BNT - 棒球閒聊

By Ursula
at 2021-08-20T00:33
at 2021-08-20T00:33
Table of Contents
https://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202108190361.aspx
接種第2劑輝瑞一個月後,
對於高病毒含量感染的保護效力比未接種者高90%,兩個月後降至85%,3個月後降至78%。
接種第2劑AZ疫苗一個月後效力則為67%,兩個月後降至65%,3個月後降至61%。
科學家也說:「結果顯示,接種這兩種疫苗4到5個月後的效力將差不多。」
https://i.imgur.com/iczt5ha.jpg

前三個月確實是輝瑞保護力好 但差不多四個月時預期會黃金交叉
當然牛津這個研究只追蹤到三個月 但搭配以色列的實際數據
https://i.imgur.com/oHBNNWQ.jpg

以色列: 3-4個月的保護力平均值為 69%
英國: 3-4個月(虛線推估) 為 70-55% 平均大概63%上下
兩者數據蠻吻合的 接著再看
以色列: 4-5個月的保護力平均值為 44%
英國: 4-5個月(虛線推估) 預期會在 50%以下
一樣也是吻合
加上之前菲律賓CNN的報導 AZ效果一年 mRNA六個月
看來各國觀察到的結果是差不多的
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