BOS Top 20 prospects for 2016 by John Sickles - 美國職棒

1) Yoan Moncada, 2B, Grade A: Age 20, Cuban, hit .278/.380/.438 with 49 steals
in 52 attempts in Low-A, eight homers, 42 walks, 83 strikeouts in 306 at-bats.
Slow start working off rust but hit .310/.415/.500 in last 56 games. Needs to
reduce errors, may not stay at second base, but I totally believe in the bat.
Power, speed, strike zone judgment, switch-hitter, complete package.

2) Rafael Devers, 3B, Grade A-: Age 19, hit .288/.329/.443 in Low-A, led
Sally League with 38 doubles. Hit 11 homers, 24 walks, 84 strikeouts in 469
at-bats. Hasn’t fully tapped his power yet but that should come; he did
greatly improve his defense and I think he can stick at third. You can make a
Grade A case but I want to hold back on that until I see where he needs to
slot on the Top 100 list.

3) Andrew Benintendi, OF, Grade A-: Age 21, 2015 first round pick from
University of Arkansas, destroyed NCAA this past spring and clobbered pro
pitching too, hitting .313/.416/.556 in debut, 11 homers, 10 steals, 35 walks,
just 24 strikeouts in 198 at-bats. Power, speed, plate discipline, contact,
defense, all stand out. He’s just 5-10 but fewer and fewer people care about
that given athleticism, strength, bat speed, eye.

4) Anderson Espinosa, RHP, Grade B+: Age 17, Venezuelan, posted 1.23 ERA with
65/14 K/BB in 58 innings between Dominican Summer League, Gulf Coast League,
and one start in Low-A, 41 hits allowed, zero homers. Terrific arm, can hit
upper-90s with easy, smooth delivery, already shows impressive curveball and
change-up, throws strikes, mature mound presence. He has the potential to be
a number one starter once he proves what kind of workload he can manage.
Could very well be top pitching prospect in baseball 10 months from now.

5) Michael Kopech, RHP, Grade B: Age 19, 2014 first round pick, 2.63 ERA with
70/27 K/BB in 65 innings in Low-A, 53 hits. Season ended early due to PED
suspension. Showed mid-90s fastball with power curve before that, overpowering
at his best, command and change-up need more polish but that’s typical for
his age, top-of-rotation potential if he can manage workload. Zack Wheeler
type?

6) Sam Travis, 1B, Grade B/B- Age 22, hit .307/.381/.452 between High-A and
Double-A, 19 steals, nine homers, 59 walks, 77 strikeouts in 489 at-bats.
2014 second round pick from Indiana is consistent producer with good feel for
hitting, may or may not hit more home runs in time, limited defense and has
to hit but has a decent chance to beat the difficult right/right first base
profile.

7) Brian Johnson, LHP, Grade B-/B: Age 24, typical finesse lefty with good
pitchability, posted 2.53 ERA with 90/32 K/BB in 96 innings in Triple-A, made
one major league start then went down with elbow injury. Features curve,
change, cutter, good track record when healthy.

8) Wendell Rijo, 2B, Grade B-/C+: Age 20, hit .260/.324/.381 with six homers,
15 steals, 34 walks, 94 strikeout in 404 at-bats in High-A, was just 19 for
most of the season and playing considerably older competition. Power may
increase further, defense took a large step forward in terms of reliability
but tools likely limit him to second base.

9) Luis Alexander Basabe, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 19, switch-hitter, batted
.243/.340/.401 with seven homers, 15 steals, 32 walks, 67 strikeouts in 222
at-bats in New York-Penn League. Breakthrough candidate with power, useable
speed, solid tools in all respects and flashes skills to make those tools work.
May not hit for high batting averages but impressive secondary average
potential.

10) Michael Chavis, 3B, Grade B-/C+: Age 20, 2014 first rounder, this is a
generous grade that includes a lot of projection, hit .223/.277/.405 with 16
homers, 29 walks, 144 strikeouts in 435 at-bats in Low-A. Offensive infielder
with big power potential, arm for third, has to make more consistent contact
to get most out of his talent. High ceiling, high risk.

11) Deven Marrero, SS, Grade C+: Age 25, hit .256/.316/.344 with six homers,
33 walks, 87 strikeouts in 375 at-bats in Triple-A, .226/.268/.283 in 53
major league at-bats. Stands out for defense and will hold a roster spot for
that, but whether as a regular or a bench guy will depend on the bat. My guess
is that he will have one or two good offensive seasons in his late 20s but
for the most part will be a sink on the offense. More valuable for a real
team than a fantasy one.

