-13T01:12
如果傷到下半身感覺大概還是投打兩邊都得關機
Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2023-05-13T06:28
當初寧願先來 放棄至少100M 本來就預測不能(
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2023-05-13T01:12
我梅輪值一堆老人 DH萬年大洞 王電火應該很清楚吧
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2023-05-13T06:28
翻了一下版上ESPN對Judge合約的預測 結果全部都低估
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2023-05-13T01:12
大谷這次有一個11年605M的 應該不至於全部低估了吧?
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2023-05-13T06:28
認真說不認為梅子是奪冠球隊==
不認為大谷會去
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2023-05-13T01:12
無法想像他最後不是去躲
Jessica avatar
By Jessica
at 2023-05-13T06:28
低估是因為Judge在合約年打了一個傳說般的成績
William avatar
By William
at 2023-05-13T01:12
ESPN對法官的合約預測是九月的事
已經有考慮傳說成績了
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-05-13T06:28
那時已經敲60HR了
#1ZCkdjKX (MLB)
https://i.imgur.com/KOoHxWU.jpg
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2023-05-13T01:12
4Y240M是覺得沒有球隊敢賭長約吧 畢竟合約要怎麼開沒有
先例可以參考 變成各球團之間互相試探 每年50M 10年以上
二刀確實是很大的賭注 但只要有人比你敢賭你就直接輸了
Xanthe avatar
By Xanthe
at 2023-05-13T06:28
開TJ後沒有能打不能投 是都不能 只是打可以比較快回歸
Gilbert avatar
By Gilbert
at 2023-05-13T01:12
"覺得沒有球隊敢賭長約"這想法一開始就輸了 因為100%有
Elvira avatar
By Elvira
at 2023-05-13T06:28
當時是9月初確定要TJ 打到10月初球季結束馬上動刀
7個月後5月初才回歸打擊 如果是更早確定要TJ就難選了
開了不能打擊 拖到球季結束再動刀又會拖到投球回歸時間
Faithe avatar
By Faithe
at 2023-05-13T01:12
我覺得這調查就有試探的意味 試探彼此會開什麼條件
Kyle avatar
By Kyle
at 2023-05-13T06:28
照這個結果4Y基本上就是沒戲 除非大谷本人要短約
Joseph avatar
By Joseph
at 2023-05-13T01:12
去年FA季那個簽到40歲的風潮一開始也沒人想到啊(X
Enid avatar
By Enid
at 2023-05-13T06:28
大谷一定是爛約 但是不給爛約你簽不到 就這樣
David avatar
By David
at 2023-05-13T01:12
4Y240M比較像想挑戰自己拿短大約 四年後也才32歲
再簽一張7、8年大的也有可能吧
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2023-05-13T06:28
大谷要的不是錢,想用錢砸暈他是不太實際的
Elizabeth avatar
By Elizabeth
at 2023-05-13T01:12
我覺得會破紀錄

Ryan Yarbrough 臉部三處骨折 無須動手術

Tom avatar
By Tom
at 2023-05-09T08:22
https://twitter.com/goldbergkc/status/1655679259208302595 Matt Quatraro says Ryan Yarbrough has 3 non-displaced fractures near his eye which are not belie ...

2023/05/07 BAL 4 @ ATL 5 F/12

Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2023-05-08T22:38
2023/05/07 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 R H E BAL(22W12L) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 5 1 ATL(24W11L) 1 0 ...

紅雀總裁:沒有要讓Contreras守外野啦

Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2023-05-08T21:24
https://twitter.com/katiejwoo/status/1655304107199004675 In a turn of events, the #STLCards won’t be using Willson Contreras in the ou tfield. He still w ...

5/7 MiLB

Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2023-05-08T17:37
棒次 守位 打者 AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG 5 SS 陳聖平(A+) 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .240 右安 二安 中飛 三振 2 DH 李灝宇(A+) 4 0 1 0 0 ...

05/07 今日消息

Rae avatar
By Rae
at 2023-05-08T17:29
1. 紅襪以1:6敗給費城人 — 2B: Kike Hernandez (7) HR: Casas (4) — Houck: 5.2 IP, 5H, 3R, 4K, 1BB, 0HR, 74-50 2. 吉田連續16戰安打 3. Bleier第六局被Schwarber打兩分砲 — 本季對手左打者 vs. ...