ESPN:業界對法官合約的14個預測 - 美國職棒

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https://reurl.cc/Zb5zza


ESPN對大聯盟業界人士做了個民調

預測法官下一張合約的價碼

We polled more than a dozen MLB executives, agents and insiders to find out.

Here are the 14 predictions from lowest to highest total dollars committed:

共有14種預測出來

7 years for $259 million
10 for $265 million
8 for $280 million
8 for $280 million
8 for $300 million
7 for $301 million
9 for $320 million
8 for $320 million
8 for $328 million
9 for $333 million
9 for $335 million
10 for $340 million
10 for $341 million
10 for $375 million


And even more interesting, of the nine respondents to project a team Judge will
end up with, four said he will stay with the Yankees, two have him going to the
Mets, two said the Giants and one said the Giants or Dodgers. (More about that l
ater.)


其中有九位有預測落點

洋基:4
大都會:2
巨人:2
巨人或躲人:1



For reference, when the Yankees offered $213.5 million before the season, I esti
mated his true value at that time to be between $213.5 million and $250 million,
and now a panel of experts think he's worth about $320 million. In other words:
Aaron Judge has made about $100 million this year by betting on himself.

這個球季法官把自己身價大升一億美金



近幾年FA野手大約+FA年成績

Bryce Harper, RF, Philadelphia Phillies: 13 years, $330 million
Walk year (2018, age-25 season, Washington Nationals): 3.1 WAR

Corey Seager, SS, Texas Rangers: 10 years, $325 million
Walk year (2021, 27, Los Angeles Dodgers): 3.7 WAR

Manny Machado, 3B, San Diego Padres: 10 years, $300 million
Walk year (2018, 25, Baltimore Orioles/Los Angeles Dodgers): 7.0 WAR

Anthony Rendon, 3B, Los Angeles Angels, 7 years, $245 million
Walk year (2019, 29, Washington Nationals): 6.8 WAR

Kris Bryant, 3B, Colorado Rockies, 7 years, $182 million
Walk year (2021, 29, Chicago Cubs/San Francisco Giants): 3.1 WAR

Marcus Semien, 2B, Texas Rangers, 7 years, $175 million
Walk year (2021, 30, Toronto Blue Jays): 6.2 WAR

Freddie Freeman, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers, 6 years, $162 million
Walk year (2021, 31, Atlanta Braves): 4.9 WAR

George Springer, CF, Toronto Blue Jays, 6 years, $150 million
Walk year (2020, 30, Houston Astros): 1.8 WAR in 60-game season





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All Comments

Megan avatarMegan2022-09-26
265那張是搞笑吧
Liam avatarLiam2022-09-30
10年265是哪個「專家」寫的啊 笑死
Liam avatarLiam2022-09-26
265那張是來鬧的吧
Jessica avatarJessica2022-09-30
300以下都可以去掉吧==
John avatarJohn2022-09-26
怎麼沒有7年$210的
Thomas avatarThomas2022-09-30
嗯專家?
Heather avatarHeather2022-09-26
貪官
Damian avatarDamian2022-09-30
應該會比油柯那約大張吧
Lily avatarLily2022-09-26
92年班真神奇(
Jacob avatarJacob2022-09-30
10年吧就看他要不要打那麼久
Sandy avatarSandy2022-09-26
今年應該是法官生涯打最好一年,然後開始躺著算錢
Bennie avatarBennie2022-09-30
AAV要破40吧 不然早簽了qq
Mary avatarMary2022-09-26
Nani!? 怎麼有躲躲的名字==
Victoria avatarVictoria2022-09-30
我說 那個躲人怎麼會出現啦XD
Zora avatarZora2022-09-26
商品部銷售人員那種業內人士嗎
Puput avatarPuput2022-09-30
280M/7y 或 300M/8y 老人簽走 大概是這樣
Hedda avatarHedda2022-09-26
有30個球隊,只要有一個球隊願意給法官溢價約他就贏了
Genevieve avatarGenevieve2022-09-30
感覺是8y280~300
Rachel avatarRachel2022-09-26
個人猜$330MM/9YR +1YR選擇權
Andy avatarAndy2022-09-30
五年兩百 不要拉倒
George avatarGeorge2022-09-26
我猜 10Y 340M
Joe avatarJoe2022-09-30
搞不好法官是要十年約 均薪少一點阿XD
Vanessa avatarVanessa2022-09-26
猜 300M / 8Y
Noah avatarNoah2022-09-30
不會投球應該只能拿200吧(插E_‧`)
Freda avatarFreda2022-09-26
本人不要貶低自己阿好好拿你的溢價約
Connor avatarConnor2022-09-30
法官陣營之前說不接受AAV36M還在季中時候,下半季又猛
成這樣怎麼可能均薪低
Lucy avatarLucy2022-09-26
沒拿個三億鎂出來就不用簽了
Lauren avatarLauren2022-09-30
7年3億最合理
Zenobia avatarZenobia2022-09-26
7Y 245M 我玩OOTP會給這樣
Delia avatarDelia2022-09-30
7年280或8年305吧
William avatarWilliam2022-09-26
請教一下文章中的walk year是甚麼意思
Connor avatarConnor2022-09-30
簽到的球隊是好還是不好
Megan avatarMegan2022-09-26
求洋基能以8年350M續約法官
Olivia avatarOlivia2022-09-30
請紐約的球隊跟他簽長約!!
Liam avatarLiam2022-09-26
每年60轟 10y/500m
Rachel avatarRachel2022-09-30
就合約年
Rosalind avatarRosalind2022-09-26
亂槍打鳥嗎 笑死
Anonymous avatarAnonymous2022-09-30
10年/50元
Harry avatarHarry2022-09-26
合約年發威 然後馬上躺下去的案例太多, 洋基你保
重….
Victoria avatarVictoria2022-09-30
NYY要簽啦,MVP耶
NYY上個MVP都不知道何時了
Ingrid avatarIngrid2022-09-26
簽了就是一直豪華稅突破再突破,如果今年沒有冠軍大概極
限也在那了
Audriana avatarAudriana2022-09-30
應該會想要比Happer大張
9年340M?
Jessica avatarJessica2022-09-26
用年齡推,9Y320M比較可能發生
Audriana avatarAudriana2022-09-30
8年300M
Isabella avatarIsabella2022-09-26
我覺得8年300
Harry avatarHarry2022-09-30
巨人不會開那麼少啦
Skylar Davis avatarSkylar Davis2022-09-26
10年/500M 洋基續了
Ophelia avatarOphelia2022-09-30
法官要的是10年約