2010s十大交易案 Part 9 - 美國職棒

這是2010s 十大交易案第九集，翻譯Mike Petriello的外電。
來源：https://www.mlb.com/news/the-10-biggest-mlb-trades-of-the-2010s

(9) The Dodgers roar back to life
Aug. 25, 2012: Red Sox trade 1B Adrian Gonzalez, P Josh Beckett, OF Carl Crawf
ord, IF Nick Punto and $11 million to Dodgers for 1B James Loney, 1B/OF Jerry
Sands, IF Ivan De Jesus Jr., P Rubby De La Rosa and P Allen Webster

9.Adrian Gonzalez/Josh Beckett 交易案

道奇拿到：Adrian Gonzalez、Josh Beckett、Carl Crawford、Nick Punto和11M現金
紅襪拿到：James Loney、Jerry Sands、Ivan De Jesus、Rubby De La Rosa和Allen Web
ster

What even?
After a few years lost wandering in an ownership situation/bankruptcy-fueled w
ilderness, new Dodgers ownership took official control of the club in May 2012
. After making some quick upgrades to Dodger Stadium, signing Yasiel Puig ($42
million out of Cuba) and Andre Ethier (a five-year, $85 million extension) an
d trading for Hanley Ramirez, they made just about the biggest splash you coul
d possibly think of, taking on more than a quarter-billion dollars worth of sa
laries in an aggressive bid to improve immediately while they rebuilt the orga
nization into the successful version we know today.
Gonzalez was the centerpiece, as he wasn't even through the first year of the
seven-year, $154 million contract he'd signed in April, but a fourth-place Bos
ton club viewed losing him as worth it in order to rid itself of the more than
$130 million still due to Crawford and Beckett, who were variously injured/un
productive/unhappy in Boston (Crawford) or injured/unproductive/connected to t
he ridiculous-in-retrospect "fried chicken and beer" incident that marked the
collapse of the 2011 season (Beckett).

(1)交易發生背景
在擺脫前老闆McCourt一連串財務問題的麻煩後，2012年剛入主道奇的Mark Walter團隊決
定大幅整頓這隻球隊，希望能在最短的時間內重返季後賽。他們以5Y85M續約隊中的球星A
.Ethier；從古巴簽下超級新秀Y.Puig，還從馬林魚以頂級新秀Eovaldi為首的包裹換來三
屆明星游擊手Hanley Ramirez。然而他們的瘋狂補強仍沒有停歇的情況，在換來Ramirez
一個月後，離國聯外卡只有2場勝差的道奇馬上又發動了這筆牽涉超過4億美元薪水的重磅
交易。
相反地，在11年季末可怕的崩盤後，在季中暫居美聯東區第四，隊上又充斥高薪低能球員
的紅襪決定賣出陣中剛簽下七年合約的主砲Adrian Gonzalez，以試著擺脫領著超過130M
薪資，但是一直受傷的Carl Crawford和捲入啤酒炸雞事件的Josh Beckett二人。急需戰
力的道奇和急需薪資空間的紅襪一拍即合，促成了這筆超大交易的誕生。

Were the takes good or bad?

ESPN's Keith Law stated that "this deal could end up looking good for both sid
es, better for the Dodgers in the very short term but much better for the Red
Sox in the long term," while the New York Times had an article titled "Red Sox
Trade Removes a Little of the Stench," which tells you a little about how bad
things had gotten in Boston. "For the Red Sox, this was a no-brainer of a dea
l," wrote now-Padres analyst Dave Cameron at FanGraphs, who also added that "t
here’s no getting around the fact that the Dodgers likely just paid $20 for a
gallon of milk."

(2)交易當時評價
這筆交易案籌碼中，最有價值的無疑是當時美聯最好的一壘手之一，剛打出155WRC+，6.2
WAR的Adrian Gonzalez。這名能控制7年的重砲手相較於道奇的Loney無疑是相當巨大的升
級；另一名主菜Josh Beckett曾經是Ace等級的先發投手，但是12年上半季防禦率高達5.2
3，場外大量的負面新聞和身上背的大合約讓Beckett當時的交易價值並不高；第三位選手
Crawford在跟紅襪簽下大約後嚴重水土不服，OPS+低到只有89，可以說是完全的負資產
至於紅襪拿到的包裹中，James Loney是貢獻穩定，但長打能力非常不足的一壘手，De La
Rosa排名BA道奇No.3，是球速很快、但是控球和第二球種都不怎麼樣，被認為會轉牛的
新秀；Webster排在BA No.5，是擁有2號先發潛力，但是控球一樣有問題的投手新秀，其
他兩位球員就只是配菜。
對此案各方的評價相當不一。ESPN的Keith Law在他的文章中提到「道奇在短期內獲得戰
力的提升，但紅襪在長期會獲得較大的好處」；FG的Dave Cameron則認為紅襪佔優勢「這
筆交易對紅襪來說根本是不用想也知道要做的交易」，他在文章中這麼說道。同一篇文章
中對道奇方他還給了一個相當好玩的比喻「這就像用20美元買一加侖牛奶，看起來相當愚
蠢，但當你有一大堆20美元，而你身邊只有一個賣牛奶的人時，你或許只會對價錢抱怨幾
聲，然後付出那20美元。考量到道奇擁有的龐大資產，或許這筆交易案看起來就有那麼一
點道理了」
有趣的是，雖然這麼說，但他在文章中最後補了一段，跟譯者當年看到這筆時的看法一致
的「也許我想的太多了，道奇只是做了一筆非常，非常愚蠢的交易」

