AO Analyst: Cilic v Edmund - 網球 Tennis

來源：https://goo.gl/NZ6B9u
作者：Craig O'Shannessy

It took Kyle Edmund 60 matches in the 2017 season to hit 315 aces.

Kyle Edmund在2017年賽季花了60場比賽才打出315個aces球。


It has taken him five matches at the 2018 Australian Open to barrel down 78 ac
es. That’s 25 per cent of his 2017 total in just five matches.

而他只花了5場比賽就打出了78記aces，這已經2017年賽季的1/4。

The serve is on fire.

他現在的發球非常火燙。


Edmund, 23, has powered through to his first Grand Slam tournament semifinal,
and will face big-serving Croatian Marin Cilic at Rod Laver Arena on Thursday
night from 7.30pm. They have played once before, with Cilic winning 6-3 7-6(5)
in the second round of Shanghai last year.

23歲的Edmund，強勢挺進了澳網準決賽，他將於晚間7點30分(台灣時間下午4點30分)，於
Rod Laver中央球場，面對來自克羅埃西亞的重砲Marin Cilic。他們曾交手過一次，Cili
c去年在上海大師賽第二輪以6-3 7-6(5)取得勝利。


Edmund only hit three aces in that match. New year. Improved serve.

Edmund在那場比賽只打出了3記aces。這個新年，他有更好的發球。


This is an extremely close match-up any way you look at it. Cilic has always h
ad a dominant serve, and has hit 96 aces through five matches in Melbourne. Th
e Croatian has played seven tiebreaks, winning five of them.

仔細分析，這將是個很接近的對戰組合。Cilic總是有主宰性的發球，並且5場澳網的比賽
打出了96記aces。這名克羅埃西亞好手打了七次搶七，贏了其中的五場。


When rallies do extend past a serve and a return, the predictable baseline pat
tern to look for is Edmund looking to hit as many forehands as possible, espec
ially as a run-around standing in the ad court.

當攻守度過了一次發球和回發球，可預期的底線對抽模式，是Edmund將力求打越多正拍越
好，尤其是跑到左側場區(ad court)。


A dominant pattern for the Brit is a baseline strategy called the 2-1 pattern.
Two shots in one direction, and the third to the opposite corner. Here’s how
it will play out.

英國人的佔優的模式，是一種2-1的戰術。意即，兩球打相同位置，第三球打向反方向的
角落。以下作解說。


Shot 1 = Deep
Edmund’s run-around forehand from the ad court will go cross court to Cilic’
s backhand. The emphasis here is not on direction. It’s all about depth. Make
Cilic have to lean off the ball because the ball is bouncing closer to the ba
seline than the service line.

第一球 = 打深
Edmund在左側場區的閃身正拍，將橫跨球場打向Cilic的反拍。重點將不在角度，而是深
度。讓Cilic必需沉退，因為球將更靠近底線。


If Edmund does get the ball deep, and Cilic is having to hit a neutral to defe
nsive backhand, it’s tough to hit it down the line. It has to go cross court,
where Edmund is already standing.

如果Edmund真能把球打深，Cilic就必須打一個防守性的反拍。同時也很難打直線，多半
又是橫跨球場，回打到Edmund的位置。


Shot 2 = Wide
When you hit a ball deep, it often comes back short, and you can step in and e
njoy improved geometry for the next shot. Edmund will be looking to hit anothe
r run-around forehand wide through the ad court to stretch his 197cm (6’6”)
opponent off the court to the backhand side. The key is to stop the opponent s
tepping into the ball. Make them reach. This two shot sequence goes hand in ha
nd.

第二球 = 角度打開
當你把球打深，回球通常會短，你就可以向前施壓，再下一球增加擊球的角度。Edmund會
再度嘗試在左側場區打一記閃身正拍，將身高197公分的對手，拉出反拍邊的球場。關鍵
是阻止對手趨前擊球，讓對手必須延展到極限。這兩球將接連使用。


Shot 3 = Switch
Imagine Cilic is now standing in the alley in the ad court, playing a defensiv
e backhand. Edmund will now change directions with the third shot and hit his
forehand inside-in to the vacant deuce court. The first two shots create a hug
e hole in the deuce court to finish points. Sometimes it’s a 3-1 pattern, wit
h an extra shot needed to arm wrestle the required advantage.

第三球 = 變線攻擊
想像一下Cilic現在被逼到了左側場區邊緣，打了一記防守反拍。Edmund第三球會接著正
拍變線，inside-in打向Cilic的右側場區(deuce court)空檔。先前兩球製造了在右側場
區的大空檔。有時為了製造更大的優勢，模式會變成3-1。

Will Cilic also be running the 2-1 pattern as well? Not as much as Edmund will
, simply because Cilic loves to hit his backhand. Cilic has 39 backhand winner
s (Edmund 36) for the tournament so far, and runs around it far less than most
players on tour.

Cilic會不會也使用2-1的攻擊模式? 應該不會像Edmund那麼多，因為Cilic更喜歡打反拍
，他在這賽事有39記反拍致勝球(Edmund 36記)，並比起其他球員，閃身的動作少了很多
。


Cilic has committed 157 backhand errors (93 forced / 64 unforced) and 218 fore
hand errors (91 forced / 127 unforced) through five matches in Melbourne. Cili
c will initially rely on his backhand to stand tall against Edmund’s run-arou
nd forehand before he calls in the cavalry from the forehand wing.

五場的澳網比賽，Cilic有157個反拍失誤(93 受迫 / 64 非受迫)，並有218個正拍失誤(9
1 受迫 / 127 非受迫)。在施展正拍之前，Cilic會先依賴他的反拍以抵擋Edmund的閃身
正拍。


PREDICTION: Edmund in five sets

預測：Edmund五盤勝出

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