12) Mauricio Dubon, INF, Grade C+: Age 21, gets a lot less attention than
Marrero but may end up being a lot better, hit .288/.349/.376 with 30 steals
between Low-A and High-A, has the tools to play either up-the-middle infield
spot. Sleeper prospect who deserves more notice, bat may blossom.

13) Marco Hernandez, SS, Grade C+: Age 23, another potential utility infield
type, doesn’t scout as well as Marrero but showed a power surge this year
and is still young, hit .305/.330/.454 between Double-A and Triple-A,

14) Williams Jerez, LHP, Grade C+: Age 23, converted outfielder posted 3.65
ERA with 31/17 K/BB in 37 innings in Double-A, throws hard, 92-94 sometimes
higher, good slider, athletic, command improvement could get him to big
league bullpen quickly.

15) Christopher Acosta, RHP, Grade C+: Age 17, high ceiling but we need to see
him higher than the Dominican Summer League; was considered on par with
Anderson Espinosa 12 months ago but did not have the same kind of
breakthrough season (few do), projectable, posted 22/5 K/BB in 34 innings in
DSL, 4.28 ERA.


Slots from this point on are fungible; I selected players who I have received
the most queries about.

16) Pat Light, RHP, Grade C/C+: Age 24, hard-thrower converted to bullpen
after struggling as starter, junked breaking ball and changeup in favor of
splitter, can hit 99, posted 2.43 ERA with 32/11 K/BB in 30 innings in
Double-A but 5.18, 35/26 K/BB in 33 innings in Triple-A. Can be dominant, IF
he throws strikes.

17) Nick Longhi, OF, Grade C/C+: Age 20, hit .281/.338/.403 with seven
homers, 34 walks, 88 strikeouts in 442 at-bats in Low-A, wants to develop
into Sam Travis.

18) Trey Ball, LHP, Grade C/C+: Age 21, posted 4.73 ERA with 77/60 K/BB in
130 innings in High-A, second consecutive mediocre season, low strikeout rate
matches reports of shaky secondary pitches, has not developed along hoped-for
lines, still young enough to change that but needs to make progress soon.

19) Teddy Stankiewicz, RHP, Grade C/C+: Age 22, 4.01 ERA with 77/32 K/BB in
141 innings in High-A, has been durable despite concerns a few years ago that
he would not be; less than dominant of late, still has a chance as a fourth
starter.

20) Ty Buttrey, RHP, Grade C/C+: Age 22, 4.20 ERA with 81/45 K/BB in 116
innings in High-A, 117 hits, like Ball and Stankiewicz he could be a
back-of-the-rotation arm if he develops more consistency with low-90s
fastball, curve, change-up.

OTHER GRADE C PROSPECTS (Most of these guys could slot in spots 16-20
depending on your criteria). Jonathan Aro, RHP; Yoan Aybar, OF; Gerson
Bautista, RHP; Ty Buttrey, RHP; Garin Cecchini, OF-3B (just designated for
assignment), Sean Coyle, 2B; Edwin Escobar, LHP; Austin Glorius, RHP; Kyle
Martin, RHP; Kevin McAvoy, RHP; Yankory Pimentel, RHP; Noe Ramirez, RHP;
Roniel Raudes, RHP; Austin Rei, C; Chandler Shepherd, RHP; Ben Taylor, RHP;
Luis Ysla, LHP

Top-heavy with elite prospects but lacking in mid-range depth after trades,
though many of the C-grade guys have higher potential. I will be in the
comments section Monday morning answering questions.

雖然我覺得Sickles寫得普普,但畢竟是免錢的,加減看吧

金寶交易案少了B+的"4th OF" Manuel Margot,跟B+的Javier
Guerra(他應該不是B+就是B),但前段1個A,2個A-還是很棒,還
有1個B+,2個B,1個B-,整體來說應該還是接近Top 5的農場

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→ Herlin:據說有球探會看體毛 認為體毛較少的未來發育可能性更大 11/01 22:18
→ Herlin:(因為男性荷爾蒙還沒有完全作用完?) 11/01 22:18
→ Herlin:不過這是用在毛本來就很多的阿督仔上 11/01 22:19
推 alex710707:靠 版主說看體毛是在開玩笑還是認真的? 11/01 22:19
→ Herlin:用在東方人身上我想應該是肯定不準 11/01 22:19
→ Herlin:真的 我看Baseball America 的印象 11/01 22:19

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