And then what happened?
None of the players Boston got back made any impact whatsoever, which was some
what surprising, though also not really the point. With a newly freed payroll,
the Red Sox that winter brought in Shane Victorino, Mike Napoli, Koji Uehara,
David Ross, Ryan Dempster, Stephen Drew, Jonny Gomes and others, turning a 93
-loss 2012 team into the 2013 World Series champs.
The Dodgers, three games out in the NL West at the time, got good performance
from Gonzalez (116 OPS+) and Beckett (2.93 ERA in seven starts) down the stret
ch but missed the postseason. (It remains the last time the Dodgers failed to
win the division.) Beckett threw only 159 more innings -- and a no-hitter -- f
or Los Angeles over the next two injury-plagued seasons before retiring. Crawf
ord, rehabbing from Tommy John surgery in 2012, had his moments in 2013-14 but
barely played in 2015-16 before the Dodgers cut him loose, having given them
1,119 plate appearances of league-average production. While Gonzalez never rea
ched the peaks he had with San Diego or Boston, he was a reliable performer fo
r the next four years (124 OPS+ from 2013-16), collecting NL MVP Award votes i
n three seasons, before injuries in 2017 saw him lose his spot to Cody Belling
er.

(3)交易後續影響
紅襪拿到的所有球員幾乎對球隊都沒有任何貢獻。De La Rosa投了兩個糟糕的球季之後就
被送往響尾蛇換取Miley，Webster生涯沒有一個賽季防禦率低於5，Sands跟De Jesus生涯
加起來為紅襪打不到十個打席，Loney則是在季末就離開紅襪。不過這些都不重要，重要
的是紅襪清出的空間讓他們得以在13年大肆補強，接連簽下Victorino、Napoli、Dempste
r、上原浩治、Stephen Drew等人。這些球員幫助紅襪逆轉12年93敗的劣勢，拿下2013年
世界大賽冠軍。
2012年A-Gon和Beckett在下半季表現不錯，分別打出116 OPS+和7場2.93ERA的先發，不過
道奇最終無緣季後賽。Beckett在接下來兩年都受到傷勢的困擾，總共只再丟了159局而已
。Crawford一如往常的一直受傷又打得很爛，在接下來四年僅有的1119打席中只有聯盟平
均的102 OPS+和100上下的WRC+，在道奇受不了將他釋出之前，他每年都可以領到20M左右
的薪水。最後主菜A-Gon的表現不錯，不過他再也沒有打出在教士、紅襪那樣能夠爭奪MVP
的表現。在2017年受傷之前，他四年間表現的中規中矩，WRC+都在124上下，共打進10.4W
AR，算是道奇陣中相當穩健的打者。

Would each team do it again?
Probably. Certainly, the Red Sox would in a heartbeat, even with zero producti
on from anyone they acquired. The Dodgers didn't exactly spend efficiently, an
d they might have preferred to get star-level Gonzalez, but he was generally g
ood and they didn't miss the players they shipped out. If the entire point was
about announcing to their fans and the world that they were back in the game,
it worked. They've won seven straight division titles.

(4)如果可以回到過去，交易雙方會反悔嗎？
即使紅襪拿到的選手都變成空氣，他們還是達到了所想要的目標，在一個心跳之內他們就
會再次選擇交易。
相反地，道奇隊在這筆交易案中並沒有很有效率的花錢，但他們其實也沒有失去有價值的
新秀資產。雖然他們可能會有一點後悔，不過如果這筆交易是為了像他們的球迷們宣告這
隻球隊即將重回競爭，那麼他們是成功的。道奇接下來八年皆是國聯西區龍頭。


總算到最後一篇了，接下來就是十年來最大的搶劫案。希望能在過年前翻完，感謝大家閱
讀

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